Week 2 NFL Picks: Expect Colts & Jets to Light Up the Scoreboard

Charles Stark

Monday, September 21, 2015 11:32 AM GMT

Monday, Sep. 21, 2015 11:32 AM GMT

Monday Night Football is back in full effect and for my Monday night NFL pick I'm going to take over the total between the New York Jets and the Indianapolis Colts. 

Props Offered by:  5Dimes | BetOnline | BookMaker | Bovada | Heritage | GTbets | WagerWeb | SportsBetting | BetDSI

Jets To Score First +140 (best line at BetOnline)
Colts To Score First -155 (best line at 5Dimes)
Longerst FG 44½ Ov -115 (best line at betDSI)
Longerst FG Un +100 (best line at Bookmaker)
Highest Score 1st Half -110 (best line at 5Dimes)
High Score 2H + OT -105 (best line at BetOnline)
1st Score TD -155  (best line at SportsBetting)
FG or Safety +145  (best line at 5Dimes)

This looks like it's going to be a little bit more of a shoot out then people probably realize. The Jets are coming off a solid offensive performance, and I believe Andrew Luck and the Colts are ready to bounce back from a pretty miserable day in Buffalo last week.

 

NFL Odds
The odds for this game by NFL odds makers started at around 47 on the total. Right now it is hovering around 46.5 at most books. You can still get good odds at taking over the total in this matchup at Pinnacle Sports over 46.5 at -105.

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Indianapolis Colts
Last week offensively versus Buffalo the Colts scored 14 total points, produced 304 total yards at 4.5 yards per play, and a third-down 53.33% conversion rate. They also had three turnovers which really hindered their offense of production. The simply couldn't get anything going on any kind of deep pass plays, but I look for them to open it up against the Jets tonight. Luck is simply too good of a quarterback and should play a lot better at home than he did last week including the entire offense. After rushing only 25% of the time last week I look for them to establish the run game a bit more tonight which should open up a better passing game.

Defensively last week Indianapolis allowed 27 points, allowed 342 total yards at this point to yards per play, and a third-down 38.46% conversion rate. Having to be on the field a few more times than they probably should have didn't help, but that 6.2 yards per play is a bit alarming. The jury is still out on what kind the defense Indianapolis will have the season but I look for them to give up their fair share of points tonight versus the Jets.

 

New York Jets
Offensively Ryan Fitzpatrick was decent in his first start as a Jet and the offense scored 31 points, produced 333 total yards on 5.5 yards per play, and a pretty decent third-down 53.85% conversion rate. Overall they really are not an offense that is going to score at this kind of rate all season obviously, but they have some nice pieces to work with. The best take away I get from their first game is the fact they didn't allow a sack. If the offensive line does a good enough job and gives Fitzpatrick some time they should be able to move the ball down the field. Chris Ivory was a nice surprise in that first game, but he is questionable for this one tonight. Still, as mentioned, their offensive production will begin and end at how the lineman perform.

Defensively last week the Jets gave up 10 points, 321 total yards off of 5.1 yards per play, and a third-down 50% conversion rate. It was easy to look good against a Cleveland Browns team that most likely won't be very good this year. I expect them to face a very hungry team that expects to bounce back offensively in the Colts, and Luck is not the type of guy to play poorly two weeks in a row. Last week they held Cleveland quarterbacks Johnny Manziel and Josh McCown to 217 passing yards as they combined to go 18/32, don't expect that tonight.

 

NFL Pick
This should be a fun match up and I think both these teams should put up enough points to get us well over the total.  Look for Luck and company to light it up and for Jets to do enough offensively to make it somewhat interesting.  For your Monday Night NFL pick I suggest backing the over in this spot.

NFL Pick: Over at Pinnacle

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