Week 9 NFL Picks: Game-by-Game Against the Spread Odds & Predictions

SBR Staff

Tuesday, October 30, 2018 1:47 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 30, 2018 1:47 PM UTC

Here's an NFL Week 9 betting cheat sheet. Each week of the season, you will find the entire slate with picks ATS and each capper's quick-hitting reasoning. SBR also will have full previews of each week's prime-time and marquee games.

Opening NFL Spread: San Francisco -3Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

RAIDERS

Doug Upstone: With two rotten teams, I'll side with the better quarterback. Derek Carr has been far from perfect, but he better than the Niners' C.J. Beathard. The 49ers are 1-9 ATS at home off a road loss.

Swinging Johnson: Carr looked better last week than he has since breaking his leg 2 years ago by tossing for 3 TDs & traipsing into the endzone for another. 49ers forgot how to score, Derek finally remembered.

49ERS

Rainman: Oakland seems to have given up on their season. They’ve been non-competitive for the past three weeks. The 49ers want to win. Beathard will have another strong prime-time performance.

Matthew Jordan: I’m sure there’s been another NFL game at some point I’ve cared less about, but I can’t remember one. Go Niners (buy to -2.5) because Raiders have covered just 2 of past 12 as a dog.

Kevin Stott: Thoughts of a Jimmy G-Khalil Mack collision in the Bay Area evaporated like rain in Sahara. With Niners 3-1 ATS L4 in series, 3-1 ATS L4 at The Zipper, backing team that didn’t deal it’s best WR.

Opening NFL Spread: Chicago Favored by TBABest Line Offered: 5Dimes

BEARS

Rainman: Just don’t bet on Buffalo. Ever. The Bills have scored 11 points in the past two games, 37 in the past five games. They don’t have a quarterback or even an offense and they commit turnovers.

Doug Upstone: Good situation for Chicago, with Buffalo on a short week and off a division game. The Bears failed to generate a turnover for the first time this season, facing the Bills will solve that.

Matthew Jordan: Bears screwed me backing them as rare road faves a few weeks ago in Miami, and the Bills have been mostly competitive at home. Still, how do Bills score? And they are on a short week.

Kevin Stott: Short week and QB concerns for Buffalo (3-0-1 ATS L4 series Home) means backing the Bills (3-1-1 ATS L5 meetings) too hard. Bears QB Mitch Trubisky is running better than Bobby Douglass ever did.

BILLS

Swinging Johnson: The Bills have zero offense, we know this. That said, it was this Buffalo team that stunned Minny as 17-point road dogs and Bears may be looking ahead to their divisional clash with Lions.

Opening NFL Spread: Kansas City -8Best Line Offered: BookMaker

CHIEFS

Rainman: One team (Chiefs) can score, other (Browns) cannot. The Chiefs’ top-ranked offense will procure lead, forcing Cleveland to pass. Browns rank 27th in sack percentage allowed. KC has strong pass rush.

Doug Upstone: Probably not the best week to fire a head coach with Cleveland taking on Kansas City. The Browns are 2-12 ATS versus passing teams with a completion percentage of 64% or higher.

Kevin Stott: Any doctor worth their salt would tell you Browns (3-0 ATS L3 meetings) are addicted to OT. With young guns Mayfield, Mahomes, points should be plenty. KC 11-2 ATS L13 overall.

BROWNS

Matthew Jordan: Will Browns respond to the firings of Hue Jackson and Todd Haley? I think so as players were tired of the drama. Bit of a trap game for Chiefs, who are 0-3 ATS in past 3 meetings.

Swinging Johnson: Squares will be swooning over Chiefs, but Brownies may be pumped after “Hue Without a Clue” got ax. Cleveland improved at home (3-1 ATS) and north of a touch makes this gold.

Opening NFL Spread: Miami -3Best Line Offered: BetOnline

JETS

Rainman: Darnold has succeeded against the lower-ranked pass attacks that he’s faced. Miami ranks 24th in opposing passer rating. The Fins have been non-competitive in their last two games with Osweiler.

Doug Upstone: Sam Darnold has seen almost every useful weapon he had on offense get injured. Miami has Brock Osweiler has its QB. The Dolphins are favored and are abysmal 5-16 ATS at home vs. Flyboys.

DOLPHINS

Matthew Jordan: Will Fins get Ryan Tannehill back or is it Brock Osweiler again? Does it matter? Jets and Sam Darnold are regressing offensively and awful on road. Todd Bowles needs to be fired.

Kevin Stott: How do I hate this game? Let me count the ways. Planes, marine mammals and NFL anxiety. Jets 6-2-2 ATS L10 meetings and signed ex-Titans WR Matthews but Fish want revenge for Week 2 loss.

Swinging Johnson: After high hopes these teams are as depressing as a Leggs n’ Eggs breakfast buffet at the local strip club. Fish already won in NY, so why will this outcome be any different in Miami?

Opening NFL Spread: Minnesota -5Best Line Offered: Bovada

LIONS

Rainman: The only teams that Minny has beaten by at least five points are the 49ers, Jets, and Cardinals. Detroit has a balanced attack led by Kerryon Johnson and many talented receivers. They’ll stay close.

