Week 9 NFL Picks: Game-by-Game Over/Under Betting

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, October 29, 2014 7:00 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 29, 2014 7:00 PM UTC

Week 9 NFL betting is almost upon us. We look at the total betting markets currently in swing and serve up our choice over-under selections for each and every game. Check out all 13 of our NFL picks for week 9’s NFL betting menu.

Week 8 NFL Over-Under Betting Recap
We bounced back to a stellar 11-4 mark on our over-under NFL picks for week 8 NFL betting, thereby improving our overall record in the last five weeks to 48-24-1. Another week of predicting over-under NFL picks looms before us, so here goes.


Saints vs. Panthers O/U 48.0
The Saints are 6-1-0 while the Panthers are 5-3-0 in over-under betting this season. That NFL betting trend alone suggests this game is destined to go above the predetermined total across sportsbooks. The trend between these two outfits supports this notion as well: the total has gone OVER in four of New Orleans’ last six games when playing Carolina. Finally, another trend NFL bettors might find useful for this Thursday Night extravaganza that features NFC South foes is the fact that Thursday gridiron action has persistently served high-scoring affairs this season, above the 50-point mark, save for week 2.

NFL Picks: Over 48.0

Cardinals vs. Cowboys O/U OTB
By virtue of their respective straight up records, these two outfits could be considered amongst the best in the league. Certainly, they’re on track for a playoff berth. Cowboys have split their games 4-4-0 in over-under betting this season all while going 6-2-0 SU. Cardinals have gone 2-5-0 in over-under betting all while racking up a 6-1-0 SU record. This game is currently off the NFL odds board because it’s yet to be determined whether Tony Romo will be fit to start. The quarterback suffered a back injury last week. That said previous trends reveal this matchup has gone UNDER in six of the last nine meetings.

NFL Picks: Under

Jaguars vs. Bengals O/U 44.0
After starting the season with four straight OVERs, Jaguars have gone UNDER in their last four games. Bengals, meanwhile, have gone 3-4-0 in over-under betting, conspicuously playing to the level of their opponents. Indeed, they’ve been outscored 161-to-164 through seven games (4-2-1SU), a statistic skewed by their 27-0 defeat to the Colts in week 7 NFL betting. Last week, the Bengals were extremely fortunate to beat the Ravens 27-24 as a Joe Flacco inspired touchdown pass was taken off the board on account of offensive interference. Bengals are averaging 23-points per game and the Jaguars are averaging 14.75-points per game. Everything about this matchup suggests the UNDER is the smart NFL pick.

NFL Picks: Under 44.0

Jets vs. Chiefs O/U 41.5
It’s panic mode for the New York Jets. Geno Smith is benched. Michael Vick is the starter for this game instead. How that will impact the Jets is anybody’s guess – it wasn’t long ago when Vick was benched as the starter in Philadelphia, mind. So interpreting this as an improvement does seem wildly optimistic. In any event, the Jets are 5-3-0 in over-under betting this season, which includes a horrific 43-23 defeat to the Buffalo Bills on Sunday (hardly an offensive might are the Bills). Fingers point to a porous defense that is allowing 28.5 points against per game. While the Chiefs are 2-5-0 in over-under betting this season, their offense has been firing at all cylinders, averaging 29.8 points in their last five games. This total seems way too low for an offensive-minded Chiefs and a porous Jets defense.

NFL Picks: Over 41.5

Eagles vs. Texans O/U 48.5
The Eagles are 4-3-0 in over-under betting while the Texans are 5-3-0 in over-under betting this season. Previous trends reveal the total going OVER in eight of Philadelphia’s last 12 road games. At the same time, the total has gone UNDER in four of Houston’s last six home games. So, this game could go either way technically. Eagles have been averaging 29-points per game, albeit their last few games has seen that number drop slightly. Texans, meanwhile, have been averaging 23.12-points per game. The popular NFL pick here is the UNDER in NFL betting circles, particularly as the Texans defense allows just 20.75-points per game and the underrated Eagles are allowing 22.28-points per game. Sometimes games don’t go to plan. Both Foles and Fitzpatrick have been prone to mistakes this season, a trend that could surface in this game to deliver periphery scoring from special teams and defense. As such, we’re banking on the OVER cashing on our NFL picks.

