Week 17 NFL Picks: Betting Trends & Games That Apply

Nikki Adams

Saturday, January 2, 2016 8:15 PM UTC

Saturday, Jan. 2, 2016 8:15 PM UTC

With the last week of the regular season almost upon us, we spot some of the meaningful NFL betting trends according to SBR Consensus Betting. Where are sharp bettors and public bettors lining up NFL picks?

Jets vs. Bills
Opening Line: PK/NY J -1
Best Current Line: NYJ -2.5 bet365
Consensus Betting: NYJ 60.58 % spread tickets, NYJ 96.15 % money wagered

To many avid NFL bettors, this is sure to be the game of the week as the NY Jets jockey for a playoff spot in the AFC with the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Jets are one foot in following the momentous win over the Patriots in OT last week, prompting odds makers to open this game on a pick’em or 1-point spread (thereabouts depending on your sportsbook of choice) advantage for the Jets which is a decided turnaround from Advanced Lines that had the Bills favored at home

Early money poured in on the Jets, immediate reaction to their week 16 win that pushed the line quickly up to a field goal advantage for the Jets. As it is, the -3 line has held steady for the most part across sports betting exchanges throughout the week with the Jets having acquired 60.58% of the spread tickets but a whopping 96.15 % of the money risked on this game according to SBR consensus betting reports from contributing sportsbooks. It’s clear that both sharp bettors and public bettors are on the same side of the coin in this game, and there’s been hardly any reaction to the Bills at +3 (just 3.87% of the money rides on the Bills vs. the spread. Yikes, talk about falling out of favor). Best line is Jets -2.5 (-110) at bet365.

NFL Picks: Jets -2.5 (-110) bet365

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Steelers vs. Browns
Opening Line: PIT -11
Best Current Line: Pit -10.5 (-105) Heritage
Consensus Betting: PIT 58.50% spread tickets; PIT 95.18% money wagered

The Steelers vs. Browns game features lopsided NFL betting trends with 58.50% of the spread tickets recorded on the Steelers and 95.18% of the money risked. The Steelers are looking to snatch the last AFC wildcard spot and need this game in order to give themselves the best shot. That the Steelers were double-digit road faves last week in a losing effort in Baltimore clearly hasn’t taken the shine off their NFL odds; both sharps and public bettors appear to be of one mind with their NFL picks here as well.

NFL Picks: Steelers -10.5 (-105) Heritage

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Vikings vs. Packers
Opening Line: GB -2.5
Best Current Line: GB -3 (-117) Pinnacle
Consensus Betting: GB 52.74 % spread tickets; PIT 95.06% money wagered

With the NFC North title on the line in this game, the money is entirely on the Packers. Green Bay have acquired 52.74% of the spread tickets but a whopping 95.06% of the money risked on this game. In this game, there appears to be a clear split between public bettors and sharp bettors. The public appears to be all over the Vikings, reacting to last week’s results that saw the Vikings decimate the Giants and the Packers laid to waste in Arizona. However, sharp money is all over the hosts, with betting triggers coming in the size of wagers made on the Packers compared to that on the Vikings.

NFL Picks: Packers -3 (-117) Pinnacle

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Ravens vs. Bengals
Opening Line: CIN -9
Current Line: CIN -9.5 (-105) Heritage
Consensus Betting:  CIN 49.38% spread tickets, 98.62% money wagered

The Cincinnati Bengals are jockeying for a first round bye in the AFC, making this a must-win game if they hope to advance their bid for the advantageous postseason standing. Consensus betting at SBR, however, reveals a rather interesting split with the Ravens emerging with a slight edge in spread tickets recorded. Clearly, the public is divided in this game with some reacting to the Ravens winning over the Steelers in week 16 as double-digit home underdogs, looking to bank on a second straight upset against the spread. Sharp bettors, however, are all over the Bengals as evinced by the size of wagers made on the Bengals and the total dollars risked.

NFL Picks: Bengals -9.5 (-105) Heritage

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