Week 13 NFL Picks: Game-by-Game Moneyline Betting

Nikki Adams

Thursday, November 27, 2014 12:53 PM GMT

Thursday, Nov. 27, 2014 12:53 PM GMT

Week 13 in the NFL is all but set to kick off, so join us as we predict each and every game on the NFL odds board. We preview the games and the money line odds and serve up our NFL picks.

Week 12 NFL Betting SU Recap 
It was a really good turnout in week 12 with our SU NFL picks as we went 11-4 SU. Overall, we've improved to 59-40-1 through seven weeks of predicting SU winners. So let's gets cracking with our week 13 NFL picks.


Bears +250 vs. Lions -310
The Lions are 7-4 SU this season, 4-1 SU at home. They're riding a two game losing streak, both of which were on the road – 14-6 to Arizona and 34-9 to New England. To date, they've played well on home turf, save for the misstep against the Bills, a game they let slip through their fingers 17-14 in the dying minutes. Bears bring a 5-6 SU record to Detroit, which includes a modest 3-3 SU record on the road. They've won their last two games, albeit against lesser opponents – Minnesota and Tampa. Bears have the head-to-head edge, having gone 4-2 SU in their last six games against the Lions in Detroit. The Lions have form this season, however, which makes them the better SU NFL pick.

NFL Pick: Lions -310


Eagles +155 vs. Cowboys -175
This is shaping up to be a must-see game on Thursday's NFL betting card. Both teams are 8-3 SU, tied for first place in the NFC East division. Last season, the pair split their meetings with each side winning away. Dallas has the head-to-head edge in their last four meetings, having won three of their last four. Given what is at stake, however, the Cowboys can't take that edge for granted. The divisional title is on the line. The Eagles are coming off a solid win in week 12 NFL betting, marking their third win in the last four weeks. By contrast, Dallas have gone 2-2 SU in their last four games. This game could go either way, but we're backing the Eagles for the upset in Dallas.

NFL Pick: Eagles +155

 

Seahawks +105 Niners -125
Niners take the slim edge on the NFL betting line in this game, matched as the -125 home favourites. Underscoring their favourable NFL odds is a 5-0 SU record against Seattle when playing in San Francisco. A lot is at stake in this matchup, which could make these stats a moot point. Seahawks and Niners are tied 7-4 SU in the NFC West and fighting for a playoff berth. The premium on the win could be greater than it is at the moment. Niners have won three in a row while the Seahawks bounced back with a gritty win over the Cardinals last week. Where the Seahawks have fallen short of the mark this season is on the road, where they are 2-3 SU ahead of week 13 NFL betting. Needless to say, they could improve that with a win over the Niners on the road, but we're hanging our hat on the Niners on home turf coming through in a close contest.

NFL Pick: Niners -125

 

Panthers +120 vs. Vikings -140
Panthers can't seem to buy a win no matter how hard they try. They are 3-7-1 SU on the season and 1-3-1 SU in their last five games on the road. Panthers are proving vulnerable on both sides of the ball and Cam Newton continues to struggle with fitness and form. Vikings are clearly a team in transition this season with a rookie quarterback and some personnel setbacks. They are 4-7 SU on the season, 2-3 SU on the road. This is a complete toss up in week 14 NFL betting. Forced to make a choice, the Vikings defense could be the difference maker.

NFL Pick: Vikings -140


Bengals -185 vs. Bucs +165
If the Bengals want to advance into the playoffs, this is a game they must win. Bucs are struggling this season, nowhere more so than at home where they are 0-5 SU. If Andy Dalton and the Bengals lose this game, it could have serious ramifications for them in a very tough AFC North division that is wide open. Bengals have won two straight on the road and they should complete the hat trick on their travels. Shade the Bengals -185 on your NFL picks.

NLF Pick: Bengals -185

 

Browns +125 vs. Bills -145
Browns have been punching above their weight class to emerge with a 7-4 SU record through 12 weeks of NFL betting. Bills bounced back from a disappointing defeat to Miami in week 11 by routing the hapless New York Jets 38-3. This is a difficult game to predict for many reasons. Both teams deserve a lot of respect for what they've accomplished this season, against preseason NFL odds no less. Browns have stepped up three times this season as the underdogs, defying the odds to win straight up. Bills have enjoyed some eyebrow raising accounts as well and have played up to opponents.  They have home edge, which could be the deciding factor in a tight contest.

NFL Pick: Bills -145

 

Saints +175 vs. Steelers -210
Saints have slipped to three straight defeats and to a 4-7 SU record on the season. They are in dire straits, desperately needing a win to get back on track in a wide open NFC South division that sports some of the season's worst stragglers. Taking the win at the expense of the Steelers, who are 7-4 SU and 4-1 SU at home is going to be a tall order. Almost improbable given the Steelers' current  form, winning three straight at home since October and four of their last five games.

NFL Pick: Steelers -210


Giants -140 vs. Jaguars +120
Finally a game the Giants can win, wouldn't you say? No disrespect to the Jaguars and their fans, but the Jaguars are one hit wonders this season and, well, Eli Manning and the Giants are after all former Super Bowl champions. They've had a rough go of it this season, struggling to win against solid teams. There's an argument to be had about their tough schedule, coming up against the likes of Detroit, Arizona, Philadelphia, Indianapolis, Seattle and San Francisco, all sides in the hunt for a playoff berth. The NFL gods haven't been kind to them. However, beginning with Jacksonville, they have a nice stretch of four games that are potentially winnable. It might not be enough to see them into the postseason but it would go some way towards ending their season on a positive note.

