There are a few games that not only have really good-looking NFL Odds, but they have some great prop value as well. Here are my three best bets when it comes to Week 2 team props from Bet365.
Cardinals vs. Giants O/U 4.5 touchdowns
The Cardinals and Giants represent the third lowest total of all the Week 2 games, and at only 42 points, it’s hard to believe that between the two, they will have five or more touchdowns. Carson Palmer is dealing with some shoulder injury this week, and he has been limited in practice all week. If Palmer not being 100% slows the Cardinals’ passing game, the Giants could take advantage. Their secondary is better than people give it credit for, and the Giants are also pretty good at stopping the run. On top of that, the Cards traveling cross-country is not advantageous to high scores. The under looks like a really good value at -110 NFL Odds.
NFL Pick: UNDER 4.5 touchdowns (-110)
Cardinals vs. Giants 3 Unanswered Scores
I’m staying in the same game for prop number two, and going with the three unanswered scores prop. In what I project to be a low scoring game, having either team dominate enough to score three unanswered times is unlikely. Both of these teams scoring more than three times is farfetched as well with a total of 42, and much like the logic from above, the play looks like the ‘no.’ At +162, the value in the NFL Odds from Bet365 is more than enough to take a risk like this. If Palmer struggles on the road, and the Giants’ offense still can’t get their stuff together, this should be one of the better values of the week.
NFL Pick: ‘No’ (+162)
Alternative point spread – Falcons vs. Bengals
Atlanta had one of the more impressive Week 1 wins so far, and now they have an even tougher task, going on the road to face the defending AFC North champs. While I’m still somewhat cynical when it comes to the Bengals this season, at home they present some solid value. The normal NFL Odds have the Bengals as -5 ½ favorites, but at Bet365, betting them at -7 in the alternative point spread can net a profit of +120. Against the Falcons, the Bengals’ defense should play well, and their offense will definitely have an easier time scoring against the Falcons’ defense. Atlanta’s defense is going to have huge problems containing AJ Green in this game, and even though the Falcons’ passing offense is prolific and dangerous, the Bengals’ secondary is nice. Leon Hall shut down Torrey Smith last week, and if it weren’t for blown coverage in an 80-yard touchdown against Steve Smith, Terrence Newman would have taken Smith almost out of the game last week. That being said, for your NFL picks keep in mind the Bengals should be able to cover the Falcons’ deadly receiving threats, and cover the -7 alternative point spread. I’m not buying a bunch of stock in the Falcons after that one win, and you can take advantage of squares overvaluing them after one win.
NFL Pick: Bengals -7 (+120)