Week 9 NFL Predictions - Eagles vs. Giants Odds & Free Picks

Philadelphia Eagles fans watching the game

Jason Lake

Wednesday, November 2, 2016 4:28 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 2, 2016 4:28 PM UTC

In a light week on the NFL odds board, the Philadelphia Eagles are still pulling in about two-thirds of bettors for Sunday's NFC East matchup with the New York Giants.


Record: 16-11-1 ATS, 4-7 Totals

This is about as quiet as things get when you're betting on the NFL. Volume has already been down a notch this year, and with all four North American major leagues competing for eyeballs with the U.S. election, action has been understandably light on the Week 9 NFL odds board. It's Tuesday night as we go to press, and there still hasn't been enough data to produce an expanded consensus report for most of Sunday's games.

That includes the afternoon tilt (1:00 p.m. ET, FOX) at the New Meadowlands between the Philadelphia Eagles and the New York Giants. We've already gone ahead and recommended the Eagles as 3-point road dogs for your NFL picks, and they're still available at that price, but with two-thirds of early bettors on Philly, more books have the visitors at +2.5 than they did when we last checked in. You might want to get in while the getting's good.

Check Your Differential

There isn't an obvious public team in this NFC East rivalry, but the Eagles (4-3 SU and ATS) have been drawing more action this year, if we're reading the betting numbers correctly. Then again, they started the season with three straight wins SU and ATS. Now the Giants (4-3 SU, 3-3-1 ATS) have tied them in the standings after winning back-to-back games, also SU and ATS. Casual fans like to bet on winners.

Savvy bettors are more interested in the efficiency stats than the standings. According to Football Outsiders, the Eagles have outperformed everyone else in the league through Week 8, powered by the NFL's top defense and special teams. The G-Men are in the middle of the pack at No. 17 overall, with few obvious strengths or weaknesses. Makes sense; Philly's point differential of plus-62 is tops in the NFC, well ahead of New York at minus-8.



So do you go with the hotter team, or do you prefer working with the full seven games of advanced stats? We're sticking with the Eagles in this case, but watch out: Rookie QB Carson Wentz hasn't been quite as sensational since RT Lane Johnson was suspended for 10 games – starting in Week 6. Philadelphia is 1-2 SU and ATS without Johnson holding down the fort.


Free NFL Pick: Eagles +3 (–125)Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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