Week 8 NFL Picks: Where Are the Sharps?

Jordan Sharp

Sunday, October 26, 2014 1:56 PM UTC

Sunday, Oct. 26, 2014 1:56 PM UTC

A week after highlighting some nice NFL picks that the sharps were heavy on in Week 7, I’m back again this week, dissecting the Week 8 NFL odds. Here are three games that look to be heavily leaning towards one side. 

Ravens vs. Bengals
One of the more lopsided games of the week when it comes to the NFL odds is the Ravens and Bengals battling for the AFC North. The odds for this game are favoring the Ravens at -2, but that may not be enough. The SBR Consensus data for this game looks like the money is squarely on the Ravens this week on the road. This could be largely because the Bengals have been collapsing over the last few weeks, and again it looks like they’ll be without AJ Green once again this week. Plus, Andy Dalton has played pretty bad against the Ravens during his career, and it looks like it will continue this week. Dalton has thrown more picks than touchdowns during his time against the Ravens, and without his best receiver, the sharps look like they are all over the Ravens with their NFL picks.

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Texans vs. Titans
Houston heads into Tennessee this weekend to play the Titans, and rookie Zach Mettenberger is getting his first NFL start for the Titans. With that news, it looks as if the NFL odds are strongly leaning towards the Texans, and if our consensus data is accurate, it looks as if all of the sharps are betting the Texans to have a great game here. The Texans also may be getting back Jadeveon Clowney this week, which would be really scary if you’re the Titans. Having him and JJ Watt bearing down on a young quarterback is a recipe for disaster, especially in his first NFL start. I would not be opposed to anyone laying the points on the road with the Texans. While the Titans have a lot more upside with Mettenberger than they did with Jake Locker or Charlie Whitehurst, he is still a rookie making his first start, and he will probably turn the ball over at least once or twice.

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Eagles vs. Cardinals
One of the better games of the week should be this NFC showdown between the Cards and Eagles, and even though the NFL odds are pretty even, the money is not. It looks as if the sharps may be betting on an Eagles upset here on the road, and if that’s the case, I’m not sure if I agree. I like the Eagles and I think they have a better team than the Cards, but not by much, and definitely not enough to have much confidence in them on the road. Sure the Cards have a pretty bad pass defense, but neither do the Eagles. This game is far from a defensive battle, and if that’s the case, can we really have that much confidence in the Eagles, or their defense. I might recommend laying off the spread in the NFL odds for this game, and instead betting on the over. At 48 points, this total is pretty low comparable to how bad these defenses are playing, and with the close spread, it might be safer to wager the total at 5Dimes.

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