Find out how to line-up against the total for week 6 NFL games as we rundown through the entire slate of NFL games and serve up choice NFL picks.
BYE Week: Las Vegas Raiders (3-2-0), New Orleans Saints (3-2-0), Los Angeles Chargers (1-4-0), Seattle Seahawks (5-0-0)
Baltimore Ravens (4-1-0) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (1-3-1)
Sunday, October 18, 1:00 PM ET – Lincoln Financial Field
The Baltimore Ravens put in a defensive masterclass in week 5, decimating the Cincinnati Bengals 27-3. It marked the second win this season in which the Ravens allowed less than 10 points. Indeed, in four of their five games – the exception being vs. the Chiefs – the Ravens have conceded 17 points or less.
To say this isn’t a good matchup for Carson Wentz and the Eagles is an understatement. It’s the understatement to end all understatements. Carson Wentz is struggling something huge this season and his issues are likely to be exacerbated by a merciless defense that takes no prisoners.
Wentz’s stats are concerning. He has 6 TDs to 9 INTs for a league-low 68.5 passer-rating. The Eagles offense is struggling and the defense is being taxed to breaking point. Overall, the Eagles have been outscored 145 to 113 for a 32 point differential.
The way this matchup stacks up on the NFL odds board, sportsbooks are expecting a largely forgettable performance by the Eagles. It could be a long day.
Chicago Bears (4-1-0) vs. Carolina Panthers (3-2-0)
Sunday, October 18, 1:00 PM ET – Bank of America Stadium
The Chicago Bears are riding high behind a 4-1-0 SU mark, buoyed by a noteworthy upset over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Thursday Night Football. By the slimmest of margins, the Bears edged the Bucs 20-19, but the Bears won’t be apologizing, and certainly not Nick Foles, who earned his first win as a starter for the Bears and underscoring his dark horse credentials further.
The Panthers are riding the momentum of a three-game winning streak into week 6’s round of NFL action, buoyed by the play of Teddy Bridgewater, who is proving to be the feel-good story of the NFL as he adjusts quickly to his new digs in Carolina.
When the Panthers lost Christian McCaffrey to injury earlier this season, there was genuine concern about Carolina’s prospects in 2020. Well, Bridgewater has dismissed all concerns (so far). The passing game is thriving in his steady hands and with the guidance of new offensive coordinator Joe Brady, the Carolina offense looks to be humming nicely.
And yet, the Panthers offense hasn’t been tested by a defense quite like Chicago’s defense, which just held Tom Brady to a mere 19 points. Indeed, three of the five games played saw the Bears hold opponents to 19 points or less. Three of Chicago’s five games have gone UNDER.
NFL Picks: UNDER 44.5 (-108) with Heritage
Detroit Lions (1-3-0) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4-0)
Sunday, October 18, 1:00 PM ET – TIAA Bank Field
The pressure is well and truly on the Detroit Lions, even though they’re coming off a bye week. They’re down 1-3-0 SU on the season, with Matt Patricia’s job hanging in the balance. There’s no ifs or buts about it, this is a must-win game.
The onus will be on Matthew Stafford and the offense to take advantage of a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that is coming apart at the seams for various reasons, including injuries. Stafford, as per usual, is having a modestly good season, with 8 TDs and 3 INTs through four games for a passer rating of 93.8, and the offense is averaging 24.75 points per game.
Where the Lions are failing themselves is on defense, leaking 31.75 points. Too often, the Lions get off to a fast start only to frit away the lead later in the game. That said, their first four games were against a different calibre opponent. The Jaguars, arguably, present a more “get right” opponent.
The Jaguars are riding a four-game losing streak into week 6. Injuries appear to be mounting and that seems to be breaking their defenses. Gardiner Minshew for his part is making some gritty plays, but the consistency isn’t there.
The Jaguars have been outscored 147 to 109 for a -38-point differential, and in their last four games they’ve conceded consistently more than 30 points.
NFL Picks: OVER 54.5 (-108) with Heritage
Green Bay Packers (4-0-0) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2-0)
Sunday, October 18, 4:25 PM ET – Raymond James Stadium
By the NFL odds, the highly-anticipated clash between the Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers is being billed as a veritable shootout. The total opened on 51.5 points but quickly shot up to 54.5 points with most top-rated sportsbooks.
Bearing in mind the quality, talent at skill at quarterback, it’s really not surprising to see the total for this game climb substantially. Aaron Rodgers has 13 TDs to his credit and no interceptions through four games, as well he boasts a 128.4 passer rating. The Packers are averaging 38 points per game and conceding 25.25 points per game on average.
The total has gone OVER in three of Green Bay’s four games this season, including two games in which the Packers put up more than 40 points to essentially take care of covering most of the total in play.
Tom Brady is up there as well on the passer leader-board with 12 TDs through five games and 4 INTs for a 96.8 passer rating. The Bucs are averaging 27.8 points per game and conceding 22.4 points per game. The OVER has cashed in three of Tampa Bay’s five games with the Bucs cracking 30 points in two.
If there’s one drawback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, it’s the penalties they incur. At the close of week 5, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers emerged as the most penalized team in the NFL with 42 penalties for 410 yards. Their worst offenses are false starts (8) and defensive pass interference calls (8), two aspects that Rodgers is sure to try exploiting.
All told, this game has every chance of cracking the lofty total. As such, the OVER bet is the choice NFL pick for this matchup.
The Rest of Week 6 O/U NFL Picks
Houston Texans (1-4-0) vs. Tennessee Titans (4-0-0)
Sunday, October 18, 1:00 PM ET – Nissan Stadium
Cincinnati Bengals (1-3-1) vs. Indianapolis Colts (3-2-0)
Sunday, October 18, 1:00 PM ET – Lucas Oil Stadium
NFL Picks: Over 46.5 (-110) with Bovada
Atlanta Falcons (0-5-0) vs. Minnesota Vikings (1-4-0)
Sunday, October 18, 1:00 PM ET – U.S. Bank Stadium
Denver Broncos (1-3-0) vs. New England Patriots (2-2-0)
Sunday, October 18, 1:00 PM ET – Gillette Stadium
NFL Picks: OVER 46 (-108) with Heritage
Washington (1-4-0) vs. New York Giants (0-5-0)
Sunday, October 18, 1:00 PM ET – MetLife Stadium
NFL Picks: UNDER 43.5 (-105) with BetOnline
Cleveland Browns (4-1-0) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-0-0)
Sunday, October 18, 1:00 PM ET – Heinz Field
NFL Picks: UNDER 51 (-105) with Bovada
New York Jets (0-5-0) vs. Miami Dolphins (2-3-0)
Sunday, October 18, 4:05 PM ET – Hard Rock Stadium
NFL Picks: OVER 47 (-108) with Heritage
Los Angeles Rams (4-1-0) vs. San Francisco 49ers (2-3-0)
Sunday, October 18, 8:20 PM ET – Levi’s Stadium
NFL Picks: OVER 50.5 (-105) with Intertops
Kansas City Chiefs (4-1-0) vs. Buffalo Bills (4-1-0)
Monday, October 19, 5:00 PM ET – Bills Stadium
NFL Picks: Over 57.5 (-108) with Heritage
Arizona Cardinals (3-2-0) vs. Dallas Cowboys (2-3-0)
Monday, October 19, 8:15 PM ET – AT&T Stadium
NFL Picks: OVER 54.5 (-110) with Intertops