Week 14 NFL Picks: Game-by-Game ML Odds Analysis & Predictions

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, December 9, 2015 5:43 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 9, 2015 5:43 PM UTC

We bring you our weekly, game-by-game NFL picks with a view towards money line betting. Find out which teams we’re backing to win straight up in week 14 NFL betting.

NFL Week 13 SU Picks Recap
We had another good turnout with our straight up NFL Picks finishing with a 10-6 SU mark in week 13. Overall, we improve to 112-80-0 on the season, through 13 weeks and 192 games predicted for your NFL betting thrills.

So let’s get started with our money line predictions for week 14’s slate of NFL betting matchups.


Vikings vs. Cardinals
The Arizona Cardinals are riding high behind a six-game winning streak, which includes a pair of statement wins over the Seahawks and Bengals as well. Overall, the Cardinals are 10-2 SU on the season, which includes a 12.5-point winning margin on average and a plus 7.8-point differential against the spread. It’s a short week, which could factor in this game. The Cardinals are coming off a 27-3 road win in St. Louis while the Vikings hit the road after suffering a humiliating loss to the Seahawks at home, a 38-7 rout that they’d sooner forget. Problem is the Cardinals are tough to beat at home, where they are 4-1 SU with a 12.2-point winning margin.

NFL Picks: Arizona Cardinals -350 at BetOnline

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837181, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Colts vs. Jaguars
The Colts succumbed to their first loss of the season behind Matt Hasselbeck on Sunday Night Football, losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers 45-10. More concerning though was the injury to Matt Hasselbeck. His ability to start this Sunday is questionable, thrusting the whole quarterback situation in Indianapolis on its head with Andrew Luck not expected back until week 15 the earliest. This is a bit of a nightmare situation for Chuck Pagano in what is a must-win game if the Colts are to stay ahead of Houston Texans in the title hunt. Jaguars, meanwhile, look to be trending positively. They are coming off of their second straight loss, falling to the Titans 42-39 on the road. However, with a home game and a whittled down Colts side, they just might fancy their chances for the straight up win. The NFL Odds are currently off the board until official word is received about the quarterback situation. However, we’re assuming Andrew Luck doesn’t play and that Matt Hasselbeck may not be 100% fit so were picking the Jaguars. If proven otherwise, we may have to revisit this NFL pick later in the week.

NFL Picks: Jaguars -113 at Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837183, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Steelers vs. Bengals
This is going to be one of the games of the week. The Steelers looked sharp in a 45-10 win over the Colts while the Bengals thrashed the Cleveland Browns 37-3. It’s anybody’s guess which side is going to win this game. Obviously, the Steelers come into this game as the road underdogs but they’ve won four of their last five trips to Cincy. The Bengals are a much better team this year than they ever were with Andy Dalton in previous seasons, so they’ll fancy their chances as the home favorites to come through for the NFL betting public. For our money, we’re banking on the Steelers to pull off the upset and close the gap on the Bengals in the AFC North and take a step forward in the wildcard playoff race.

NFL Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers +150 betway

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837184, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Redskins vs. Bears
The Redskins lost a heartbreaker on MNF to the Dallas Cowboys. The Bears fritted away the win over the Niners in shameful fashion. Neither of these two teams are great by any stretch of the imagination, which only means one thing: this is going is a coin toss. Going against the Redskins is their winless run on the road. Going against the Bears is their paltry 1-5 SU record at home. Something is going to have to give when these two sides collide. We’re going with the Bears but feeling no joy in this NFL pick.

NFL Picks: Chicago Bears -175

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837182, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Lions vs. Rams
Two bad teams going nowhere important this season collide in a game that is totally meaningless to the broad spectrum of the season. Bet everybody is going to tune into this one. Ha1. The Lions lost a heartbreaker at home to the Packers when Aaron Rodgers threw the best Hail Mary touchdown pass this side of the century. How does anybody recover from that is beyond us, but, perhaps, a date with the hapless Rams might go some way towards lessening the shock of last Thursday’s loss. Unlike the Rams, the Lions have shown spirit and fight over the last few weeks and in the face of adversity. So long as they can bounce back from Thursday’s loss, they could have a field day in St. Louis.

NFL Picks: Detroit Lions -105 at Bet365

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837188, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Niners vs. Browns
Is anybody going to tune in to this game, seriously? The Niners took the improbable win in Chicago, but only after the Bears mucked it up on a botched field goal attempt in the dying seconds of the game. The Browns, meanwhile, are in freefall. That’s hardly likely to change even with the breaking news Johnny Manziel is set to start the game. Whoopie! Not to be churlish or disrespectful to one of the most loyal fan bases in the league, but we’re betting against the Browns here. Not because the Niners are better or the sure NFL pick, but rather because the Browns are just that bad. That and there’s no way we’re paying above EVEN money on the Browns. Heck, how they can be favorites in any game beggars belief.