NFL Picks: Over 48.5

Chargers vs. Dolphins O/U 45.0
The UNDER has cashed in five of the last five meetings between the Dolphins and the Chargers. On the season, the Chargers have gone 4-4-0 in over-under betting while the Dolphins have gone 4-3-0 in over-under betting. Bookies have set a 45-point total for this game on the NFL odds board, which falls in line with the offensive output of both teams. The Chargers have been averaging 25.6-points per game while the Dolphins have been averaging 24.8-points per game. This could be the anomaly in their matchup to push the total OVER the 45-point set in NFL betting markets.

NFL Picks: Over 45.0

Buccaneers vs. Browns O/U 43.5
Although the OVER edges the UNDER 4-3-0 in Cleveland’s games this season, they’ve been trending on the UNDER recently, including last week’s 23-13 win over the Raiders that went UNDER the 43.5-points set in total betting markets. The Bucs are simply stagnant on offense producing an average of 19-points through seven games.

NFL Picks: Under 43.5

Redskins vs. Vikings O/U OTB
Although the Vikings are struggling offensively, their defense can be stingy on occasion. Indeed, the Vikings are 2-6-0 in over-under betting this season. The Redskins, meanwhile, have offensive weapons. They are averaging 21.37-points per game. Overall, they are 4-4-0 in over-under betting this season.

NFL Picks: Under

Rams vs. 49ers O/U 43.5
St, Louis Rams rise to the occasion in divisional battles – their upset win over Seattle Seahawks is case-and-point. That being said they’re struggling mightily on offense and consistency. They are barely averaging 20-points per game and conceding 30-points per game (they are outscored 136-to-210 through seven games). Rams are 4-3-0 in over-under betting. San Francisco are coming off a bye week. They are 3-4-0 in over-under betting. Although they are stingy on defense, past trends reveal the OVER cashing in four of their last six meetings.

NFL Picks: Over 43.5

Broncos vs. Patriots O/U 54.5
This is a tough game to call in more ways than one, particularly because it’s mired in NFL subjectivity and expectations. Most NFL bettors are hankering after a veritable shootout, a virtuoso performance by the star quarterbacks contained within this matchup. Certainly, there is plenty of evidence to support this notion. The OVER has trended 5-2-0 in Denver’s games this season and 6-2-0 in New England’s games. What’s more, the OVER has cashed in four of the last five meetings between this pair. It’s quite possible this game will buck the OVER trend, anomalies do happen in every matchup. However, for the sake of our NFL betting thrills and viewing pleasure, we’re hoping it does go OVER 54.5-points.

NFL Picks: Over 54.5

Raiders vs. Seahawks O/U 43.0
The hapless Raiders take on the struggling Seahawks in a game that could go either way as far as the NFL betting markets rolled out on this game are concerned. On one hand, sportsbooks have rolled out an absurd 15-point spread but, on the other hand, they’ve listed a rather low 43-point total. These markets seem to be at cross-purposes. Seattle are 4-3-0 in over-under betting while the Raiders are 3-4-0 in over-under betting. Past NFL betting trends reveal the OVER cashing in seven of the last eight meetings between this pair in Seattle.

NFL Picks: Over 43.0

Ravens vs. Steelers O/U 48.0
Big Ben’s virtuoso performance last week saw him hang 51-points on the Colts to improve the Pittsburgh Steelers to 5-3-0 in over-under betting. Meanwhile, Ravens improved to 4-4-0 in over-under betting following a 27-24 defeat to the Bengals. It’s hard to imagine the Steelers have quite such a big night against a solid Ravens defense. Then again, the OVER has trended in nine of the Steelers last 13 games, so perhaps their offensive prowess isn’t receiving the credit it deserves. Besides, the Ravens’ offense isn’t too shabby, accounting for 27.12-points per game.

NFL Picks: Over 48.0

Colts vs. Giants O/U 51.0
Simply because Andrew Luck and the Colts offense are capable of producing at a frightening rate, the popular NFL pick would appear to be the OVER here. Colts are 6-2-0 in over-under betting for the season. Last week, in just 20 minutes of possession against the Steelers, the Colts were able to put up 34 points. The Giants are 4-3-0 in over-under betting this season. The west coast offense can produce a substantial tally when Eli Manning and his O-line stick to the script.

NFL Picks: Over 51.0


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