Week 8 NFL Picks: Game-by-Game Against the Spread Predictions

SBR Staff

Tuesday, October 23, 2018 4:31 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 23, 2018 4:31 PM UTC

Here's an NFL Week 8 betting cheat sheet. Each week of the season, you will find the entire slate with picks ATS and each capper's quick-hitting reasoning. SBR also will have full previews of each week's prime-time and marquee games.

Opening NFL Spread: Houston -7Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

DOLPHINS

NONE

TEXANS

Matthew Jordan: As I wrote in Capper Court, recommend buying Houston to -6.5. The Fins are down their top two WRs in Albert Wilson and Kenny Stills and again go with Brock Osweiler at QB. Not good.

Swinging Johnson: Houston ready to hook some Fish as injuries mount for Miami. Houston is 4-0-1 ATS in last five Week 8 games while Miami is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games. Watson shines … finally.

Rainman: One O (Miami) is struggling to score on the road and struggling with injury, the other one (Houston) is capable of big plays and will score plenty against Miami D ranked second-to-last in opp. YPA.

Doug Upstone: Miami is 29th against the run and Houston at home is likely to improve upon No.15 rush attack. The Dolphins are at 29th in pass attempt yardage and the Texans should roll and win by 13.

Kevin Stott: What up witches? Wicked hateful game that may go to quadruple OT if NFL had such rules. Both struggle ATS on TNF but likely not as much as I struggle trying to pick winners in Dolphins games.

Opening NFL Spread: Philadelphia -3.5Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

EAGLES

Matthew Jordan: Two hugely disappointing teams. Pretty simple choice: The Eagles have a very good quarterback (Carson Wentz) and the Jaguars don’t (Blake Bortles – who will be on a short leash).

Swinging Johnson: Another game in Jolly Old but they’ll be no joy in Jax as their defense is faltering while their offense is flat-lining. Philly is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in October. Wentz rolls.

Doug Upstone: Early riser from London finds two teams not playing to their capabilities. At least Philadelphia has competent QB to lean on, the Jags do not. The Jaguars are 16-32 ATS away vs. the NFC.

Kevin Stott: With big Injury problems (Fournette, Seferian-Jenkins), a weak O (16.6 ppg) and major TO problems (-12), Jaguars should struggle scoring at Wembley while Eagles should have around 30, old chap.

JAGUARS

Rainman: When Bortles was benched in the preseason, he responded by playing way better. Hyde will give O a further lift. The defense is still elite. Eagles are struggling. London is Jax’s second home.

Opening NFL Spread: Chicago -6.5Best Line Offered: BookMaker

JETS

Kevin Stott: Jets 0-4 ATS L4 in series, but Gang Green now has Darnold and skill guys Crowell, Powell, Enunwa and Anderson all getting it done at WR. Bears 2-0 HF’s, 1-6 ATS prior 7 in role and 6½-7 seems high.

BEARS

Matthew Jordan: That Chicago defense has been exposed with Khalil Mack, who isn’t 100 percent healthy, can’t get to the quarterback. The Jets are solid at home but have covered 3 of past 12 on road.

Swinging Johnson: Had Trubisky eliminated errors last week the Bears could have beaten the Pats. They get a much easier opponent this week with a rookie QB in Darnold enduring growing pains as Jets fade.

Rainman: Bears’ O has scored 48, 28, 31 points in its last three games. Trubisky is finally living up to the hype. We already know that the defense is elite. Darnold will get eaten up, has yet to cover on road.

Doug Upstone: Both Jets and Chicago learned there's work to do before being taken seriously. Both offenses make numerous mistakes. Jets are 3-13 ATS away after allowing 25+ points in 2 straight games.

Opening NFL Spread: Cincinnati -4.5Best Line Offered: BetOnline

BUCS

NONE

BENGALS

Matthew Jordan: Bucs lead the league by a mile in passing yards per game. They’re also a warm-weather team and it won’t be very warm in Cincy, which is 12-3 in past 15 after consecutive losses.

