Week 3 NFL Preseason Odds Report with Value on Home Teams

Nikki Adams

Monday, August 18, 2014 8:28 PM UTC

Monday, Aug. 18, 2014 8:28 PM UTC

Week 3 Preseason NFL betting odds have gone to press across sportsbooks so join us as we preview some of the games NFL bettors should spot complete with NFL picks.

Week 2 Preseason Results Shift Early Trends
In opening week, the trends to emerge were interesting. Home teams ruled both straight-up and against the spread while the under proved the winning NFL pick. The following week however delivered a marked shift with more road teams accounting in the win column and against the spread while the “over” fared much better. It remains to be seen what happens in week 3, but one thing is certain bookies have taken a page from week 2, augmenting the spreads as well as the totals.

Here are several games to spot and some of the choice NFL picks to consider in week 2 NFL betting markets.

Steelers vs. Eagles
NFL Betting Analysis: Arguably, the most reactionary game of week 3 is the clash between Steelers and Eagles that bookies set to the tune of 50.0 on the totals, marking the highest total tally in week 3 expected. Certainly, the Eagles haven’t been short on offense despite going 0-2 in the round of NFL warm-ups. They posted 63 points over two games, which gives us an average of 31.5 to work with in totals betting. The Steelers (1-1) however scored a total of 35 points over two games, barely scratching Eagles’ average. Then again, the Steelers faced off against offensively challenged units in Giants and Bills while the Eagles were pushed to the brink by offensive-minded outfits in Bears and Patriots. So how will these two outfits stack up in week 3? Will the Eagles force the Steelers’ no-huddle attack to come up with more offensive points than in their previous two games? Or will the Steelers stifle Eagles’ offense? It could go either way naturally. What we do know is that the Eagles could simply rack up the bulk of the points just on their end of the scoreboard alone, so we’re backing the Eagles to do just that all while recording their first victory of the preseason at home.  

NFL Picks: Eagles straight up; Over 50.0 in totals betting

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Panthers vs. New England
NFL Betting Analysis: Bookies have set the game between the Panthers and Patriots on a 5.5 spread ahead of week 3 NFL preseason, marking the one of several ample spreads on the books. Patriots are 1-1 in the preseason after an opening 23-6 defeat to Washington and a 42-35 win over Eagles. The Panthers meanwhile are 1-1 after succumbing to a narrow 20-18 defeat to Buffalo and a 28-16 win over Kansas City Chiefs in week 2. If we can agree that beating the Patriots at home when Brady is at centre is a tall order then the only thing that needs to be determined is how convincing the Patriots will be in victory. Can the New England Patriots secondary take care of Cam Newton and the Panthers so much so in order to allow Tom Brady to do what he does best and light up the scoreboard?   We think so.

NFL Picks: Patriots to win straight up and cover

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Raiders vs. Packers
NFL Betting Analysis: While the Oakland Raiders enjoyed a positive win over the Detroit Lions at home last week, they’re in for a whole different ball game at Green Bay in week 3 NFL betting. Bookies set the spread to 7.0 points with the Raiders naturally at the wrong end. Packers were solid in their 21-7 victory over the Rams on both sides of the ball that they should traipse to the straightforward victory over the Raiders with defense stifling a modest Raiders offense and Aaron Rodgers leading the way at the centre of a high-octane offense. 

NFL Picks: Packers to win straight up and cover.

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Chargers vs. Niners
NFL Betting Analysis: While it’s important not to read too much (or too little even) into preseason results, it has to be said: the Niners have been simply abysmal in the first two rounds, so abominable that in their highly anticipated game against the Broncos that was to Christen their new stadium, fans piled out in the third quarter, unable to stay for another 15 minutes. Most worrisome, the Niners are struggling in all aspects of the game. Thus, it’s somewhat interesting that they are listed as the -6.0 favourites on the spread against the Chargers and the totals are tipped at 42.0. Heck, the Niners haven’t even accounted for that much offense in two games.  To date, a field goal is the sum total of their offense in a 23-3 defeat to the Baltimore Ravens.

There’s an argument to be had about the Niners coming up against two credible opponents in the Ravens and Broncos, but as one of several superbowl favourites in the current NFL betting landscape, one would have expected a bit more grit and determination from the Niners in the face either opponent. The Chargers are 1-1 after two rounds with a 27-7 win over Dallas and a 41-14 defeat to Seattle. If San Francisco can find the sort of offense they’ve become known for over the last two seasons, they should cover the 6.0 spread. Besides, they owe their fans something to cheer about after the anti-climactic showing of week 2. If they continue to struggle however the Chargers, who finished the season with wins over Denver and Kansas City amongst several others, will prove tough to beat.

NFL Picks: Niners to win straight up; Under 42.0 

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