Week 13 NFL Trends To Beat the Books: You’re Gonna Need A Bigger Bankroll

Tuesday, November 27, 2018 3:06 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 27, 2018 3:06 PM UTC

You’re gonna need a bigger bankroll if you miss these "Jaws"-inspired NFL Week 13 betting trends and angles. Bounty up.

<h2> You’re Gonna Need A Bigger Bankroll</h2><p>The Saints have covered the spread in nine straight games, nipping the number (-13) with a 31-17 win over the Falcons on Thanksgiving. Since the introduction of the NFL salary cap, only seven road favorites have kicked off when covering seven or more in a row. They are 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS, coming up 8.5 points shy of an average -4.6 line. None has won by more than five points.<a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nfl/" rel="nofollow" title="NFL Picks &amp; Predictions"> Tread carefully backing the Saints -7.5 at the Cowboys Thursday night, </a>or you’re gonna need a bigger bankroll.</p><p>[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"https://www.youtube.com/embed/rTMxZxI7-SQ", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]</p><h2>Cardinals To Take Flight</h2><p>Since 1990, underdogs losing by more than 30 while catching points in their previous effort are 72-37-6 ATS (66.1 percent) next time out. The Chargers routed the Cardinals 45-10 as a two-touchdown favorite in Week 12. The same handicap applies to Arizona in its trip to Lambeau Field to take on Green Bay Sunday.</p><h2>Andy Reid Alert</h2><p>Signal the Andy Reid alarm. The Chiefs are an eye-opening 15.5-point road favorites over the Raiders in Week 13. Reid is an amazing 23-6 SU and 20-8-1 ATS against AFC West rivals since December 2013. K.C. is 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS gifting double digits two other times (Chargers 2015, Raiders 2014) in this stretch.</p><h2>Raiders Rout Imminent?</h2><p>Since 1989, home underdogs catching more the two touchdowns<a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nfl-football/" rel="nofollow" title="Live NFL Odds"> on the NFL oddsboard</a> are 1-14 SU and 5-9-1 ATS (35.7 percent). They average a lowly 13.6 points per game. Only one of eight teams has covered the spread when the total is north of the 42.0 league average in this span, suggesting a high-powered attack from the visitors is too much to handle. The pups are losing by a 22.1 average margin, yielding 37.2 points per game. Yikes.</p><h2>This Was No Boat Accident</h2><p>The Giants are 6-22 SU (13-15 ATS) since the infamous boat photo in which Odell Beckham Jr. and the rest of the then-wide receiving corps flew to Miami to party following a 2016-17 playoff birth. Spotted less than a touchdown at MetLife Stadium in this span, and the G-Men are 2-9 SU and ATS, losing by an 11.5 average margin. The red-hot Bears are 4.5-point favorites for their Week 13 visit.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;So OBJ, Sterling Shepard, Victor Cruz, and Roger Lewis flew to Miami last night, went clubbing, and are on a boat. Living life. &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/Giants?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#Giants&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/SE6QqfuYfT\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/SE6QqfuYfT&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Justin Witmondt (@JustinWitmondt) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/JustinWitmondt/status/815945165726744576?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;January 2, 2017&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2>Light Chalk Equals Brady Bucks</h2><p>New England is a 6-point favorite hosting the NFC North Vikings at Gillette Stadium Sunday. Canton-bound QB Tom Brady is a lucrative 34-14-3 ATS (70.8 percent) all-time going off a home favorite of less than a touchdown, including a 20-6 run since 2007. Free money folks.</p><h2>It’s Not Luck Y’all</h2><p>Colts QB Andrew Luck is 13-3 SU and 11-5 ATS as road chalk in his career, leading Indy to 30.3 points per game. This includes a 42-28 rout over the Raiders as a 3.5-point favorite in Week 8. For those dabbling in the proposition market, Luck averages 272.8 yards, 2.2 TDs, and 0.8 INTs on 36.5 passes under these conditions. The Colts are 4-point favorites at the slumping Jaguars.</p><h2>Streaking Texans Signal 'Under’</h2><p>The Texans became the first team in the Super Bowl era to win eight straight after starting 0-3 SU to begin the season with a 34-17 romp over the Titans on Monday night. Since 1989, the "under" has cashed 61.0 percent of the time (31-19-1) in the regular season next time out for teams on an eight-game run. At home, the mark is 17-7-1 overall (70.8 percent). Houston hosts the Browns as 4.5-point chalk on Sunday.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;iframe src=\"https://giphy.com/embed/Qi0t5XxNPz70I\" width=\"480\" height=\"200\" frameborder=\"0\" class=\"giphy-embed\" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=\"https://giphy.com/gifs/bruce-jaws-youregonnaneedabiggerboat-Qi0t5XxNPz70I\"&gt;via GIPHY&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;"}[/]</p><h2>This Shark, Swallow You Whole … Not</h2><p>Dolphins are loveable, cute mammals — not ferocious fish. They lack the viciousness, cunning and danger of sharks. Consider this an applicable metaphor to Miami laying points to AFC East rivals. The NFL Dolphins are 30-43-3 (41.1 percent) in this situation since the introduction of the league salary cap. When returning home from a road effort, the record slips to 14-28-2 (33.3 percent) overall. Miami is laying 5 points to the Bills at Hard Rock Stadium following a 27-24 defeat at Indianapolis last week.</p><h2>Heinz Field Highlights</h2><p>The "over" is 24-13 (64.9 percent) when Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger is hosting an opponent at Heinz Field with a higher winning percentage. Pittsburgh puts up 28.4 points per game in this spot. The over/under margin trends north by a 7.6 average. Big Ben is also 21-14-2 ATS (60.0 percent) overall.</p>
comment here