Week 2 NFL Top Value Picks Against the Spread

Nikki Adams

Sunday, September 14, 2014 3:49 PM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 14, 2014 3:49 PM UTC

Let’s look at the latest spreads offered for Sunday’s games and spot the best NFL picks for bettors to benefit from.

Dallas Cowboys +3.0 vs. Tennessee Titans -3.0
Analysis: When we first looked at this game earlier this week, the Cowboys were matched as the 4-point underdogs. They are now down to 3-points ahead of their date with the Titans. The way the line remains cast it still suggests the Titans are better than the Cowboys, which might go against accepted wisdom in NFL betting circles that preaches the Titans shouldn’t be giving over a field goal to what is largely a good offense for the Cowboys. Fact: Titans impressed last week and Dallas disappointed. Fact: Romo made bonehead plays, showing just how rusty he is and off form after back surgery. Fact: Cowboys defense was horrible. Question: how much stock NFL bettors should put into week 1? Perhaps not a whole lot, but it’s still hard to ignore some of the glaring issues in the Cowboys camp, which the Titans will surely look to capitalise on. Romo is the sort of centre that blows hot and cold from week-to-week. It’s quite possible he’ll have a good day on the field on Sunday as he puts the points on the board, but he still has to rely on a Swiss cheese defense.

Free NFL Picks: Titans -3.0

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New England Patriots -6.0 vs. Minnesota Vikings +6.0
Analysis: Patriots opened as just the 3-point favourites on the road but since word got out about Adrian Peterson’s domestics – child abuse? Seriously? It’s a nightmare week for the entire NFL in the press – and his ensuing deactivation for Sunday’s game, the line moved upwards to 6-points and higher. We had an issue with the opening line as it were: implying the Patriots were no better than the Vikings. With or without Peterson, the Patriots are miles better than the Vikings et all. This doesn’t change a thing. If you piled onto the Patriots at 3-points earlier this week on your NFL picks, then kudos to you. Patriots at 6-points should still cover, we think.

Free NFL Picks: Patriots -6.0 at Pinnacle

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Seattle Seahawks -5.5 vs. San Diego Chargers +5.5
Analysis: San Diego Chargers were 2-2 ATS last season as the home underdogs. They were also tough to beat by more than a score – only two were by more than seven points: Denver (28-20) and Raiders (27-17). Seattle Seahawks made winning look easy and Russell Wilson scoring look like child’s play in opening week as they disembowelled the Green Bay Packers. Defense instils fear in opponents – Rodgers throwing the ball anywhere but in Sherman’s direction was case-and-point. Placing your NFL pick on Seattle Seahawks covering the 5.5-point spread against a Chargers side that was beaten by the Cardinals last week sounds good to us.

Free NFL Picks: Seattle -5.5

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Kansas City Chiefs +13.0 vs. Denver Broncos -13
Analysis: The line on this game has been flirting with various heights and lows all week long, flitting from 11.5 up to 13 and it might even go up to 14, according to some bookies in the market. Clearly, Chiefs looked very bad in opening week that confidence flew out the window. Consider the solid 2013 season to reach the playoffs and it’s not fair the Chiefs are being written off after just one week. Are the Chiefs really that bad? Maybe. We can’t know for sure. What we do know is that the Broncos are that good.

Free NFL Picks: Broncos -13.0 

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