Week 3 NFL Odds: Early Value Found In 3 Games

N.Y. Jets player in the middle of a game

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, September 20, 2016 9:24 PM GMT

Tuesday, Sep. 20, 2016 9:24 PM GMT

Our sports handicapping professional went a perfect 5-0 with his NFL week 2 predictions. He’ll be sharing his top 3 early leans for NFL week 3 in this enlightening betting article. Go inside and reap the benefits!

Arizona vs Buffalo
The Bills are off to a disappointing 0-2 start and fired respected offensive coordinator Greg Roman after just 2 games. Beware of the wounded animal, especially when desperation and urgency set in.

After opening their season with 2 home games, Arizona travels across 3 time zones for its first road game.

Any NFL home underdog of 5.0 or less (Buffalo), coming off a division home loss, versus an opponent (Arizona) coming off a home favorite ATS win, resulted in those home underdogs going 12-0 ATS since 1983. Furthermore, those home underdogs won 10 of the 12 games outright.


Free NFL Pick: Bills +4.5 (-105)
Best Line Offered: at Bovada where you can get 100% Cash Bonus

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Los Angeles vs Tampa Bay
At the time of this writing (9/20), NFL betting odds at JustBet has Tampa Bay as a 5.5-point favorite. That’s certainly noteworthy, especially considering the Buccaneers are an abysmal 1-9 SU&ATS since 12/9/2012 as a favorite of 2.5 or more. Furthermore, Tampa Bay is a pathetic 3-14 during its last 17 home games, and also possesses a horrible -6 turnover margin during its first 2 contests of 2016. Can you say overvalued?

The Rams defense is definitively a top 10 NFL unit. Through 2 games, they’ve allowed 313.0 yards and 15.5 points per contest. They’ll be facing a Tampa Bay offense that turned the ball over 5 times in last Sunday’s blowout loss at Arizona.

Any NFL non-division away underdog of 4.5 to 9.5 (Rams), coming off two straight games in which they scored 14 points or less, versus an opponent that allowed 30 points or more in their previous contest, resulted in those away underdogs going 20-2 ATS since 1986. The away underdogs also won 14 of those 22 games straight up.

I’ll have an early lean on the road underdog for one of my NFL week 3 predictions.


Free NFL Pick: Los Angeles +5.5 (-105)
Best Line Offered: at JustBet which offers a 50% Free Play Bonus

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NY Jets vs Chiefs
Kansas City is coming off a 19-12 loss at Houston last Sunday. The Chiefs are a dismal 7-21 over their last 28 games following a loss. That may be a bit difficult to comprehend when taking into account they went 11-5 last season. However, they began their 2015-2016 campaign by going 1-5, and then reeled off 10 straight wins. They also needed a furious second-half rally to overcome a 21-point deficit against San Diego during their home opener, and eventually won in overtime.

The Jets are better than the advertised team on both sides of the ball. In my professional opinion, the wrong team is favorite in this game, and one of my NFL picks will be the underdog who I deem to be clearly a better team.


Free NFL Pick: NY Jets +3.0 (-105)
Best Line Offered: at Heritage owns an A+ grade according to my trustworthy betting sites ratings guide.

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