Week 14 Last Minute Picks Are All Over The Moneyline

N.Y. Jets player in the middle of a game

Saturday, December 10, 2016 9:00 PM GMT

Looking for a few last-minute NFL picks for Week 14? Check out these value plays featuring the Saints, Jets, Colts, and Titans.

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Quarterback Drew Brees is 7-3 straight up at Raymond James Stadium. He’s also a perfect 3-0 against the spread as an underdog at Tampa. Brees has posted less than 6.4 yards per passing attempt twice in this span, losing each game outright. The Bucs defense has allowed opposing quarterbacks to pick up 7.0 or greater in 9 of 12 games this season.

Both teams play at a fast pace, ranking second and third in the NFL in offensive snaps. Give us Brees over Jameis Winston in a shootout any day. The wrong team is favored in this one.

 

Free NFL Pick: Saints +120

Best Line Offered: at SportsInteraction

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Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Colts quarterback Andrew Luck is 19-4 SU and 17-5-1 ATS against division opponents. At Lucas Oil Stadium, he is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS. Eight of the nine victories have been by a touchdown or more. Luck comes into the game red hot, picking up AFC Offensive Player of the Week honors for his 4-touchdown performance in a 41-10 rout of the Jets last Monday night.

Indy’s weakness is its pass defense, allowing 273.3 yards through the air per game. Nonetheless, they have an advantage over quarterback Brock Osweiler, who has proven a huge bust since coming over in free agency. The Texans have scored more than two touchdowns on offense once all season. Luck has done so in seven of 11 contests. Houston can’t keep up; Colts by a touchdown or more.

 

Free NFL Pick: Colts -6.5

Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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N.Y. Jets vs San Francisco 49ers

The Jets are bad, but they’re not 49ers bad. San Francisco has dropped their last 10 games, eight of them by double digits.

The Niners’ defense is atrocious, allowing 30.8 points per game. It can’t stop much of anything but suffers most against the run. The unit yields an NFL-worst 4.9 yards per carry. San Francisco, in fact, has covered three games all season. It’s the only three contests all year they’ve held teams below the century mark in rushing yards.

The Jets, meanwhile, have picked up 100 yards or more on the ground in five of six contests against opponents with a negative points differential on the season. Look for running back Matt Forte and the New York offense to control the clock and the game. Jets on the money line offers value for your week 14 NFL picks.

 

Free NFL Pick: Jets +140

Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans 

The Broncos win with their pass rush: see last week’s 20-10 victory over Jacksonville. Bad news for Denver fans, the Titans roll out a superb offensive line. Led by center Ben Jones, it’s tied for third-fewest QB pressures surrendered this season. Moreover, they are leading the way in the run game where Tennessee ranks third in the NFL, too (141.5 ypg).

Denver tends to struggle against highly efficient run teams. Including last season, the reigning Super Bowl champions are 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS versus opponents rushing for 4.58 yards or better per carry. Tennessee enters averaging 4.8. This will be a close contest where the Broncos will actually need its quarterback to make a difference in the game. Rookie Paxton Lynch played awful last weekend and is not ready for the challenge—at least yet.

 

Free NFL Pick: Titans -1

Best Line Offered: at WilliamHill

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