Week 15 NFL Picks: Game-By-Game Against The Spread Predictions Handicappers

SBR Staff

Tuesday, December 11, 2018 3:12 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 11, 2018 3:12 PM UTC

Here's an NFL Week 15 betting cheat sheet. Each week of the season, you will find the entire slate with picks ATS and each capper's quick-hitting reasoning. SBR also will have full previews of each week's prime-time and marquee games.

Opening NFL Spread: Kansas City -3Best Line Offered: Pinnacle


Rainman: Chiefs 0-2 ATS without Kareem Hunt. Rivers having career year, will keep his team in it vs. Chiefs passing D that ranks 15th in opp. passer rating. Gordon could return, but Ekeler likely out.

Kevin Stott: Great way to start week. Rivers (28 TDs) and Mahomes (42) without Gordon, Hunt from Arrowhead — the stadium, not the water. Chefs legend Otis Taylor is the most underrated WR ever.


Matthew Jordan: Kansas City has won nine straight in this series by an average of just over 12 points, so why wouldn’t you take the Chiefs? L.A. could be down to third-string RB Justin Jackson.

Swinging Johnson: KC’s Mahomes is the best of this young crop of big arms and proved it again last week over a tough Ravens D. Even if Gordon returns for the Bolts, he’ll have plenty of rust on fender.

Doug Upstone: `Last Thursday night game of the year should be a dandy! The spread makes this a difficult call, but Kansas City is 8-0 ATS versus teams averaging 260 or more passing yards a game.

Opening NFL Spread: Houston -6Best Line Offered: BookMaker


Matthew Jordan: Previewed this here at SBR. A book or two has this Texans at -7, and I don’t like that as I think Houston wins by a TD. Still has the carrot of the AFC’s No. 2 seed for motivation.

Kevin Stott: Can anybody stop this train that is the Texans (W9-10)? Probably not these Airplanes (3-1 ATS L4 Home vs HOU), whose mood about playing football perennially gets colder with the months.

Swinging Johnson: Sammy and Jets were fortunate that Buffy’s rookie Josh Allen had an error prone day and won because of it. Texans won’t be that easy and will be ornery after a tough loss to Indy.

Doug Upstone: Houston blew a great chance to claim the No. 2 seed in the AFC with New England loss. This a game the Texans better be mentally sharper or they could lose two straight against carefree Jets.


Rainman: Three of Houston’s four road wins have been by three points or less, also two road losses. Watson’s passer rating 15 points lower away. Jets’ 6th-ranked passing D will keep Houston scoring low.

Opening NFL Spread: Denver -3Best Line Offered: 5Dimes


Doug Upstone: Denver was a no-show in Santa Clara and saw their playoff hopes basically die. With the Broncos just a 3-point opening favorite to Cleveland, hard to ignore these teams are 28-39 ATS in 2018.


Matthew Jordan: Previewed this here at SBR and said to buy it down to Broncos -2.5. That it’s a short week favors home side, plus the altitude factor. Browns have failed to cover past 5 in series.

Rainman: Browns unreliable road team, 1-5 SU away including loss in Oakland, 1-24 SU L25 away. Watch out for status of top corner Denzel Ward. Denver is run-first team, Browns rank 22nd in opposing YPC.

Kevin Stott: Browns (0-4-1 ATS L5 at DEN) have had respectable year but are in wrong place at the wrong time (DEN W 3-4), 1,334 miles from The North Coast with the Broncos hanging on to WC thoughts.

Swinging Johnson: Denver got a wakeup call with a loss to the 49ers last week while Browns may be falling into a trap game scenario after big win over Carolina last week and divisional foe next week.

Opening NFL Spread: Atlanta -9Best Line Offered: BetOnline


Matthew Jordan: Why are the imploding, quitting Falcons more than a TD favorite against anyone? The Cardinals are at least still trying. Can’t say same for Atlanta, which is 0-5 ATS in past 5.

Kevin Stott: Bad birds waiting on better days at The Benz where apathy will be free of charge for fans and players alike. Happy holidays. Dirty Birds 4-1 ATS L5 vs Redbirds. Someone must win?

Doug Upstone: This NFC affair is picking the lesser of two evils, with Arizona and Atlanta. As bad as Cardinals are at least they are 3-3 ATS on the road compared the Falcons at 2-5 ATS at home.


Rainman: Fading Cardinals in early game on east coast. Cards O-line has three rookies and a bum off the streets, scored 10 points or fewer in two of last three games. Atlanta doesn’t need to score much.