NFL Picks: San Francisco Niners +105 at The Greek

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837190, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Bills vs. Eagles
Both the Bills and Eagles are two of the most inconsistent teams in the league this season, enjoying contrasting fortunes from week to week. The Bills are coming off a 30-21 win over the Texans, but they’ve only been able to string together back-to-back winning streaks once this season – a two-game winning run that included wins over the Fins and Jets. Similarly, the Eagles have a lone two-game winning streak to show for their 2015-2016 campaign when they beat the Saints and Giants in succession. Most recently, they snapped a three-game losing streak with a big win over the Patriots. That they sent seismic shockwaves through NFL betting circles is to state the obvious. We’d wager though that nobody was more stunned by the win than Chip Kelly and the Eagles. Can they build on the momentum in week 14 or will they suffer a let-down at home to the Bills? We’re going with the Eagles on our SU picks, but we’re expecting the Bills to give them a right good run for their money. Put it this way, we won’t be shocked if the Eagles stink it up in Philly again.

NFL Picks: Philadelphia Eagles -105 at William Hill

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837187, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Chargers vs. Chiefs
Hands up who’s going to rush to the ticket office to become the prize holder of Chargers’ season tickets in Los Angeles; that’s assuming they make the move. The way they are playing Los Angeles might be better served if they politely ask the Chargers organisation to detract its application for the move or else they’ll be faced with an empty stadium when the Chargers will be playing. Speaking of stadiums, Arrowhead is one tough nut to crack. The best thing for the Chargers would be to just ship the W to Kansas City and call it a day. Luck to ya Philip Rivers and Company.

NFL Picks: Kansas City Chiefs -475 The Greek

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837191, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Falcons vs. Panthers
The Falcons can’t seem to buy a win no matter how hard they try. The Panthers have forgotten how to lose. Granted they were put under the cosh by the Saints in week 13, but somehow they rallied from behind to win a ridiculous 41-38 shootout. Look for the Panthers to be sharper, quicker and more focused this week when they take on the Falcons at home.

NFL Picks: Panthers -370 at 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837186, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Saints vs. Bucs
Drew Brees and the Saints threw everything they had at the Panthers, including the kitchen sink. Still, they ended up on the wrong end of the 41-38 score. That’s just tough to get over with a second straight divisional clash. Tampa Bay Bucs, meanwhile, are punching above their weight class. Most recently, they sent the Falcons packing with a 23-19 win at home. The Bucs are faced with the prospect of sweeping the series with the Saints in week 14, a heady thought indeed.

NFL Picks: Tampa Bay Bucs -190 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837185, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Titans vs. Jets
The Titans descend on the Jets in week 14, looking to win a second straight game for the first time this season. The Jets, meanwhile, are coming off a winning effort over the NY Giants and improving to 7-5 SU on the season. Ryan Fitzpatrick has been solid over the last few weeks and his offense seems to be clicking with a verve and swagger they just didn’t quite have earlier in the season. This should be an interesting game, but with the Jets eyeing a wildcard spot this is a must-win game at home over a beatable side.

NFL Picks: New York Jets -345 betway

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837192, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Seahawks vs. Ravens
Do we really need to talk about this one at all? The NFL pick must be glaringly obvious. Just in case it isn’t, it’s Seahawks all the way. The Ravens have no chance against the Seahawks, even with home advantage for the game. The Seahawks are picking up pace and eyeing a wildcard spot for the playoffs at the very least, all while the Ravens are dusting off their golf clubs if they’re not already at the driving range. This could get ugly for Matt Schaub and the Ravens.

NFL Picks: Seattle Seahawks

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837195, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Raiders vs. Broncos
Brock Osweiler mania is well and truly underway as the backup leads the Broncos to a third straight win in three starts. There are those NFL bettors calling for the benching of Peyton Manning as a result – so fickle is the nature of the game and its fans. In any event, the Broncos are at home and they’re set to take on divisional rivals Oakland Raiders, who’ve had a dose of reality served in recent weeks. So long as Brock continues to play solid and the Denver defense plays up to snuff, the Raiders’ chances of pulling off the upset are slim to none.

NFL Picks: Denver Broncos -375 at Bookmaker

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837193, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Cowboys vs. Packers
The Cowboys finally win a game without Tony Romo. Whooppee. You have to feel for Cowboys’ fans, who’ve been subjected to an awful season without their prized quarterback calling the shots. Yet, somehow, they are still in the playoff picture and the win over the Redskins was pivotal towards that end. Having said that any bonhomie is going to be short-lived. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers came to life in Detroit last Thursday with a potentially season saving Hail Mary. They’ll be tough to beat at Lambeau.

NFL Picks: Green Bay Packers -340 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837194, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Patriots vs. Texans
The Patriots are riding a two-game losing streak, largely down to the injuries suffered on the offensive side of the ball. Last week’s loss was particularly tough to swallow if you’re a Patriots fan.  The Texans stack up stoutly on defense, which doesn’t bode well for Tom Brady and Company. Certainly, J.J. Watt and the Texans will look to get after Tom Brady as much as the Eagles did last week. Still, there’s just no way we can bet against the Patriots to lose three in a row. Or is there?

NFL Picks: New England Patriots -170 BetOnline

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837189, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Giants vs. Dolphins
Giants have now fritted away leads in the dying minutes of a game five times this season, losing all in inexplicable fashion and each was worse than the other. Last week’s loss to the Jets was just another one of those head-scratchers. The Dolphins are coming off a 15-13 win over the Ravens, which is hardly anything to get charged about. Don’t you wish the NFL can flex Monday Night Football games too? This is a complete tossup for our NFL picks, but we’re leaning towards the Giants ever so slightly. They have more at stake here than the Dolphins do with the divisional title still up for grabs in the dysfunctional NFC East.

NFL Picks: New York Giants -115 The Greek

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837196, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here