Week 4 Results Offer Clues for Week 5 NFL Picks

Nikki Adams

Monday, September 29, 2014 7:14 PM GMT

Week 4 is almost wrapped up. Just Monday’s clash between the Patriots and Chiefs remains to be decided. Let’s go over all the NFL betting results that are in the books all while serving up an updated overview of all NFL betting trends.

NFL Week 4 Results
All in all, it was an even week in the NFL with favorites edging slightly ahead in both straight up betting and against the spread: Favorites went 7-5 SU and 7-5 ATS and of those, home favorites went both 7-5 SU and ATS. Finally, the ‘Over’ edged ahead 9-3 in total betting.

The updated numbers for the first four weeks of NFL betting are as follows: favorites have a significant 37-23 edge over underdogs SU, but they are almost on par against the spread with 29-30-1 mark. Home vs. Away trends reveal an edge to the former in straight up betting of 35-25. Against the spread, away teams have a nominal advantage with a 26-33-1 record through four weeks of NFL betting. Finally, the ‘Over’ edges 'Under’ ever so slightly with a 31-29 overall record in total betting.

 

Around The League
Although the week began with home favorites Washington Redskins blown out by New York Giants 45-14, Sunday was mostly about the favorites delivering, going 7-4 SU and ATS. One of the biggest favorites to cash in this week were the Chargers, who laid the 13-points in a 33-14 victory over the hapless Jacksonville Jaguars. It was the first time this season the Chargers were dubbed the favorites as they improved to an impressive 4-0-0 ATS on the season.

Indianapolis Colts (chalked at 7-points) also came away big 41-17 winners over the Tennessee Titans to improve 3-1-0 ATS through four weeks along with home favorites Houston Texans, Baltimore Ravens and San Francisco 49ers.

One of the biggest upsets of the week saw Pittsburgh Steelers fall to the previously winless Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Mike Glennon strung together an impressive, game-winning drive in the dying seconds of the game to lift the Bucs to the improbable 27-24 away victory, all while covering as the 7-point pups.

Green Bay Packers snapped their negative road trend with a 38-17 win over the Chicago Bears. Packers opened as the 1.5-point dogs but improved to 1.5-point favorites by kick-off. Jay Cutler, who went three games without an interception – his longest streak to date – unravelled in the second half, as he was twice intercepted and once sacked.

Minnesota Vikings improved 1-1 ATS as home underdogs when rookie quarterback Teddy Bridgewater led them to victory over the previously undefeated Atlanta Falcons. Vikings, matched as the 3-point underdogs in early betting markets moved as high as 5.5-point underdogs by kickoff, but it mattered little as they slung 41 points on Atlanta in a 13-point victory on Sunday.

Other home underdogs to prove bankable were the Dallas Cowboys who manhandled the New Orleans Saints at the AT&T Stadium, dropping 38 points on Drew Brees and company in a 21-point victory as the 3-point home dogs.

New York Jets, who opened as the 1.5-point underdogs but closed as the favorites – as high as 2-point favorites across several online betting platforms, succumbed to a 24-17 defeat to the Detroit Lions, marking their third straight defeat.

Finally, Oakland Raiders slipped to their fourth defeat on the season with a 38-14 defeat to Miami Dolphins at Wembley Stadium. The Raiders join the Jaguars as the only winless teams this season, a dubious honour. While the Raiders are 2-2 ATS this season, the Jaguars are 0-4 ATS.

 

A Word On Monday Night Football Moves
Monday Night NFL betting is mere hours away and it’s worth noting that the NFL betting lines have moved quite significantly. The Patriots, who opened as the 4-point favorites in early markets, are now trading as just the 3-point favorites. Are the Patriots getting too much respect at the expense of the Chiefs for your NFL picks?