Swinging Johnson: What kind of a handicapper lays double digits on a team that has covered in just 2 of 7 at home? One that sees Cardinals coming to town because at least ATL can score … AZ cannot.

Opening NFL Spread: Buffalo -2.5Best Line Offered: Bovada


Rainman: Buffalo off deflating loss. Bills are run-first, rank fifth in run-play frequency, so bad match-up against Detroit’s improved run D. Lions rank 4th in sack percentage, can limit Allen’s running.


Matthew Jordan: Lions a dome team and it’s going to be a tad chilly in Buffalo on Sunday. Detroit also lost a handful of guys to injury in the Week 14 win in Arizona. Lions 1-5 SU past 6 after win.

Kevin Stott: Santa provides this lump of coal from Flour City where they know difference between Weather and Climate. With Clouds, Winds and Cold (39°) in forecast, taking outside-playing team.

Swinging Johnson: Detroit’s Stafford tossed barely over 100 yards last week and Cats still beat Cards 17-3. Now he faces Buffy’s top-rated pass defense and Bills ready to avenge last week’s loss to Jets.

Doug Upstone: Detroit was more fortunate in beating the Cards last week and Buffalo beat itself against Jets. The Lions are an unsavory 4-14 ATS off a double-digit road win and won't like the cold.

Opening NFL Spread: Chicago -5.5Best Line Offered: Heritage


Rainman: Packers received a boost when coach got fired. They are 7-1 ATS L8 in Chicago. Bears are offensively challenged, don’t trust Trubisky. Rodgers will keep Pack close, O-line hopefully healthier.

Swinging Johnson: Rodgers and the Packers D looked sharp in the debut of the Joe Philbin era in their 34-20 victory over Atlanta. Bears may be due for a letdown after a titanic win over the Rams.


Matthew Jordan: Would worry about a letdown game for Bears against any other opponent, but not with a chance to clinch NFC North against bitter rivals. Pack 0-8 SU & 1-6-1 ATS past 8 on road.

Kevin Stott: Maybe first meeting between these clubs in years where the public’s perception is that Chicago is better than GB (0-6 SU on Road, 1-4-1 ATS). Rodgers misses his dependable Jordy Nelson.

Doug Upstone: Green Bay might be 22-5 SU and 20-7 ATS at Soldier Field, but that was not against this Chicago defense going against their depleted offensive line. The Pack is 0-6 (1-4-1 ATS) on the road.

Opening NFL Spread: Cincinnati -3Best Line Offered: Intertops


Kevin Stott: Dear Mr Kringle: Could ya flex this one ‘til May? Thanks. I have left cookies, milk and a Xanax for your troubles and some butterhead lettuce for your Reindeer. See you on the 24th.


Matthew Jordan: Plenty of good seats available in what surely will be Marvin Lewis’ final home game as Cincy coach. Raiders surely won’t be very engaged with an early start time and in the cold.

Rainman: Oakland got that big W to crown losing season with and could be complacent. 0-5 L5 ATS in Cincy. Cincy is still competitive, Driskel improving. Mixon will exploit Oakland bottom-ranked run D.

Swinging Johnson: Letdown time for Raiders after a huge win over Steelers. Bengals played the Bolts tough in defeat last week and this week get a team they can actually beat - and beat soundly.

Doug Upstone: Raiders have played better of late and that shows with 3-1 ATS mark and upset of Pittsburgh. One problem, Oakland is 0-8 ATS off an upset victory as an underdog of seven or more points.

Opening NFL Spread: Indianapolis -3Best Line Offered: YouWager


Kevin Stott: God rest ye merry footballmen, let’s not forget the play. Remember Luck our Savior, was born on Christmas Day. Colts host Dallas (3-0 ATS L3, 3-0-1 ATS L4 Away) & Zeke, who controls games on O.

Doug Upstone: Dallas takes NFC East with a win and the Colts get one step closer to making the playoffs with a 'W'. Both teams hot, but the Boys are 8-1 ATS after gaining 400+ yards in three straight.


Matthew Jordan: Cowboys could clinch NFC East, while Colts need this for wild-card chances. Still don’t trust Dallas on road despite wining past 2 away. Colts are 7-0 SU in past 7 as home favorites.

Rainman: Colts back at home where Luck’s passer rating is over 20 points higher than away. Dallas ranks 22nd in opposing passer rating, so he should have a big day. Dallas O not as prolific on the road.

