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Week 2 NFL Early Value Picks: ATS, Moneylines & Totals

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Week 2 NFL Early Value Picks: ATS, Moneylines & Totals
Davante Adams #17 of the Green Bay Packers. Ezra Shaw/Getty Images/AFP

Football is back and all is good. Well, not all good, but at least we’ve got our weekly distraction back for Sunday afternoons. The second week of the season is notoriously tough as you try not to over-react to what happened in week 1, while adapting to things that happened on the field.

Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers

Sunday, September 20th, 1300 PM ET at Lambeau field.

The Lions had a disappointing at home to the Bears giving up a 17-point lead in the 4th quarter as they went conservative. They were without Kenny Golladay on offense, Jeff Okudah on defense and Jamie Collins was thrown out of the game early on for breathing on an official. They looked good offensively though.

After a slow start the Packers smashed the Vikings with a 19 point second quarter showing, tearing apart a poor Vikings secondary. Rodgers had his best game in a very long time, finding mainly Davante Adams, but with good additions by his WR2 and 3.

The Lions kept games close last year, losing 8 of their 12 games by 1 score or less, including a 1-point loss in Green Bay, which was the third visit in a row where they’d covered the spread. I think they’re better than they showed and I don’t think the Packers are as good as they looked, therefore.

NFL Pick: Detroit Lions +6 at-105 with Betonline

Lions +6-105
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Atlanta Falcons vs. Dallas Cowboys

Sunday, September 20th, 1300 PM at ET AT&T Stadium

The Falcons were hit by Mr. Unlimited as the Seahawks finally let Russ cook and he took full advantage with 31/35 and 4 TDs as they picked apart the Falcons typically leaky secondary. The Falcons themselves put up points as they always do, Matt Ryan leading the league in passing yards in week one with 3 different receivers getting 9 receptions each. They’ll put up points in this one.

The Cowboys are a lot of people’s idea of the NFC’s Superbowl participant and offensively they really should be, but they were roughed up by Aaron Donald last week with a couple of offensive linemen out. He’s the best in the league at what he does so it wasn’t much of a surprise that he dominated out there. It was a rough start, but they weren’t great on the road last year.

Back at home, coming off a humbling loss against a team with little pass-rush and a poor secondary and with the offense that they’ve put together they’ll be able to out-score the Falcons in this one.

NFL Pick: Dallas Cowboys -220 with Bookmaker

Cowboys-220
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Philip Rivers #17 of the Indianapolis Colts. Julio Aguilar/Getty Images/AFP

Minnesota Vikings vs. Indianapolis Colts

Sunday, September 20th, 1300 PM ET at Lucas Oil Stadium

The Vikings could have allowed 50 points in their opener against the Packers, and that’s against a team with one real target. Davante Adams had 14 receptions and 2 scores, they allowed big plays from him, MVS and Lazard, and Yannick Ngakoue had a poor debut in the pass rush. While they put up a lot of points in garbage time with Cousins connecting with Thielen.

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It’s a young, mainly new defensive unit for the Vikings and they really didn’t gel. I don’t see them being able to stop an Indianapolis Colts who come into this one after a disappointing loss on the road at the Jaguars. They really should not have lost that game, they won all the main stats and didn’t punt the ball one, yet somehow lost by 7.

They’ll have all week to get Jonathan Taylor ready for his first start as the RB1 and Rivers had a good game until having to try and chase it late in the game. I think both teams put up 25+ taking us over the total, it’s up 1.5 points from opening, but I think it goes further.

NFL Pick: Vikings vs Colts over 48 points at -105 with Heritage

Over 48-105
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