Week 17 NFL Picks: Game-by-Game ML Odds Analysis & Predictions

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, December 30, 2015 10:03 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 30, 2015 10:03 PM UTC

It's the last week of the regular season and the last instalment of our weekly game-by-game NFL picks. Find out what moneyline odds are on offer across sportsbooks and our predictions accordingly.

Ravens vs. Bengals
The Bengals must regroup after a their disappointing loss on MNF to the Denver Broncos, a loss that could prove costly in the broad spectrum of the playoffs if they don’t bounce back against the injury-stricken Ravens. Bengals have home advantage, which goes some way towards their favorable outlook on the NFL odds board. But AJ McCarron sprained his wrist (non-throwing arm) in the last play of the game, which means he’s questionable even if reports are that he’s slated to start. The pressure of the occasion is huge, only a first round bye hangs in the balance. If the way the game ended in Denver were any indication, McCarron’s stock must be down after fumbling the snap and costing the Bengals the game in overtime. Meanwhile, the Ravens are coming off an upset behind Ryan Mallet over the Pittsburgh Penguins. Do they have another upset in them against a second divisional rival in as many weeks? Ryan Mallet is running out of chances in the NFL and he got really lucky late in the season when he got snapped up by the Ravens. He might have something to prove here.

NFL Picks: Ravens +330 The Greek

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Lions vs. Bears
The Detroit Lions are riding a two-game winning streak into week 17 while the Chicago Bears bounced back into the win column with win over Tampa Bay in week 16. Both sides will be looking to close the season on a positive note, but the edge tips towards the Lions in our opinion. They are much better than their disappointing 6-9 SU record on the season implies. At the same time, the Bears can’t seem to buy a win at Soldier Field no matter how hard they try. They are only 1-5 SU at home.

NFL Picks: Lions  -104 Heritage

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Jaguars vs. Texans
The Houston Texans look to sew up the AFC South title over the Jacksonville Jaguars at home in week 17 NFL betting. They are riding back-to-back wins into this Sunday’s showdown, which improves their record to 6-2 SU in the last eight weeks. The only losses came to the Bills and Patriots. The Jaguars won’t be pushovers, but they are riding a two-game losing streak into the weekend and boast a 3-5 SU record in their last eight games. The Texans have incentive to win while the Jaguars simply ran out of steam down the stretch.

NFL Picks: Texans -275 bet365

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Patriots vs. Dolphins
The Patriots will be looking to bounce back over the hapless Dolphins in week 17 NFL betting, all while seeking to earn a first round bye in the playoffs. After the heart-breaking loss to the Jets in week 16, you can bet the Patriots will be fired up for this must-win game.

NFL Picks: Patriots -515 BetOnline

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Saints vs. Falcons
Drew Brees and the Saints roll into the Georgia Dome on a two-game winning streak, determined to salvage some pride on the season. The Falcons are riding a two-game winning streak into week 17 as well. To their credit, they orchestrated one of the biggest upsets of the season when they defeated the Carolina Panthers in week 16. Not that it did them any good or their slim playoff hopes as those were promptly dashed by the Vikings beating the Giants. All in all, neither team has anything to play for save for divisional bragging rights now. This could be a let-down spot for the Falcons.

NFL Picks: Saints +175 5Dimes

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Jets vs. Bills
The Jets are in control of their playoff destiny after beating the Patriots in week 16. They’re also probably in cloud 9 right now. Can they come back down to earth in time to win their final game of the season? The job is only half done and they still need to beat the Bills this week to clinch a playoff spot. It’s not without some irony that they’re slated to face off against their former coach Rex Ryan in this meaningful game. It’s not going to be a straightforward game by any stretch of the imagination but if Ryan Fitzpatrick and the offense light it up as they did against New England last week, there’s no reason not to assume the Jets get it done on the road.

NFL Picks: Jets -155 Pinnacle

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Eagles vs. Giants
The Eagles fired Chip Kelly just before the season curtain closer with the NY Giants. That doesn’t bode well for this game or the mood in the Eagles’ locker room. The NY Giants are coming off a horrible loss to the Vikings on the road. Odell Beckham Jr is back this week and the Giants should go out on a high note at home, not that it’ll mean much anyway.