Swinging Johnson: Indy has won last 4 at home and are in playoff hunt while Dallas won a thriller in OT last week over the Eagles and may have trouble getting up for this one w/ division title on lock.

Opening NFL Spread: Minnesota -8Best Line Offered: JustBet


Matthew Jordan: Minnesota should win but not by more than a touchdown. Vikings on short week off playing physical loss in Seattle, and Fins may still be riding high off miracle Week 14 victory.

Rainman: Vikings offense is struggling, hasn’t exceeded 24 points in past five weeks, but is being asked to cover large spread here. Tannehill has been playing well, 100+ passer rating in last 3 games.

Doug Upstone: Despite a 7-6 record, Miami has a point differential of -55, suggesting they should be 5-8 or 4-9. But breaks are falling there way and Minnesota is hardly an elite team at this point.


Kevin Stott: Fish (1-5 SU on Road, 2-4 ATS) out of water in December where they’re 50-70 ATS (41.7%), while Purple People (17-5-3 L25 Home Favorites) need this and have Thielen, Diggs.

Swinging Johnson: Not so much an endorsement of the Vikings as a fast fade of Dolphins due to their miraculous victory over the Patriots. Miami won its Super Bowl last week, let the hangover begin.

Opening NFL Spread: NY Giants -2.5Best Line Offered: SportsBetting


Rainman: G-men should not be favored, blowing out Skins means zilch. Odell Beckham questionable. Titans quietly have fourth-best scoring defense and defense travels. Giants 1-4-1 ATS at home.

Kevin Stott: Titans still care while Jints don’t, but when Odell is chucking TD passes and Farting Animals Coloring Book is #45 on Amazon Best Sellers, 12 ahead of Dragons Love Tacos (#32), anything goes?


Matthew Jordan: What has gotten into Giants? Winning four of five has all but ended their chances of the No. 1 pick in the 2019 draft. Titans on extra rest but have a few ugly road losses in 2018.

Swinging Johnson: Big Blue is getting their mojo on and Saquon Barkley is every bit as good as advertised. NY has won 4 of last 5 and covered in all while Titans struggle on road and will do so again.

Doug Upstone: Crummy nonconference clash in theory, but, both Tennessee and the Giants playing good football presently. Siding with G-Men with Titans 0-6 ATS away after two or more triumphs.

Opening NFL Spread: Jacksonville -7Best Line Offered: GT Bets




Matthew Jordan: Easily the worst quarterback matchup of the season – definitely go under the total here. I don’t see the Redskins, now down two more pass-catchers due to injury, scoring a point.

Rainman: Jags got called out for lack of effort in Tennessee. They’ll respond with determination in final home game against Skins, who will show more quit on the road. Jax D shut out Colts in last home game.

Kevin Stott: It's like that and like this and like that and uh ... Cody Kessler vs. Josh Johnson? In front of Jaxson de Ville? Hey where the funk am I and what have y’all done with the NFL?

Swinging Johnson: Redskins are so offensively impotent without a bona fide QB that even Jags look lethal in comparison. Jax D will feast on Skins and may score more points than their offense!

Doug Upstone: Josh Johnson vs. Cody Kessler quarterback matchup, oooh, goosebumps! Both Skins and Jags done, but at least Jacksonville still has more talented players even if they are indifferent.

Opening NFL Spread: Baltimore -8Best Line Offered: BetPhoenix


Matthew Jordan: Baltimore will win because it has to, but Ravens figure to be a bit flat off their oh-so-close Week 14 loss in Kansas City. The Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as favorites.

Swinging Johnson: Ravens don’t score enough points to lay north of a TD to a Bucs team that, for all its defensive warts, can score when Winston feels like playing. Jameis will show up this week.


Rainman: Bucs’ O has put up great numbers, but it’s very untested. Faced one top-10 defense in opp. points per game, got blown out in Chicago. Bucs rank 25th in opp. YPC so Gus Edwards should thrive.

Kevin Stott: Stereotypical pirates have birds on their shoulders, but Parrots and not Ravens or Crows who would attack swashbucklers like they did the school kids The Birds. D over O. Alive over dead.

Doug Upstone: An absolute must win for Baltimore's playoffs hopes. If Joe Flacco plays, the Ravens can win and cover, if not, the Bucs at over a touchdown is worth strong consideration to beat spread.

Opening NFL Spread: Seattle -4.5Best Line Offered: Betmania


Matthew Jordan: Second game in 14 days between teams as Seattle rolled to a 43-16 home victory in Week 13. Hawks 13-2 ATS past 15 meetings. Every loss benefits Niners for 2019 No. 1 overall pick.