NFL Pick: Giants -140


Raiders +240 vs. Rams -300
This is another tough game to call between two teams most likely playing for pride at this late juncture. Raiders finally broke duck with a win over the Chiefs, a momentous win that snapped a 16-game losing streak for the franchise. They'll be buoyed ahead of their date with the Rams, even though they are just 1-10 SU this season. What do they have to lose, really? St. Louis Rams are 4-7 SU this season, 2-3 SU at home. They are riding a two-game home winning streak behind wins over Seattle and Denver. Interspersed in between they shocked the Niners on the road. They'll certainly feel confident against the one-hit wonders. Indeed, odds makers are tipping this game in their corner on the NFL odds board wholeheartedly at -300 NFL odds board. That's a hefty price for a team that is still under .500 on the season. As tempting as the Raiders might be as the +240 underdogs, does a leopard change his spots after just one win? It's not enough to suddenly jump on their bandwagon. Rams with home edge appear to be the acceptable NFL pick.

NFL Pick: Rams -300


Chargers +220 vs. Ravens -270
Chargers may have won their last two games but they beat those wins came at the expense of the Raiders and Rams. What's more, their 7-4 SU record on the season has been accounted for at the expense of so-so teams, save for the win over the Seahawks. Against quality teams, the Chargers have been found wanting – losses to Kansas, Denver and Miami, spring to mind. Ravens are just after a season-saving win over the Saints on the road. They are 7-4 SU and 4-1 SU at home. This is a must-win game if they hope to make the playoffs, emerge from a tough AFC North division.

NFL Pick: Ravens -270


Titans +215 vs. Texans-260
We have been loved up with the Texans all season long. How could you not with J.J. Watt in the camp. Their quarterback carousel is concerning, now that Ryan Mallet is sidelined and it looks like they are back to Ryan Fitzpatrick. But they did win games behind the veteran and lost some narrow ones as well. If Arian Foster is back in the line-up, he can be a game-changer. Titans have played better with rookie Zach Mettenberger over the last two weeks. But in Houston with J.J Watt and the Texans motivated to bounce back into the conversation, a road win by the rookie might be too much to expect. Shade the Texans on your NFL picks.

NFL Pick: Texans -260


Redskins +375 vs. Colts -500
Andrew Luck vs. RGIII? The 7-4 SU Colts against the 3-8 SU Redskins? This has to be a no-brainer, surely. Luck and the Colts beat up on subpar teams. Redskins are subpar this season. What's more, it looks like the rift between RGIII and the organisation is irreparable. Colts should hand the Redskins a beat down.

NFL Pick: Colts -500


Cardinals -135 vs. Falcons +115
Cardinals will look to bounce back against a beatable Falcons side that seems to be losing steam down the stretch, not to mention motivation and heart. Cardinals are 9-2 SU on the season. They are still atop the NFC Conference standings. Atlanta are 4-7 SU and tied for first place in an anaemic NFC South division. But NFL betting faith is waning in the Falcons, as evinced on the NFL odds board where they are matched as the +115 home underdogs.

NFL Pick: Cardinals -135


Patriots +150 vs. Packers -170
One of two marquee games on Sunday, the showdown between the Patriots (9-2 SU) and Packers (8-3 SU) promises to be a veritable scoring feast if both sides live up to their offensive stats on the season. This is a tough game to call for many reasons. Packers are undefeated at home with a 5-0 SU record ­– form doesn't get more convincing than that before a heavyweight showdown. Patriots, however, continue to defy the odds. They annihilated the Broncos at home and eviscerated the Colts on the road, both times as the underdogs. NFL bettors have to tip their hat to that. This could go either way, so it really is going to come down to personal preference for most NFL bettors. For our money, the Packers have yet to play a team of the Patriots' quality or a quarterback of Tom Brady's undeniable standard. That's why we're giving the edge to the visitors on our NFL picks.

NFL Pick: Patriots +150


Broncos -130 vs. Chiefs +110
Broncos show up more often than not. They know how to win games, know how to rise to divisional opponents. Last season, Broncos swept the series winning 27-17 at Mile High and 35-28 in Kansas. This season, the Broncos beat the Chiefs 24-17 at Mile High. To put it simply, Alex Smith has yet to beat Peyton Manning in this matchup. And last week the Chiefs lost to the hapless Raiders, a dubious honour it is to know that one of the worst teams in the NFL for two seasons running procured a win at their expense. Broncos are after a big win over the Dolphins in week 12. They'll be looking to pull ahead in the division at the expense of the Chiefs. Plus it's not often the Broncos are priced so low on money line odds, which makes them a value NFL pick.

NFL Pick: Broncos -130


Dolphins -320 vs. Jets +260
Miami Dolphins may be after a defeat to the Broncos, but there were plenty of positives in that defeat that augur well for them this season and going forward. They are 6-5 SU and 3-3 SU on the road. The New York Jets have lost the plot this season, not to mention confidence in the quarterback position. Dolphins beat up on bad teams. Jets are a bad team this season (no disrespect to their fans). The 2-9 SU speaks volumes.

NFL Pick: Dolphins -320

comment here