Week 9 NFL Picks for Sunday's Raiders vs. Seahawks

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, October 28, 2014 6:14 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 28, 2014 6:14 PM UTC

The winless Raiders limp into CenturyLink Field after losing in Cleveland while the Seahawks escaped Carolina with a narrow victory. Yet in what appears to be such a lopsided affair is there any betting value on a big underdog in your NFL picks on this Sunday showdown in Seattle?

Oakland Raiders (0-7 SU, 3-4 ATS)
The Raiders hung tough with the Brownies on the road last week and were trailing by only a field goal at the half. However, a botched trick play, a costly turnover by Darren McFadden and a fumble by quarterback Derek Carr proved too much to overcome for a club that needs every break it can get in order to win. Carr ended the day with 328 yards through the air on 34-of-54 passing in their 23-13 loss to Cleveland. However, the silver lining in all of this was the play of the Oakland defense shutting the Cleveland offense down for much of the game and limiting Browns tailback Ben Tate to 26 yards on 15 carries.

The Raiders have now failed to cover the NFL odds in three of their last four contests including last week when they were given a 6 ½ point head start by the oddsmakers only to see Cleveland take advantage of Oakland’s mistakes and came away with a 10 point victory. The Silver and Black are rated 22nd in passing, 31st in scoring and have the dubious distinction of bringing the league’s worst rushing attack into Seattle where even offensively gifted teams struggle. Defensively they are not much better but do boast the 13th ranked passing defense yet allow an average of 25.9 points per game good (or bad depending on your perspective) for 24th in the league.

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Seattle Seahawks (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS)
The Seahawks took a hard fought 13-9 victory out of Carolina but failed for the third consecutive game to cover the NFL odds. There’s something amiss in this year’s edition of the Seahawks but there is still a long way to go and plenty of opportunities to demonstrate they can return to championship form. Last week Russell Wilson got good when it counted and that was when he tossed a 23-yard TD pass to Luke “Don’t Call Me Owen” Wilson in the waning moments of the game to seal the deal for the visitors.

There’s a sense of purpose, focus or urgency missing from this team. Mistakes were evident against the Panthers whether it was the dropped endzone pass by Marshawn Lynch (where has the Beast gone?), the errant passes of Wilson or the critical drop earlier in the game by Luke Wilson. The Hawks are still stout defensively boasting the 10th ranked passing defense and the 6th ranked run stop unit yet they are allowing over 21 points per game and nearly out of the top 10 in that category.


Free NFL Pick
Look, I know the Raiders are horrendous and I know that playing in Seattle is, more often than not, a graveyard for visiting teams. I get all that but the last time the Hawks were on their home turf, as 9 ½ point betting favorites over the Cowboys, they were defeated 30-23 in front of the shocked Seattle faithful. Let’s not forget that their last two contests, both on the highway, could easily have been consecutive losses had Carolina exploited Seattle’s miscues.

Obviously Seattle gets the W here but the offshores are dealing this game as Seattle a huge favorite of 15 to 15 ½ in NFL odds. I like the way the Raiders rushing defense played last week and I am not convinced the Beast we saw last year is the same this year. Rumors are swirling that Marshawn Lynch will be persona non grata at the end of the season in Seattle and after watching him failing to crack 100 yards rushing since he did it in Week 1 against the Packers I’m not concerned about the ground-and-pound chewing up the Raiders defense.

I see our old buddies at 5Dimes.com again shading the favorite again, currently dealing the Seahawks at -16 ½ in their NFL odds. Let’s buy the hook just to be safe and watch the Raiders lose – again – but keeping it somewhat close as the Hawks lose interest down the stretch.

NFL Picks: Oakland +17 (-120 buying a ½ point) at 5Dimes.com

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