Week 5 NFL Picks: Early Value – Shop Around

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, October 3, 2017 3:04 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 3, 2017 3:04 PM UTC

Seasoned pros know that getting down early can create enormous value if you have several online sportsbooks to peruse your NFL picks. Let’s see what looks ripe for the plucking as we shop on Tuesday for Sunday’s action.

Arizona vs. Philadelphia

If you are still alive in your suicide pool this is a game that you may be contemplating in a week where there are no big favorites, assuming you have already burned Pittsburgh as one of your suicide selections. The NFL odds opened with the Eagles as six-point home chalk but that number has been inching towards the magic number of seven. In fact, 5Dimes is dealing Cardinals +7 (-130) while Bookmaker, JustBet, and DSI are holding steady at six if you’re inclined to lay the number and include Philadelphia in your NFL picks.

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Carolina vs. Detroit

When this line opened the NFL odds makers installed the Lions as 2 ½ point home favorites but that number didn’t last long as the sharps pounced and grabbed Detroit before it moved. And indeed the number is now a steady three at all the major online sportsbooks as of this Tuesday morning writing. The conventional wisdom is that the Panthers may be due for a letdown after marching into Foxboro and defeating the reigning Super Bowl champion New England Patriots. The sharps believe that to be the case but do you? I can only see this number inching up so if you like the road dog here, I would wait and watch.

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Jacksonville vs. Pittsburgh

Normally the numbers are fairly tight across the board with one sportsbook dealing a half point lower or higher than another. Those half points can be critical which is why it is always important to have multiple outs. However, in this particular game, we are seeing the Steelers favored as low as 8 ½ at many of the offshores but 5Dimes is going rogue and dealing Jacksonville at +10 (-130). If you think this road dog will do more than just bark then grab Jax +10 before it disappears.

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Buffalo vs. Cincinnati

Both teams came away with convincing victories last week as the Bills stunned the Falcons despite being tagged as eight-point road dogs and the Bengals rebounded from a 0-3 start as their offense finally got into gear with a 31-7 thrashing of the Browns in Cleveland. This one will be played in Cincinnati and you can still get the home team below a field goal although you will have to pay a premium to do so. Offshore shops like Bookmaker and DSI are offering Bengals -2 ½ (-125) while most are sitting solidly at three. If you like the Cats, now might be a good time to lock and load.

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