Week 2 NFL Picks: 4 Team Teaser to Boost Sunday's Profits

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, September 16, 2015 11:51 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 16, 2015 11:51 PM UTC

We have selected four NFL picks to be played as teasers when setting up your Week 2 betting ticket, as we look to continue cashing in each Sunday by pushing the lines in our favor.

One year after having the sportsbooks had their best opening week in the NFL ever, they had one of their worst opening Sunday's in recent memory against the NFL odds, and there was a lot of long faces.

This is mostly predicated on favorites winning, which they did to the tune of 8-3 ATS. More importantly, it was who these teams were, in this case public teams like Green Bay, Denver and the New York Jets (based on opponent), along with popular choices like Cincinnati and Miami. Two games went off as Pick's and the majority of the action was on two teams Kansas City and Buffalo, both winners.

However, in today's world, the sportsbooks exposure is not just the straight bets, it is the parlay's and teaser's what cause problem's or great joy. When the favorites win, the public will most likely does well, but also it is the ripple effect in which the books have to payout whatever times the wager (example - $100 x parlay and teaser odds, which is almost always at least 2).

As I mentioned last week, teasers have really grown in popularity among all forms of bettors making NFL picks, because you can situate odds in a more favorable position, with the risk choosing more games to increase your payout for wins. Many football handicappers have jumped in and are more interesting on being on the right side of key numbers, besides just trying to determine winners.

Here are my teaser picks for NFL Week 2 and if you like them, remember, you do not have to play all four and can break them down into smaller segments and Heritagesports.eu has some of the best NFL odds for making these NFL picks.


Pittsburgh Pick
The Steelers are hovering around -6, thus when we tease them, downsizing past the key numbers of six and three. Besides that benefit, now Pittsburgh just has to win the game outright over San Francisco, who I believe is at a real scheduling disadvantage.

The 49ers played the late game on Monday, which ended two hours later than your typical Monday ESPN telecast. While it is still early in the season, losing rest still matters and San Fran has to fly across the country to Pittsburgh for a 1:00 pm local time start, which is three hours earlier for the Niners players. Add in the emotion of the first game for San Fran with new head coach and Pittsburgh having not played since last Thursday and there are many reasons to like the Steelers.

Cleveland +6
The Browns went from three or four point favorites to basically a Pick at home against Tennessee. The reasons are varied, one, how good the Titans played with Marcus Mariota in thumping Tampa Bay and the lack of faith bettors have in Johnny Manziel to lead Cleveland to a win as starting quarterback.

While no fan of Manziel's, I still question the fact that a 2-14 Tennessee team from a year is ready to open the season 2-0 with consecutive road wins.  Six-point teaser dogs who started out as 3 to 4 point ATS favorites, have covered 83.8 percent of the time in the last 118 times this has come up.

Jacksonville +12
The Jaguars started out in typical fashion with three turnovers in the loss to Carolina and having to settle for three field goals in 20-9 loss. They host Miami this week and started at +4.5 and were shifted to +6 against the spread. When looking at teaser numbers, this takes up past 7 and 10 and while Jacksonville is no prize even at a dozen points, they deserve our attention.

The yardage figures were virtually even against Carolina, suggesting the turnovers were what mattered and Jacksonville has a very good defensive front seven to slow Miami. Also consider the Dolphins will have their first home game next week and it will be against Buffalo, thus there focus comes into play.

Miami wins, just by less than 12.

Dallas +11.5
Loud mouth attention-seeking Chris Carter of ESPN said Dallas is a .500 team without Dez Bryant. That nonsense should be considered who the source is. No doubt Bryant is a big part of what the Cowboys do on offense, but Tony Romo has shown a newfound maturity and the kind of offense coach Jason Garrett has designed fits perfectly into Romo's skill set.

Philadelphia is a 5.5-point ATS home favorite over Dallas, however, keep in mind the Cowboys are 10-5 ATS the last three years as road underdogs (two covers at Philly) and in the first quarter of the season are 11-0 ATS versus a division for off a SU and ATS loss. The Boys at this price feels like stealing for teaser action.

comment here