VIKINGS

Matthew Jordan: Surprised this line didn’t open at Vikings -7, but I’ll happily back them at less than a TD. They won’t play like crap at home a second week in row. Vikes 9-0 ATS in past 9 week before a bye.

Doug Upstone: Detroit and Minnesota are both off very disappointing home losses last week. Each is capable of playing better, however, the Vikings are 18-7 ATS as a home favorite of seven points or less.

Kevin Stott: Vikes have L2 straight in Princetown to the Lions (3-1 ATS L4 series), scoring only 23 points. With Cousins now in charge, Thielen a great target and tight NFC North race, Purple should cover.

Swinging Johnson: Both teams had their share of turnovers and miscues last week but Lions seem to make a habit of it. Vikes more talented on both sides of the ball and are 14-6 ATS over last 20 home games.

Opening NFL Spread: Washington -1.5Best Line Offered: Heritage

FALCONS

Kevin Stott: Dirty Birds 3-0 ATS L3 at DC, better than their Record and need to get some W’s with Saints great start. Ryan has one of best receiving corps in Jones-Sanu-Ridley, but Jones needs some TDs.

Swinging Johnson: Dirty Birds won 2 straight before their bye and now meet the Skins working on a short week. Washington may be gassed after 2 divisional games against a refreshed Matty Ice and Co.

REDSKINS

Rainman: Matt Ryan isn’t the same on the road, where he’s had his worst games in terms of QB rating and yards and where the Falcons haven’t covered in two tries. Washington has won its last three home games.

Matthew Jordan: Really not buying the Redskins and Falcons off a bye, but Atlanta’s offense has not been good on road this year and it’s 2-8 ATS in past 10 on road. Skins have played well at home.

Doug Upstone: Washington seldom can stands prosperity (3-0 SU & ATS run) and Atlanta gets cold feet outdoors (0-2 SU & ATS in '18). Risky pick on Skins with Falcons 0-7 ATS after gaining 400+ total yards.

Opening NFL Spread: Carolina -6.5Best Line Offered: Intertops

BUCS

NONE

PANTHERS

Rainman: Fading the Bucs with career backup Ryan Fitzpatrick starting for them. Carolina averages the second-most rush yards per game and will run over a mediocre run defense with injuries on the D-line.

Matthew Jordan: Smartly, Dirk Koetter is going back to Ryan Fitzpatrick and should stick with him rest of year; what is up with the QB problems of the Florida teams? Bucs 3-7 ATS past 10 in series.

Doug Upstone: You can sense it now, wholesale changes coming again for Tampa Bay. Carolina covers if they rush Ryan Fitzpatrick in the A-gaps and throw deep against the NFL's No.31 pass defense.

Kevin Stott: Cam and Cats 1-4 SU/ATS L5 vs its NFC South, and 1-3 ATS L4 in Charlotte in series, but 7-3 ATS L10 overall vs TB, and, like afore-picked Atlanta, are looking up at NO and need convincing win.

Swinging Johnson: Are Bucs really going to try to rekindle the whole FitzMagic thing? Appears that way but Cats scored 36 against the top D in the league last week and more to come this week.

Opening NFL Spread: Baltimore -2.5Best Line Offered: YouWager

STEELERS

Doug Upstone: Baltimore has turned into a phony again. The Ravens are trending downward at 1-3 SU & ATS, while Pittsburgh is coming at 3-0 SU & ATS. The visitor is 4-0 ATS. Make it five straight.

Kevin Stott: Hate-worthy clash of imposing Trends w/Steelers 12-2- 1 L15 Road SU while Blackbirds 13-5 ATS L18 vs AFC North. Will be entertaining, but hard to pick with Ravens D and Pittsburgh’s O a variable.

Swinging Johnson: Based on last week’s results with Ravens losing big and Steelers winning big, Ravens losing 3 of last 4, Steelers winning 3 of last 4 -- you get where I’m going with this?

RAVENS

Rainman: Baltimore struggles to run, but will be able to pass against Pitt team that ranks 23rd in opposing QB rating. Baltimore’s vaunted, top-ranked defense, will bounce back in rivalry game at home.

Matthew Jordan: Baltimore eyes season sweep after 26-14 win at Heinz in Week 4. Ravens 1-3 since and Steelers 3-0, but I generally lean home side in series and Steelers 1-5 ATS in past 6 in series.

Opening NFL Spread: Denver -2.5Best Line Offered: JustBet

TEXANS

Rainman: I see both teams struggling to score — Denver against Houston’s top-ranked run defense and Houston against Denver’s high-quality secondary. In a tight, low-scoring game, i’ll take the points.

Matthew Jordan: Denver always a tough place to play, but white-flag Broncos in sell-off mode, while Houston has won 5 straight and on extra rest. Denver also has covered just 5 of past 20 overall.

Kevin Stott: Could this go to OT tied 0-0? Papa don’t preach our QB woes for we’ve spent much Greenery and Time in this matter. Perhaps 58-year-old GM Elway still has game left for Denver (3-1 ATS L4 series)?