Kevin Stott: Bucs (4-0 ATS L4 vs CIN, 3-1 ATS L4 Away) usually walk the plank in October (39-64-3 ATS L10), and with TB (-6 TO, #30) now QB shuffling in The Big Guava and Andy and the Bangles 10-5 ATS L15 games.

Swinging Johnson: Public will be fading the Cats after their debacle last week at Arrowhead but Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses while Bucs are 2-8 ATS in last 10 October games.

Rainman: Bucs D ranks dead-last in opp. passer rating. Home is perfect place for Bengals to bounce back. They hopefully learned from MNF that they need to do more RPO and feed Green more. Bucs off OT loss.

Doug Upstone: Cincinnati will gladly step down in class after being scalped by K.C. The Buccaneers are on a 0-4 ATS run and they are dead last defending the pass. Cincinnati gets back on track vs. the Bucs.

Opening NFL Spread: Detroit -3Best Line Offered: Bovada

SEAHAWKS

Rainman: Seahawks 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS L5 after bye. All covers by double digits. Failed to cover against 13-3 Cards in '15 and runners-up Falcons in '16. Seattle loves to run, Detroit has bottom-ranked run D.

Kevin Stott: Lions (3-1 ATS L4 series @ DET) may have NFL’s best WR trio (Tate-Jones-Golladay) and Legion of Boom may be gone, but trusting Stafford (37-46 ATS vs Non-Division, #21 Position Rank) scary.

LIONS

Matthew Jordan: The Lions have a running game for about the first time since Barry Sanders! Kerryon Johnson is making a Rookie of the Year push. Somehow, Seahawks 0-9 ATS in past 9 Week 8 games.

Swinging Johnson: Lions have defeated the Patriots & Packers in Motown and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC. Hawks won’t stop Stafford and dynamic duo of Johnson & Blount on the ground.

Doug Upstone: The home team in Seattle at Detroit matchup is 4-0 (3-1 ATS) lately. Even with this, my first impulse was to take the points until finding the Seahawks are 0-9 ATS as non-division road dogs.

Opening NFL Spread: Kansas City -10Best Line Offered: Heritage

BRONCOS

Swinging Johnson: Divisional contests can be tricky and although the Chiefs have dominated Denver recently only one of their 5 straight wins over the Broncos has eclipsed 10 points.

CHIEFS

Matthew Jordan: I backed the Broncos for an upset when K.C. was in Denver in Week 4 and the Chiefs won 27-23 thanks to a fourth-quarter rally from 10 down. Kansas City is 6-0 ATS past 6 in series.

Rainman: Destroying Arizona doesn’t convince me Broncos are good road team. Chiefs are unstoppable. Their stacked O gets a huge lead, forces other team to pass and get eaten by KC’s pass rush.

Kevin Stott: Denver doesn’t score much (23.6 ppg) despite being very solid at gaining yards (2,635) while Hunt-Kelce-Hill have combined for 13 TDs for KC who is 6-0 ATS L6 series meetings and 11-1 ATS L12.

Doug Upstone: Kansas City is 6-0 SU &ATS against Denver in there in most recent gatherings. The Broncos whipped Arizona and is more rested, yet they are 0-6 ATS as a road underdog the past two years.

Opening NFL Spread: Washington -1Best Line Offered: Intertops

REDSKINS

Swinging Johnson: Giants got more than lucky to cover number against Atlanta but won’t get lucky this week. Eli is a ghost of himself and Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC opponents.

Doug Upstone: The New York Giants have are not a good football team. If you have seen them other than one half against Carolina. The G-Men are also 1-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 the last two seasons.

Kevin Stott: Bucking the series Trends again (WASH 3-7 ATS L10, 1-4 ATS L5 Away) and taking Mr. Smith (37-25 ATS vs Division) at MetLife vs ROY candidate Barkley, sad Eli, loquacious Odell and the Jints (2-4 ATS).

GIANTS

Matthew Jordan: How are the Redskins a first-place team? Oh yeah, they play in the sh*tty NFC East. Skins are just 2-7 in past nine after a win. Giants on short week but 7-3 ATS past 10 in series.

Rainman: Skins have won once in last five years at Giants. Their playmakers on O are dealing with injury. Saquon will bounce back for Giants. NYG D is improving, allowing only 3.4 YPC in last three games.

