Week 2 NFL Predictions: False Favorites & Top Dogs

Indianapolis Colts team in action

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, September 13, 2016 7:42 PM GMT

Tuesday, Sep. 13, 2016 7:42 PM GMT

It was exactly the kind of start we were looking for when it comes to betting NFL football, with a 3-0 record and continuing our successful run here at SBR making these selections.

Beating the NFL odds against outstanding sportsbooks like BetDSI is never easy. Often, you have to just plug away, work the numbers a little harder to find the right side and hopefully get a little bit lucky from time to time like two defensive touchdowns from Minnesota last week to cover. (Not apologizing with all the bad beats over the years)

Here are my false favorites and top underdogs for Week 2:

 

Top Dog - Colts Run With Broncos at a Mile High
Last week we wisely went against Indianapolis, but this week we come back with them. After digging a deep hole, the Colts got the offense rolling under Andrew Luck. The Indy QB showed a better inclination to use check-downs, which opened up passing lanes down the field to talented receivers.

Of course, the Denver defense is tremendous, but the only way to beat them is pushing the ball down the field like the Colts did last season and Pittsburgh did in the playoffs before coming up short.

The Indianapolis defense wreaks, but Trevor Siemian will provide them a couple chances for turnovers and like odd college football trends, for some reason, the Broncos are 0-9 ATS recently against the Colts. Like Indy as top dog.

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Top Dog - Saints Do Not Find Giants Too Tall and Cover
Leading 24-13 after three-quarters at home, the New Orleans defense was showing signs of improvement, then they collapsed in final 15 minutes and fell to Oakland 35-34. Once again it was big plays that doomed the Saints. However, the Drew Brees offense was terrific in piling up 34 points.

The New York Giants got a big division road win at Dallas, but examining the contest, the score and stats were close to dead even and the difference in outcome was experienced quarterback (Eli Manning) generating three touchdowns against a rookie (Dak Prescott) who played well, but never found pay dirt.

Yes, the G-Men are 6-2 SU and 5-2-1 ATS at home versus New Orleans, but I'll take the +5 with Brees and the Saints who are 17-6 ATS off a loss by six or less.

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False Favorite - Packers Have Too Many Factors To Overcome
If Jacksonville had the belief they could win, Green Bay would have lost on the road last week. The Packers were outgained by 54 yards and for the first time in 92 years are opening the season with a pair of road games.

This is Minnesota's home opener in brand new building and it's on Sunday night, further guaranteeing a well lubricated Vikings crowd, who despise Green and Gold. Certainly, the Packers have a large edge at quarterback with Aaron Rodgers over Shaun Hill or Sam Bradford, but Minnesota has better defense overall and more consistent offensive line.

Yes, the Pack have won three in a row at Minneapolis, but Vikings made trade for Bradford because they believe they can compete for Super Bowl at all other positions and given this battle's aforementioned specifics, and Green Bay 2-4 ATS lately in the second of two straight roadies, the Packers are simply a false favorite for your Sunday Night Football betting predictions.

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