Week 4 NFL Odds Report: Opening Odds to Offer Value?

Jordan Sharp

Monday, September 22, 2014 2:49 PM UTC

Monday, Sep. 22, 2014 2:49 PM UTC

Week 3 was a crazy week of football. With some lower scores and several upsets, Week 4 is shaping up to be a crucial week for several teams. Week 4’s NFL Odds are starting to come out, so let’s take a look at where they’re opening, and where they might move.

Giants vs. Redskins
Thursday Night Football is a NFC East showdown between the Redskins and Giants. Both teams are 1-2 SU this season and in danger of falling out of the division picture with the Eagles at 3-0 and playing at San Francisco in Week 4. The NFL Odds have the Giants as +4 underdogs with a total of 45 after opening as +5 ½ dogs. I expect these NFL Odds to settle even lower than this, so if you are looking to add the Giants to your NFL picks, take advantage of the +4.


Bills vs. Texans
After losing their first game of the season, the Bills have to go down to Houston to play the Texans. The Bills opened as +4 NFL Odds underdogs, but now sit at +3, with a low total of 41 points. Houston’s ability to slow down the Bills’ run game will go a long way in this game, but the NFL Odds likely won’t move far from their current position.


Titans vs. Colts
The NFL Odds have the Colts as -7 favorites against their divisional rival the Titans this week, with a total of 45 ½. The spread has dropped from -7 ½ where it opened, however I doubt it stays at an even seven points for long. I could see it going right back up later in the week.


Dolphins vs. Raiders
The Dolphins got beat down by the Chiefs at home this past week, and now they have to go to the winless Raiders in Oakland. Maurice Jones-Drew’s health is still up in the air, but the NFL Odds have the Raiders as +4 underdogs at home, with a total of 40 ½ or 41. The Raiders could have value here if they get MJD back, but their offense will need to improve.


Jaguars vs. Chargers
San Diego is now 2-1 after beating down the Bills in Week 3, and now they get a nice chance at a third win in a row against the Jags in Week 4. The NFL Odds have the Jaguars as +13 ½ underdogs, with a total of 44 ½. The NFL Odds opened a full point higher at -14 ½, however now down below two touchdowns, the Chargers might have value. However with their running back stable looking thin, things are not a lock in San Diego.


Falcons vs. Vikings
There are reports that the Vikings may chose to let go of Adrian Peterson in order to put this nightmare of an off the field season to rest. As they welcome in the Falcons off of a long week, the NFL Odds have the Vikings as +3 home underdogs, with a total of 46 ½. Atlanta is going nowhere but up from here, and with the weak pass defense in Minnesota, the Falcons might find themselves in another blowout this week.


Eagles vs. 49ers
America’s game of the week should be a nice NFC showdown between the Eagles and Niners. The NFL Odds have the 49ers as -4 ½ favorites after opening at -4, with a total of 50 ½. The Eagles might have some nice value this week if their defense could stop anyone, but the Niners’ defense didn’t look good this week against the Cardinals’ backup quarterback, Drew Stanton. This could be a very interesting line to watch throughout the week.


Saints vs. Cowboys
The Saints are trying to even up their record, but it won’t be easy next Sunday night going into Dallas to play the Cowboys. The NFL Odds are predicting a shootout, with the Saints as -3 favorites, with a total of 53 points. I don’t expect much line movement between these two teams, but with the bad defenses for both sides, the over might be a hell of a play.


Patriots vs. Chiefs
The final game of Week 4 will be an AFC showdown between the Patriots and Chiefs. Kansas City finally broke out in Week 3 in Miami beating down the Dolphins, and the Patriots squeaked by the Raiders at home, 16-9. The NFL Odds have the Patriots as -4 favorites to mark at least the fourth home underdog of Week 4, with a total of 45 points. The line has already increased by a half point from -3 ½, but if the line increases too much, I expect some money on the Chiefs to move it back down some.

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