Week 14 NFL Upsets

Nila Amerova

Friday, December 6, 2013 6:46 PM GMT

Week 14 NFL odds are in the books and we’re back to sift through the lot in search of the best bets on bad teams to pad your pocket with that we can find. Here goes...

New York Giants +150  (+3.0 +100) vs. San Diego Chargers -170 (-3.0 -120)

Analysis:

The New York Giants stumbled against Dallas two weeks ago, a last-minute defeat that put their postseason hopes into jeopardy. They’re hanging on by a thread and must win five in a row to have a shot. They beat the Redskins last week to improve to 5-7 on the season. Now they must beat the San Diego Chargers, no ifs or buts about it.

The NFL odds are stacked against them however as they are listed as the +150 underdogs on the road even though the San Diego Charges are no better than they are, at least not on seasonal record, which also stands at 5-7. What’s more the Chargers started the season well enough but, recently, they lost the plot down the stretch, which puts them in a similar situation to the Giants, with a ghost of a shot at a wildcard spot.

There is value on both sides of the coin clearly for NFL bettors. For our part, we’re taking a chance on the Giants only because of the QB edge, because Manning and Co., when their backs are against the wall, can come up with something special. It’s a bit of a long shot, though, more than the NFL odds would imply so don’t go betting the farm on it.

NFL Picks: Giants to win straight up at +150

[gameodds]16/227073/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Dallas Cowboys -110 (+1 -120) vs. Chicago Bears -110 (-1.0 +100)

Analysis:

Sportsbooks have issued dead even odds on both a Cowboys and a Bears win straight up, which is listed at -110 at Bet365. Clearly, bookies are implying there is little to separate either side. But that is somewhat surprising given that the Cowboys are notoriously bad on the road, not to mention they are notoriously atrocious in December. So why are they suddenly the popular NFL pick?

The Cowboys are riding a two-game winning streak which has them striking an attractive pose in NFL betting markets right now but not enough to make them runaway favourites and that is telling. So perhaps that run of form should be put into perspective. They beat the Giants, who are so-so this seaon, on the road two weeks ago but only just. It really came down to a bit of luck so let’s not go reading into it too much, especially when it was only their second road win of the season since their first over Philadelphia on October 20. They then followed up that victory with a second straight win over the Raiders who are now 4-8 on the season so not exactly a heavyweight. Still impressed by Tony Romo and Co.?

Now the Chicago Bears (6-6, 4-2) are on the back of a two-game losing streak that has them heading in the wrong direction but both losses were on the road. As well, Josh McCown is expected to start instead of Jay Cutler who wasn’t cleared to play yet, a factor that does go against them in NFL betting opinion. Still, the Bears will be at home where they have been decent this season and where they beat the Baltimore Ravens 23-20 in overtime three weeks ago with Josh McCown (by the way) at starting position and going 19-31 for 216 yards and a touchdown. 

NFL Picks: Chicago Bears to win straight up

[gameodds]16/227075/?r3=43-19-349/us&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]