Opening NFL Spread: Pittsburgh -7.5Best Line Offered: YouWager

BROWNS

Rainman: Steelers 0-4 L4 ATS after bye week. Every Browns game but one decided by four points or fewer. They don't win, but excel at keeping games close. They limit opposing scoring, rank first in takeaways.

Doug Upstone: Browns backers might be clamoring for "regulation time" only for betting with four OT tilts already. Whoever covers first meeting is 4-0-1 ATS in next contest and that would be Cleveland.

STEELERS

Matthew Jordan: Could Browns play yet another OT game? The already have 4, including Week 1 tie vs. Steelers. Guess no Le’Veon Bell this week, but Pittsburgh is well-rested & healthy off bye.

Kevin Stott: With last B2B Wins in 2014 when Bitcoin was $344 ($6,410, Oct. 21), Browns (4-0 ATS L4 vs. PIT) too hard to back. Week 1 Tie could put some pump in the Steelers’ rump who may have Bell back.

Swinging Johnson: Brownies are a vastly improved team but the Steelers will make it hurt this week and take revenge on their opening week tie in Cleveland. Baker won’t keep pace with Big Ben this time.

Opening NFL Spread: Baltimore -1Best Line Offered: JustBet

RAVENS

Swinging Johnson: I trust Flacco more than Cam as both defenses are equipped to stall the other. Ravens are 5-0 ATS in last 5 following straight up loss while Cats are 0-5 ATS in last 5 following straight up win.

Rainman: D travels. Ravens collapsed against Brees-led Saints, expect them to play strong until the end. Ravens are pass-first and Panthers rank 20th in opp. passer rating, even gave up 300 yards to Eli.

Kevin Stott: The Blackbirds D (14.4 ppg, #1) has been like Whoa, recording 13 Sacks in one game (TEN), so reluctantly taking another angry-off-a-Loss Road team in what should be a low-scoring affair in Charlotte.

PANTHERS

Matthew Jordan: Likely will be the lowest-scoring game of week between good defenses. The fourth quarter of Week 7 went very differently for these two. Panthers 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS past 8 at home.

Doug Upstone: Baltimore's defense shows up at No.1 in fewest points allowed (14.4 PPG) but they permit points at the wrong time. Panthers are 18-7 ATS vs. teams averaging 375 or more yards of offense.

Opening NFL Spread: Indianapolis -3Best Line Offered: SportsBetting

COLTS

Matthew Jordan: Gruden’s Raiders are in full tank mode with Marshawn Lynch on injured reserve and now former top receiver Amari Cooper headed to Dallas. Oakland 3-12 SU in past 15 after a bye week.

Swinging Johnson: Indy got their offensive mojo last week while Raiders are busy shredding payroll and waiting for next year. Luck should be able to cover this small number all by himself so lay it.

Rainman: Impossible to bet on Raiders. Team is trading away its best players, losing by double digits in each of last two weeks. They seem hell-bent on getting first-round pick. Colts seem in way better shape.

Doug Upstone: Jon Gruden says more roster changes are coming, just what Las Vegas fans want, a loser. The Colts play hard all 60 minutes and they are 25-12 ATS as a road favorite of three points or less.

Kevin Stott: Raiders coming off Bye but after travelling 10,690 miles to score only 3 points, I won’t back the Silver & Black (1-5 ATS) until Week 16 (DEN). Luck and Horseshoes not as bad as their Record.

RAIDERS

NONE

Opening NFL Spread: LA Rams -9Best Line Offered: GT Bets

PACKERS

Matthew Jordan: Previewed this individually here at SBR and love the ‘over.’ It’s the biggest that Aaron Rodgers has been an underdog as starting QB. He can keep well-rested Packers within TD.

Swinging Johnson: When’s the last time the Packers, with Rodgers under center, got close to double-digits? Public getting too carried away with Rams so we’ll take advantage and grab the points.

RAMS

Rainman: Packers don’t travel well, lost by double-digits at Washington and fell behind 24-0 in Detroit. Spread seems large, but Rams are regularly dropping 30+ per game. Should see something like 38-24 here.

