Week 9 NFL Picks: Three Games That Bettors Must Consider

Jordan Sharp

Sunday, November 2, 2014 12:14 PM UTC

Sunday, Nov. 2, 2014 12:14 PM UTC

Another week of NFL action is upon us, which means it’s time to go searching for the best NFL Picks. While bye weeks have limited the valued available to us, there are still some nice NFL Odds, and here are three of them for your betting pleasure. 

Jaguars vs. Bengals
The Jaguars are only +10 underdogs this week! However once again the Bengals or Jags don’t give you much confidence when looking at SBR's NFL odds boards, so instead, I am going with a wager on the total here. At 43 ½, this total is pretty high for these two teams. Even though the Cincinnati defense has been playing horrible over the last three weeks, they have a nice chance to get back on track against the Jaguars. While Jacksonville’s offense isn’t bad, it isn’t good either. On the flip side, the Bengals are still dealing with some injuries to main skill players. While AJ Green was back at practice this week and looks good to go on Sunday, now Giovani Bernard has been ruled out. The Bengals will have to turn to young rookie, Jeremy Hill to carry the load for this team, and I think all of this will lead to the under being the play. The under has cashed in the last four games in a row for the Jaguars, and they are 4-0 cashing the under in their last four games versus the AFC. When adding this all up, we are going to offer up the 'Under' as the first of our free NFL picks.

My Pick: UNDER 43 ½

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Chargers vs. Dolphins
For some reason I cannot explain, the Dolphins are -2 favorites against the Chargers this week, and while I like the direction the Dolphins are going, they should not be favored here. These teams are close and built similarly, however I am taking the points with the Chargers here in Miami. The warm weather should help Phillip Rivers and this passing game beat the very good secondary from the Dolphins, ad whoever can run the ball, and subsequently stop the other team from running is going to win here. The Dolphins however don’t have a great history is being a home favorite. They are 15-37 in their last 52 games as a home favorite, while the Chargers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 following a SU loss. San Diego is also 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog, they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 overall, and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as a road dog between +1/2 and +3.

My Pick: Chargers +2

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Steelers vs. Ravens
Sometimes following the trends will help you win your bets, but for this one, I’m bucking all of the trends, and going with a play on the over. The NFL Odds have this game favoring the road Ravens after some heavy line movement that turned the Steelers from favorites to home dogs. However the total of 47 ½ is where I am focused on. Although these two teams have cashed the under against one another in three of the last five meetings, this week is different. Both teams defenses have been playing badly at times this season, and because of injury or lack of personnel this week, these two will give up some points against one another. The over is 4-1 in the Ravens last five road games, and the over is 4-0 in their last four games as road favorites. For the Steelers the over is 4-0 in their last four home games, and their last four games as a home dog.

My Pick: OVER 47 ½ 

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