Week 5 Recap: NFL Betting Trends, Results and More

Nikki Adams

Monday, October 6, 2014 7:27 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 6, 2014 7:27 PM UTC

Week 5 NFL betting is in the books, save for Monday’s clash with the Seahawks and Redskins. Join us for our regular, weekly analysis of the week’s action, results and betting trends and how they impacted NFL picks in week 5 of the NFL season.

Week 5 NFL Betting Recap
With only the Raiders (0-4SU) and Dolphins (2-2SU) sitting out this week on a bye, it was an almost full slate on the NFL odds board. Highlight reel: no more unbeaten teams as both Arizona Cardinals and Cincinnati Bengals succumbed to defeat, five teams suffered inexplicable collapses, Jets held utterly pointless, Broncos finally cover on the season, Brady bounces back and the Jaguars remain winless on the season.

How The Odds Shape Up
Week 5 was a big week for the favourites in straight up betting with 12-of-14 coming through on their NFL odds (12-2 SU). Against the spread, the favourites went 8-4-2, rounding out a superb week of NFL betting for the odds makers chosen ones. Home and away trends were conspicuously in favour of the former as well, with an 11-3 SU mark and 8-5-2 ATS mark. Finally, it was an even 7-7 split in over-under betting.

Overall, favourites edge underdogs 49-25 SU through five weeks of NFL betting and 37-34-3 ATS. Home and away trends lean towards the former 46-28 SU but swing 34-38-3 ATS. Finally, it’s only a marginal 39-35 lead in over-under betting.

NFL Betting Results SU and ATS
Green Bay Packers opened the week on Thursday with a massive 42-10 win over the Vikings, marking the biggest favourite at 9-points (moved up to 9.5-points even at one point) against the spread to cash, setting the tone for the rest of the week.

Giants and Colts handily lay points down in their respective victories – Giants beat the Falcons 30-20 as the 4-point chalk while the Colts beat the Ravens 20-13, all while books closed on 2.5-points (down from 3.5-points earlier in the week).

The Saints, entering the week’s NFL odds board as the highest chalk at 10.5-points at 5Dimes, failed to lay the points in a 37-31 victory over the spirited Bucs. Also, the Eagles as the 7-point favourites (moved down to 6.5-points) failed to cover in a 34-28 victory over the Rams.

The biggest underdogs to cover were the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 10.5-point underdogs (as high as 11-points even at some sportsbooks) in the 37-31 loss at New Orleans; although it’s worth mentioning they fritted away a massive double-digit lead, allowing the Saints to tie and send the game into overtime. Another solid underdog NFL pick proved to be on the Texans as they covered as the 6.5-point underdogs (opened around 4-points in early NFL betting markets) in a 20-17 overtime defeat to the Cowboys.

Many NFL bettors got burned by the Bills vs. Lions game last week. The Lions led 14-3 at halftime, but collapsed in the second half allowing the Bills to storm back and win straight up 17-14. That proved to be the biggest underdog to cash in SU betting as the +190 pup. The Bills also covered as the 7-point underdogs in the improbable win over the Lions and on the away no less. Additionally, Cleveland Browns cashed in for NFL bettors in SU betting as the +115 pups.

One of the most one-sided results on the NFL scoreboard was the 31-bagel the Chargers served the Jets Sunday. So much for the vaunted Jets’ defense and futile efforts of both Geno Smith and Michael Vick across two halves.

Total Betting
Packers’ big 42-10 win over the Vikings started the ball rolling for the ‘over’ in total betting, while the Falcons-Giants’ 50-point extravaganza pushed in most cases – those that bought in at the 49-point or 49.5-point NFL line proved winners though on the ‘over’ too.

The highest scoring game was the Saints vs. Rams clash that produced 68 points, easily going over the 47.5-point NFL line. Some of the highest scoring games that went over comfortably included the 41-20 win by the Broncos over the Cardinals (61-points), all while set to the tune of 49-points or thereabouts; and the Patriots beating the Bengals 43-17 (60-points), effortlessly going above the 46-point NFL betting line.

Other shootouts included the 31-24 win by the Panthers over Bears (55-points), the Browns over the Titans in a 29-28 (57-points) win and the Eagles over the Rams in 34-28 (62-points) win. The ‘under’ materialised in the 17-9 win by the Steelers over the Jaguars, the 20-13 win by the Colts over the Ravens and 17-14 win by the Bills over the Lions, to name a few.

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