Week 17 NFL Picks - New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons players discussing in the field

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, December 27, 2016 6:51 PM GMT

The Atlanta Falcons are playoff bound and they look to close the season on a high at the expense of divisional foes New Orleans Saints. Where should you line up with week 17 NFL picks?

                                   New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 

Point Spread Value

The Falcons won the NFC South crown for the first time since 2012 after decimating the Carolina Panthers 33-16 in Charlotte. The Falcons technically don’t have a lot at stake in this game but that doesn’t give markets any pause. Indeed, the Falcons are the heavy home chalk over the Saints. When it matters not, the Saints reel off back-to-back wins down the stretch. Why it is that they raise the level in meaningless games is anybody’s guess. They are 9-5-1 ATS with a 1.4 winning margin and +1.1 differential versus the spread. It might be of no consequence in the broad spectrum of the playoffs but they could give the Falcons a run for their money.

 

Free NFL Pick: Saints +7 (-110)Best Line Offered: at SportsInteraction

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011435, "sportsbooksIds":[300,19,43,442,999996], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

 The Survivor

By the stats, the Falcons leap off the page as the smart NFL pick for week 17. They are 10-5-0 SU and ride a three-game winning streak into week 17. At home, they are 4-3-0 SU, which is a sign that they might be vulnerable to the home upset. Consider they have little on the line as well it’s not such a longshot to back the Saints to win three straight to close the season. Having said that if Matt Ryan and the Falcons want to throw down the gauntlet in the NFC a winning performance in the season’s curtain fall would be appropriate.

 

Free NFL Pick: Falcons -300Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011435, "sportsbooksIds":[19,169,999993,442,23], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

 Game Total

One of the highest totals is trading on the NFL odds board for this game in week 17. Heck, it’s one of the highest totals of the season. Is it a red flag? Consider the Falcons will want to rest their starters at some point in this game it’s likely this game will not be quite the shootout envisioned by markets. Or will it?

 

Free NFL Pick: Over 55.5 (-110)Best Line Offered: at TheGreek

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011435, "sportsbooksIds":[227,349,123,1096,186], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]