BRONCOS

Doug Upstone: After starting 0-3 & ATS, Houston has won five in a row (3-1-1 ATS) and has gone from last to first in the AFC South. The ride ends in Denver, as the Broncos players win despite their coach.

Swinging Johnson: If DeAndre Hopkins is Batman then Will Fuller is Robin meaning only 1 caped crusader in H-Town after Fuller tore his ACL last week. Hop will be doubled and tripled leaving Watson airless.

Opening NFL Spread: Pick'emBest Line Offered: SportsBetting

CHARGERS

Matthew Jordan: Seattle better than expected and so tough at home. Chargers, though, off a bye and have Melvin Gordon back. Seahawks 2-6-1 ATS in past 9 at home vs. teams with winning road record.

SEAHAWKS

Rainman: Seattle’s defense is good again. It’s allowed fewer than 20 points in four of its last five games. If Gordon remains injured, L.A. will really struggle to score. Its run defense is vulnerable.

Doug Upstone: The Chargers and Seahawks used to be division rivals. First trip for Bolts to Seattle in eight years. Seahawks running game has their way with L.A. South and goes to 10-2 ATS at home off an upset.

Kevin Stott: Toto, I have a feeling we’re not in Kansas anymore. Brees (36-22 ATS RD), SD (1-4 ATS L5 series) may meet stiff resistance vs. the Seattle D (18.7 ppg) in this old AFC West rivalry in Emerald City.

Swinging Johnson: Just woke up and realized I’ve been underestimating the Seahawks as they enter winning 4 of last 5 and covering in their last three. Bolts tuckered after their trip across the pond.

Opening NFL Spread: Pick'emBest Line Offered: GT Bets

RAMS

Rainman: The Saints are now favored. They're overrated at home, where they’re 2-4 L6 ATS and 1-2 ATS this year with the one cover coming in Brees’ record clinching night. The Rams will light them up.

Kevin Stott: Great matchup. We first think of the Rams prolific O, but the D (22.1 ppg) has been equally as impressive. Saints 1-3 ATS L4 vs Goffsters, who, with Gurley may score 44. Rams just too good

SAINTS

Matthew Jordan: Winner here in driver’s seat for NFC’s top playoff seed. Was Rams offense a bit exposed by Green Bay? Also, L.A.’s first dome game and that noise matters. Saints 5-0 ATS in past 5.

Doug Upstone: Best battle for Week 9. The Rams have been fabulous, but New Orleans drags the Tinsel-Towner's into the bayou and hands L.A. their first defeat. Saints 9-1 ATS at home off two roadies.

Swinging Johnson: The total in this game is 106 but it could go higher. Brees has been here before and Saints have been an ATM, covering in 5 straight while Rams due for a loss after grueling win over GB.

Opening NFL Spread: New England -6Best Line Offered: BetPhoenix

PACKERS

Rainman: I’ll take nearly seven points with Rodgers all day. New England’s pass defense hasn’t passed a difficult test and Rodgers will give them one. Not enough separates these two teams to justify spread.

Swinging Johnson: Pats slept-walked through their win over Buffy and are depleted in the backfield. Packers poised to rumble at the Razor after dropping a heartbreaker to the Rams and could pull the upset.

PATRIOTS

Matthew Jordan: Just our second and likely last matchup between HOFers Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady. Pack just 3-7 ATS in past 10, while Patriots have won 11 straight at home and 9-2 ATS in those.

Doug Upstone: Green Bay will challenge New England, quite possibly into the fourth quarter. That's where the rubber meets the road and the Packers once again prove they are not an elite team any longer.

Kevin Stott: Brady (88-56 ATS Home), Patriots (66-48 ATS L10 Octobers) collect as Home chalks (20-9-3 ATS L32) with last Home ATS result a ½-point Loss (SU Win) to KC in a 43-40 classic. Packers 3-0 ATS L3 at NE.

Opening NFL Spread: Dallas -6.5Best Line Offered: Betmania

TITANS

Rainman: The Titans have one of the better run defenses and will improve with health of linebackers — first Woodyard and hopefully also Morgan and Compton. They’ll limit Zeke. Dallas won’t score enough.

Doug Upstone: Even with a couple covers, Dallas is still a miserable 24-40 ATS as a home favorite since 2008. While no fan of Tennessee, I'd rather take the points than give them with the Cowboys at home.

Swinging Johnson: Two of the best defenses with the weakest offenses face off and the oddsmakers are going to give 1 of them a TD head start? If they’re trying to seduce me my clothes are already off.

COWBOYS

Matthew Jordan: Simple on Dallas – bet Cowboys at home (unbeaten) and not away (winless). Both off a bye week and Cowboys should get immediate boost from new WR Amari Cooper. Also bet ‘under’!

Kevin Stott: Cowgals alternate W’s and L’s like their games are fixed. Titans score fortnightly. Hate-worthy indeed. No wonder Mr. Bookieman wears silk undies. Do we bet on these ‘cause they’re so damn boring?

Season ATS records: MJ (64-53-4), RM (53-65-3), SJ (58-61-2), DU (58-55-8), KS (55-63-3)

Survivor Picks: MJ (CAR), RM (CAR), SJ (CAR), DU (KC), KS (KC)

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