The NFL season is heading full steam into the final two weeks of the regular season. Take a look at the opening NFL Odds for Week 16 and we’ll see if there are some games worth betting now, or some that may be better to wait on until later in the week to put some action down.
Saturday, December 21
Houston Texans vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Spread: Texans -2.5 (Opened PK)
Total: 51 (Opened 53)
Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots
Spread: Patriots -6.5 (Opened -6.5)
Total: 38.5 (Opened 38.5)
LA Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers
Spread: 49ers -6 (Opened -6)
Total: 45 (Opened 46.5)
Sunday, December 22
New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins
Spread: Redskins -2.5 (Opened -2.5)
Total: 42 (Opened 40)
New Orleans Saints vs. Tennessee Titans
Spread: Saints -1 (Opened -1)
Total: 51 (Opened 51)
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New York Jets
Spread: Steelers -3 (Opened -3)
Total: 38.5 (Opened 35.5)
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns
Spread: Ravens -10 (Opened -7)
Total: 48 (Opened 49)
Carolina Panthers vs. Indianapolis Colts
Spread: Colts -6.5 (Opened -6.5)
Total: 46.5 (Opened 46.5)
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins
Spread: Dolphins -1 (Opened -2.5)
Total: 46.5 (Opened 45.5)
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Atlanta Falcons
Spread: Falcons -7.5 (Opened -7)
Total: 45.5 (Opened 46)
Oakland Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Spread: Chargers -5.5 (Opened -6.5)
Total: 45.5 (Opened 47)
Detroit Lions vs. Denver Broncos
Spread: Broncos -6.5 (Opened -6.5)
Total: 38 (Opened 37.5)
Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks
Spread: Seahawks -9.5 (Opened -10)
Total: 50 (Opened 48.5)
Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Spread: Cowboys -2.5 (Opened -1)
Total: 46.5 (Opened 47.5)
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Chicago Bears
Spread: Chiefs -5 (Opened -4)
Total: 45 (Opened 45)
Monday, December 23
Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings
Spread: Vikings -4.5 (Opened -4.5)
Total: 45.5 (Opened 46.5)
Games To Bet Now
Week 16 brings some Saturday NFL action due to the college bowl season and there may be a few games on Saturday that are worth putting in some action now.
Houston has been hammered by the sharps and public alike and it has seen some of the biggest movement to date. After opening as a PK, Houston has hit -3 at some shops. However, there are still some books hanging out at -2 or -2.5, so if you’re in to chasing the steam, grab it now before all the books are at or north of three points.
Another Saturday game that might be worth a bet now is the Bills and Patriots. New England is a -6.5 favorite and if they are going to see the steam this week, there is little chance you’ll be able to get that number this low by the time game time rolls around. There are a couple shops at -6 too, which could be -7 by Saturday.
After Philly caught an L in Week 15 they have been faded a ton by NFL bettors. They are back at home this week but everyone loves Dallas on the road. They have gone from -1 to -2.5 and it would not surprise me to see it touch -3 by Sunday afternoon.
Finally, news came out that Will Grier will be getting the start for the Panthers this week and all of a sudden, the Colts look like a great bet at -6.5 at home. Even on the short week, they may have T.Y. Hilton back that week and with the home field advantage and a much better defense and offense, the Colts may have double-digit win upside. I would not be surprised to see the Colts catch some steam and jump to -7 or -7.5.
Games To Wait On
Week 16 is a tough one. Teams are mostly still fighting for the playoffs, but like the Panthers, they may switch into player evaluation mode rather than trying to win. There is still a hot battle for the number two overall pick that may play into the strategies for some teams this week.
Namely the Dolphins, who are hosting Cincinnati, the eventual owners of the number one pick. Miami, Washington and New York are all 3-11 heading into Week 16 and you can bet that none of those teams want to win this week.
The Bengals have already seen a ton of action knowing that even if they win they are still the top pick, but that could also be fading the Dolphins as well.
New York and Washington play each other as well and while one team has to win, this one may be a game to just fade altogether. The team that loses will win much more in the long run, so I’d stay away unless you find another edge that could give some value.