Week 6 TNF Capper Court: Surprise Verdict on Giants Over Eagles

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SBR Staff

Monday, October 8, 2018 4:57 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 8, 2018 4:57 PM UTC

Welcome to the "Capper Court," where five of SBR's NFL handicappers will provide their opinions on Thursday night and Sunday night NFL games. The majority rules! It's Eagles-Giants to kick off Week 6.

Philadelphia (2-3) at NY Giants (1-4)Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (Fox/NFL Network)Free Majority Pick: Giants +3 Opening LineBest Line Offered: BetOnline

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Matthew Jordan:

One of the least appealing Thursday night games of the season with the way the Eagles are dealing with a Super Bowl hangover and having to watch the terrible Eli Manning. The entire NFC East is hard to watch and it may only take eight wins to claim that division. Philadelphia's offense simply isn't clicking yet and hasn't topped 21 points in regulation (did in an OT loss to the Titans). Carson Wentz has put up big numbers the past two weeks but isn't getting much pass protection and his running games isn't helping, either -- and now Jay Ajayi is done for the year with a torn ACL (Le'Veon Bell!?). No team has repeated as NFC East champs since Philly did it in 2003 and 2004.

The Giants have now dropped 18 of 22 but at least reached the 30-point barrier Sunday for the first time since Tom Coughlin's finale as head coach in Week 17 of 2015. Alas, the Giants lost in Carolina on a near-miracle 63-yard field goal as time expired by Graham Gano. Manning did have 326 yards passing and two scores but also two huge picks. Odell Beckham Jr. backed up his mouthing off last week about the offense with eight catches for 131 yards and a TD but also muffed a punt that led directly to a Carolina TD. Rookie Saquon Barkley had two TD catches -- one a trick play from Beckham. You should never bet a game where the spread is 3 points, and I won't be here. Buy it up to 3.5 points and go G-Men. They have won just one of the past eight in this series but covered both close losses in 2017.

Swinging Johnson:

The Giants bowed to divisional rival and eventual Super Bowl winner Philadelphia twice last season, but the Eagles’ combined margin of victory was just eight points and New York covered the number on both occasions. Based on what we’ve seen this season, it appears the talent gap has diminished from 2017 as New York has added a new dimension to their rushing game, as well as a viable option to their passing attack wrapped up in one player named Saquon Barkley, while Philadelphia looks far from the juggernaut of last season.

The difference between good teams and bad teams is that the good teams find a way to win, while the bad teams find a way to lose. Last week, the Giants did the latter but the Eagles could not do the former in their home loss to Minnesota. Fast forward to this week, and Philadelphia will be laying a field goal on the road to a divisional rival that is averaging a click more offensively and just scored 31 points on Carolina, a team whose defense was ranked in the top third of the league. Divisional games are usually more hotly contested than most, and New York has a chance to win this game and avenge those two losses from last season if they can get their defense to rise up. We think they can, but we’ll take the points the oddsmakers are giving us just in case.

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I grew up a Giants fan in Eagles territory, and this Thursday Night Football promo is way too real for me pic.twitter.com/2KYnoQhGGk

— Kevin Boilard (@247KevinBoilard) October 5, 2018
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Doug Upstone:

Philadelphia and New York are both under .500. The Eagles are favored in this Thursday night game but this season is 0-4 ATS in that role. The Giants record as an underdog is better than their overall record (2-3 ATS vs. 1-4 SU), but they too are a phony. New York's stated goal was to be a more physical team, running the ball with rookie Saquon Barkley. Because their offensive line is horrible, the G-Men are 31st in rush attempts and 28th in rushing and have already given up on what was going to be their identity.

Both these NFC East rivals commit more than more than two turnovers a game and force just one, thus, each is more inclined to beat itself than to earn a victory. As for a choice, this is a tough one, but at -3 I'll take Philly because road favorites off two losses are 32-10 ATS against losing teams.

Kevin Stott:

The Giants have been pretty profitable at MetLife Stadium on Thursday nights (7-3 ATS, 3-0 ATS Home), but Carson Wentz usually wins when he starts (12-4 SU) and his champion Eagles (6-4 SU/ATS on Thursdays) need this one after a 2-3 start after losing to gimme a “T” for Tampa, gimme a “T” for Tennessee and Minnesota, even playing in the NFC East. Eli Manning (44-39 ATS vs NFC East) and NY (58-46 ATS L) are 3-1 ATS L4 in this series, but with the Jints so offensively challenged — 21st in Passing, 27th in Rushing and 27th in Scoring (20.8 ppg) — edge to the midnight green bald birds of prey who also have WRs Jeffery and Matthews back but who have been relying heavily on RB Ajayi with Clement (Quad) and Sproles (Hamstring) recovering.

With Wentz getting back into a groove, expecting a nice little 5- to 7-game Win Streak from Philly who went 16-3 SU in all games — including the Super Bowl thing — last year and who again are leading the league in Time of Possession. Controlling the Clock is everything in the NFL if you have the smart horses and can actually do so. And HC Pederson does.

Rainman:

I refuse to back a favored Eagles team while its offense remains unable to click. On Sunday, they put up a season-high point total through four quarters of just 21 points by scoring a garbage touchdown near the end of regulation. The unit has dealt with injuries at quarterback, running back and wide receiver, and perhaps the entire team is suffering from a Super Bowl hangover. The Eagles are 0-4 L4 ATS and have barely won twice in very lackluster games against lowly Atlanta and Indianapolis.

The Giants, no doubt, have problems of their own. But at least they’re scoring points! Eli Manning achieved a season-high 326 yards with nine yards per pass Sunday in a loss at Carolina. Philadelphia’s pass defense has great numbers overall, but is allowing 360 yards per game on the road — 402 yards to Ryan Fitzpatrick and a season-high 344 yards to Marcus Mariota. The Giants have two viable weapons at receiver in Odell Beckham and Sterling Shepard, but also consider Saquon Barkley, who is proving to be an elite athlete both on the ground and at receiver. New York is 3-1 L4 ATS against Philly.

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