Week 7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers Predictions

San Francisco 49ers  players celebrating

Nikki Adams

Thursday, October 20, 2016 2:04 PM GMT

NFL betting markets install the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the road favorites at Levi Stadium. Do the bookies have it right? Find out as we break down this matchup and serve up week 7 NFL picks for this game.

San Francisco Niners (1-5SU, 1-2 home)

The San Francisco 49ers are riding a five-game losing streak into week 7. The opening victory over the Rams a distant memory for a team that is in crisis mode now, without a proper identity on offense and a defense that simply can’t keep up. Where do the Niners go from here is anybody’s guess.

Colin Kaepernick proved not to be the answer in week 6 when the Niners suffered a horrendous 45-16 loss in Buffalo. To be fair, they were in it in the first half. The Niners went into the locker room trailing 14-13. It’s the second half that was largely forgettable, something that has been the case in almost each and every defeat this season.

Some allowance has to be made for the Buffalo Bills, who are simply hitting it out of the park in recent weeks. A four-game winning streak since firing their offensive coordinator ahead of week 3 sees the Bills up to second place in the AFC Eastt and riding the best form in what must seem a lifetime for Buffalo fans. It was always going to be a tough ask for Kaepernick in his first game of the season, let alone a Niners side whose confidence is visibly waning.

The damage has been done though and the Niners enter week 7 as the considerable home underdogs, trading anywhere from +2 to +3 on the NFL odds board. On one hand, it’s understandable why the Niners might be disadvantaged when they have the second worst losing streak after the Cleveland Browns in the NFL.

However, what have the Buccaneers done to warrant a favorable outlook? Granted they beat the Falcons and Panthers – two highly fancied outfits – but it’s no coincidence those represent divisional rivals. Outside of the NFC South Tampa Bay has been a non-factor. What’s more, only a couple of weeks ago head coach Dirk Koetter was calling out his quarterback, saying he was concerned about the play of the second-year shot caller. Jameis Winston responded with a hard fought win over the Carolina Panthers in week 5 NFL betting, but, now that the Panthers are 1-5 SU on the season following a 41-38 loss to the New Orleans Saints, how much takeaway is there from that performance?

Not a whole lot really. Keep in mind the Bucs are coming off a bye week and while there is an advantage to it the disadvantage is they don’t have a lot to go in in the way of tape on Kaepernick in Chip Kelly’s offense. Four quarters in Buffalo isn’t a whole lot to go on and there are sure to be changes this week as Kelly tries to adapt to the quarterback change.

To put it simply, we’re not buying what the Bucs are selling just yet. They might be 2-1 SU on the road but that mark includes a 7.7 losing margin on average and a -2.3 differential versus the spread. Outside of their division, they are 0-3 SU (home and away) with a -19.3 losing margin on average and -16.8 differential versus the spread. Yikes.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers  

Betting on either the Niners or the Bucs in this game comes with a lot of uncertainty. For their own reasons neither is convincing or consistent and that makes a pick for this game a right tossup. For our money, we’re shading the Niners as the home underdogs at +2.5 (+103) with Pinnacle with our week 7 NFL picks.

 

Free NFL Picks: Niners +2.5 (+103) Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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