Kevin Stott: When gimpy Cal-product Rodgers sees not-gimpy Cal-product Goff having Cooks-Cupp-Woods as his toys, it’ll remind him of 2010 when his legs were less brittle and he had Nelson-Jennings-Jones.

Doug Upstone: Rams are the best team in football and should push around Green Bay's No. 20 run defense and take advantage of talented, but mistake-prone secondary. No Aaron Rodgers miracles in L.A.

Opening NFL Spread: Pick'emBest Line Offered: BetPhoenix

49ERS

Rainman: 49ers must feel embarrassed for losing to this team. Cards look demoralized with players asking to be traded after suffering a blowout at home. 49ers will exact revenge here. Rosen not NFL-ready.

Doug Upstone: Same month revenge game for San Francisco. Arizona has already fired offensive coordinator and coach Steve Wilks is in trouble after 7 games. The Niners are 11-6 ATS in desert of late.

Kevin Stott: Hate this matchup more than I hated it three weeks ago when Beathard threw 54 passes and the gold prospectors lost by 10 at The Zipper in Santa Clara. With it likely high-scoring, gonna back 49ers.

CARDINALS

Matthew Jordan: Clubs played few weeks ago and the Cardinals won 28-18 despite being outgained 447-220. The Niners had five turnovers. Arizona has won 7 straight in series (avg. of 12 points).

Swinging Johnson: Oddsmakers say this is a coin flip and so do I. Is there a way they can both lose? Backing Cards in the desert as they 4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home vs. team with losing road record.

Opening NFL Spread: Minnesota -1Best Line Offered: Betmania

SAINTS

Rainman: Vikings pass D has been vulnerable to good quarterbacks—Rodgers, Goff, Wentz handled them with ease. Saints also boast more balanced offense with healthy running backs. Take the points with Brees.

Doug Upstone: Return engagement for New Orleans, looking to make amends for horrible last-second loss to Minnesota in the playoffs. In the past three years, the Saints are 8-1 ATS on the road in Week 5-9.

Kevin Stott: Cool Brees (41-28 ATS RD) and da Who Dats (6-3 ATS SNF) are good ATS in October (60-48), but Minnesota (11-6 ATS SNF) is 7-2-1 ATS L10 meetings and 4-1 ATS L5 in the Land of 10,000 Lakes.

VIKINGS

Matthew Jordan: “Minneapolis Miracle!” Two Vikings QBs beat the Saints last year: Case Keenum (playoffs) and Sam Bradford (Week 1). Kirk Cousins is better than both. Saints 1-5 in past 6 at night.

Swinging Johnson: Vikes have been an ATM at home covering in 14 of their last 19 and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Cousins to Thielen strikes again.

Opening NFL Spread: New England -14Best Line Offered: Skybook

PATRIOTS

Swinging Johnson: Pats superior offense will melt the Bills like butter in a blast furnace so don’t turn away from the chalky number, embrace it and watch the Pats roll over the worst team in football.

Rainman: This spread can’t be too high. Bills defense is extremely underrated, but the offense commits so many turnovers, which is how the Colts, scored 30+ last week. Patriots rank sixth in forcing turnovers.

Doug Upstone: Buffalo has not been this big a home underdog to New England since 2007, catching +15.5 (Lost 56-10). Nobody is expecting that to occur, still, the Pats are 19-7 and 17-7-2 ATS at Buffalo.

Kevin Stott: Too many toys for Tommy and it’s not even Christmas and the Founding Fathers 3-0 ATS L3 in series and 4-0 ATS L4 in Flour City. Confucius say “Super Bowl Shuffle better than Quarterback Shuffle.”

BILLS

Matthew Jordan: Obviously don’t see Bills winning, but could be a bit of trap/letdown game for Patriots ahead of big one with Green Bay. Rookie RB Sony Michel likely out and maybe Gronk again too.

Season ATS records: MJ (56-47-4), RM (47-57-2), SJ (48-57-2), DU (50-49-8), KS (48-55-4)

Survivor Picks: MJ (PIT), RM (CIN), SJ (PIT), DU (NE), KS (CIN)

comment here