Week 3 Falcons vs. Cowboys Free NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Saturday, September 26, 2015 3:39 PM GMT

Dallas certainly can't feel like they're a 2-0 team after losing Tony Romo & Dez Bryant, while no one believes Atlanta is a 2-0 team. The two meet in Dallas on Sunday, and both teams have a lot on the line in what feels like a huge early-season matchup for these NFC squads.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open:
-PK -120 at Pinnacle

The early NFL odds were set as a pick 'em as the books didn't know how severe Romo's injury was, and the Cowboys have a few other injuries to worry about. It is now -2 for the Falcons on the road, which still might be a little low considering how they've played and that they've beaten two NFC East teams in Philadelphia and the New York Giants, but people are skeptical on those two as well.

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Injuries
The Falcons could be without LB Paul Worrilow because of a calf problem, while RB Tevin Coleman is probably out because of broken ribs, and WR Devin Hester missed practice on Wednesday because of his toe. The Falcons also might hold out WR Julio Jones because of a hamstring, but he also didn't practice last week and was spectacular once again.

The Cowboys, on the other hand….good grief. Romo should be back in 6-8 weeks with his broken collarbone, while Bryant is now 10-12 weeks because of his foot, depending on who you believe. DL Randy Gregory is out 4-6 because of his ankle, G Ronald Leary is battling a groin problem and is questionable, and TE Jason Witten has a slew of problems with his knees and ankles and while he played through it last week, can he do it again? The Cowboys just need to get through this week healthy and that would be a win.

 

Trends
The Falcons have covered the spread in five of their last seven games, while the Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last eight. Atlanta is a solid 4-1 ATS in their last five on the road, but the Cowboys are just 1-5 ATS in their last six at home. The under is strong for both teams as Atlanta has gone under the total in each of their last five, while the Cowboys have in four of their last six.

Atlanta is 3-2 SU and ATS in their last five against the Cowboys since 2001, but in their last five in Dallas, the Falcons are 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS since 1991.

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