NFL Picks:: Giants -170 William Hill

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Steelers vs. Browns
The Steelers are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Baltimore Ravens and recently acquired third-string quarterback Ryan Mallet. Yikes. It couldn’t have been a more costly loss for Big Ben and the Steelers as in all likelihood they’ve gone and buggered their playoff hopes. From being one of the teams nobody wanted to play in the playoffs they’ve gone to being one of the teams that might not make it into the postseason. How things change quickly. Now, they need a bit of help to get into the playoffs. Fortunately, they take on the hapless Browns in week 17 NFL betting, which should be a straightforward game for them on the road. The rest is up in the air. Luck to ya Steelers nation.

NFL Picks: Steelers -390 Pinnacle

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Titans vs. Colts
Believe it or not but the Colts have a shot to make the playoffs. All they need is nine dominoes to fall their way.

  • Jaguars need to beat Texans

  • Falcons need to beat Saints

  • Bills need to beat Jets

  • Dolphins need to beat Patriots

  • Ravens need to beat Bengals

  • Broncos need to beat Chargers

  • Steelers need to beat Browns

  • Raiders need to beat Chiefs

Simple as that. Ha. Let’s face it, beating the Titans is the least of their problems, especially if Marcus Mariota doesn’t play. But the rest of the scenarios are out of their hands…

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NFL Picks: Colts -190


Redskins vs. Cowboys
The Washington Redskins have won the NFC East but they are getting no love from the odds makers as they look to close the season on winning note. Granted their road form is nothing to write home about, but what have the Cowboys done this season to earn such favorable NFL odds? Seriously, without Tony Romo the Cowboys are wholly ineffective and punch-less. Take the Redskins as the road underdogs on your NFL picks.

NFL Picks: Redskins +165 5Dimes

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Raiders vs. Chiefs
There’s no hyperbole to describe the complete and utter turnaround by the Chiefs on the season, going from 1-5 SU to 10-5 SU – all without Jamaal Charles no less. That’s a run of nine-straight wins to resurrect their season and move into the playoffs. The Raiders have a tough ask before them in the Kansas City Chiefs, who’ll be looking to close out the season on a high.

NFL Picks: Chiefs -280 Pinnacle

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Chargers vs. Broncos
The Chargers and Broncos collide in a pivotal game in the AFC. The Broncos are coming off a crucial win over the Bengals that clinched a playoff spot and they’ll be looking to close out the season on an emphatic note. Fortunately, their date with the Chargers looms winnable. The Chargers are so banged up and disconnected that it’s quite likely the Broncos will steamroll through this game.

NFL Picks: Broncos -380 Pinnacle

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Seahawks vs. Cardinals
Arguably, the Cardinals are the best team in the NFC and they underscored that notion with an emphatic win over the Green Bay Packers. “Emphatic” is to put it mildly. Truth be told they crushed the Packers 38-8. Meanwhile, the Seahawks are coming off a shocking loss to the St. Louis Rams at home, which marked a series sweep by the Rams. Yikes. The Seahawks are sure to get up for this game, but the Cardinals defense can bring them down to earth.

NFL Picks: Cardinals -265 BetOnline

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Rams vs. 49ers
The Rams are showing fight down the stretch even though they have nothing to play for in the broad spectrum of the season. You have to tip your hat to that commitment and dedication. The same cant be said of the Niners, who lost the plot early in the season and never quite got back on the same page as the rest of the league. Take the Rams on your NFL picks.

NFL Picks: Rams -175 bet365

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Buccaneers vs. Panthers
The Carolina Panthers slipped to a 14-1 SU mark behind a loss to the Atlanta Falcons in week 16 NFL betting. It was an upset that sent seismic shockwaves through NFL betting markets not because the Panthers lost but rather to whom they lost, the floundering Falcons. In any event, NFL bettors shouldn’t panic. This is a winnable game for the Panthers by all accounts and a home game to boot.

NFL Picks: Panthers -525 BetOnline

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Vikings vs. Packers
The Vikings and Packers battle for the NFC North title in Sunday’s curtain closer of the regular season. The Vikings threw down the gauntlet last week with an impressive win over the Giants at home while the Packers were decimated by the Cardinals on the road. It’s easy to get carried away by last week’s outcomes and apply them to the coming week’s NFL picks. Fact is the Vikings have been in this situation a few times this season only to fail to live up to the pressure and expectations. Besides, taking on Aaron Rodgers and the Packers at Lambeau with the NFC North title riding on the outcome is a tough ask.

NFL Picks: Packers -173 Pinnacle

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