Week 5 N.Y. Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers Odds & Free Picks

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, October 5, 2016 10:23 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 5, 2016 10:23 PM UTC

Out NFL handicapping professional previews Sunday’s upcoming game between the Jets and Steelers. Go inside to read this betting article culminated by an NFL pick on this contest.

 N.Y. Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers  

The Steelers (3-1) and Jets (1-3) are set to do battle on Sunday in Pittsburgh. The opening kickoff at Heinz Field is slated for 1:00 PM ET. These teams last met in 2014, and the Jets came away with a 20-13 home win.

At the time of this writing (10/5), NFL betting odds at Bookmaker shows the Steelers as a 7.0-point favorite, and the listed total is 48.0. Bookmaker is presently offering cash back bonuses. Take advantage of this unique opportunity by opening up an account today.


Quarterback Play Killing Jets

You just can’t play any worse than Jets quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has over the last 2 games. Fitzpatrick has thrown an alarmingly high 9 interceptions over that period of time, and tossed just 1 touchdown pass. As a matter of fact, the Jets have committed a combined 11 turnovers in losses to Kansas City and Seattle during those aforementioned 2 games. Heading into this week’s action, the Jets have a NFL worst -10 turnover margin. It’s not easy to win in the NFL, let alone when you’re turning the ball over at that rapid rate.  

Since 2011, the Jets are 0-7 SU&ATS in their last 7 games as a non-division away underdog of 7.0 or less, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .384 or more. They lost those contests by a decisive average of 21.5 points per game.


Impressive Week 4 Performance by Steelers

Pittsburgh rebound nicely from an embarrassing 34-3 loss at Philadelphia 2 weeks ago, and hammered Kansas City 43-14 last Sunday night. They led 29-0 at the half, and scored a touchdown on their opening possession of the 2nd half to take a commanding 36-0 lead.

The Steelers are 7-0 SU&ATS in its previous 7 games as a home favorite following a non-division contest, and won by a sizable average of 18.6 points per game.


NFL Betting Angle and Pick

The Steelers played error free football last Sunday against Kansas City. Conversely, the Jets had a -3 turnover margin during last week’s 27-17 home loss to Seattle. A combination of the aforementioned data, and present point spread, provides us with a solid betting angle illustrated below.

Any NFL favorite of 3.5 to 10.0 (Steelers), coming off a game in which they committed 1 or less turnovers, versus an opponent (Jets) that had a turnover margin of -3 or worse in its previous game, resulted in those favorites going 51-22 ATS (69.9%) since 2007.

There’s too much going wrong with the Jets right now to trust them against a quality team like Pittsburgh. Keeping with that theme, I’m using the home favorite as one of my NFL week 5 predictions.


Free NFL Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers -7
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker
ATS Record: 8-4 (66.7%)

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