Rainman: Seahawks 4-0-1 ATS L5 including 43-16 rout of 49ers. Seahawks are steaming towards playoffs led by Wilson: 110+ passer rating in four of last five games in which he threw 11 TDs, one INT.

Kevin Stott: Richard Sherman called his old team “middle of the road,” so now Wilson and the hot Seahawks are taking it out on the 49ers (L9 cons to SEA) and anyone else who gets in their way.

Swinging Johnson: Seattle not nearly as good on the road but didn’t they just beat 49ers 43-16 two weeks ago? Sure, venue has changed but the teams have not and Seahawks playing as well as anyone.

Doug Upstone: Oddsmakers agreeing Seahawks and 49ers could be a close game. Nevertheless, one turnover could be the difference versus the spread and that will be how Seattle covers the number.



Opening NFL Spread: New England -3Best Line Offered: Skybook


Rainman: Pats 4-1 L5 ATS after a loss and in December and in Pittsburgh. Steelers have lost 3 in a row SU and ATS, 113 average opp. passer rating in those games. Brady and Edelman will take advantage.

Kevin Stott: December truly a Patriotic month for NE (10-2 ATS L12) who are 67-49 ATS (58.2%). A great game and possible playoffs preview more important to the Steelers, although Billy’s thinking Bye.

Swinging Johnson: Pats coming off a soul crushing loss to the Dolphins and will turn their anger towards the Steelers, a team they have owned over the last several years and will own again Sunday.

Doug Upstone: Patriots were punked in Miami and Pittsburgh's woes continued in Oakland. New England is 5-0 and 4-0-1 ATS vs. the Steelers since 2013, what leaves anyone to think that will change now?


Matthew Jordan: No shot Ben Roethlisberger misses this with rib injury. Both clubs perhaps were caught looking ahead in Week 14 upsets. Steelers 11-3 SU past 14 at home after losing last home game.

Opening NFL Spread: Los Angeles -9.5Best Line Offered: Sports Interaction


Matthew Jordan: Eagles aren’t winning and will see their playoff hopes vanish but will hang tough as they play with true desperation. Rams 0-5 ATS past 5 at home following consecutive road games.

Rainman: Eagles catching too many points against bottom-ranked Rams D. Eagles D caught a tough break in loss vs. Dallas but has been much more stable since blowout against Saints. 5-0 ATS L5 vs Rams.


Kevin Stott: Defending champions hanging on for their dear lives and having to travel some 2,711 miles to face Goff, Gurley, Donald and the best team in the NFL, the Rams (32.7 ppg, #3).

Swinging Johnson: Seems like a lot to lay after Rams dismal effort against the Bears but Philly is 1-5 ATS vs. + .500 teams and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after > 350 total yards in their previous game.

Doug Upstone: Philadelphia might be 10-1 ATS vs. the Rams wherever they played at, but they are 2-4 SU and ATS on the road this season and 3-7 ATS away vs. foes with a winning home record.

*-NOTE: Picks before Carson Wentz news but all cappers sticking with selections.

Opening NFL Spread: New Orleans -6.5Best Line Offered: BetCris


Kevin Stott: Jekyll and Hyde Cats suck on the Road (1-6) but are good at Home (5-1) and desperately need this MNFer, but NO is 6-1 ATS L7 vs Carolina and 4-0 ATS L4 in Charlotte and could really care less.

Doug Upstone: Carolina will come out all fired up for New Orleans, but you don't go 0-5 SU and ATS because of bad luck. New Orleans just has to play smart and wait for the Panthers to self-destruct.


Matthew Jordan: Yes, Carolina is slumping in a big way and, yes, the Panthers were 0-3 vs. the Saints last year. However, they HAVE to have this. Carolina is 10-1 SU & 8-3 ATS past 11 at home.

Rainman: Panthers will be unpopular after 5 straight losses but four of those came away where they’ve been notoriously weaker on O and D and other one vs. Seahawks. Panthers average 30+ points at home.

Swinging Johnson: Saints are smokin’ and still have homefield advantage throughout the playoffs as incentive. But giving all these points to a home divisional rival is too tempting to ignore.

Season ATS records: MJ (116-88-4), RM (97-107-4), SJ (105-100-3), DU (105-92-10), KS (96-108-4)

Survivor Picks: MJ (BAL), RM (JAX), SJ (JAX), DU (CHI), KS (SEA)

Check Out SBR's NFL Week 15 Game-By-Game Totals Predictions

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