Week 13 Free NFL Picks for Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins

David Lawrence

Friday, December 4, 2015 11:01 PM GMT

Friday, Dec. 4, 2015 11:01 PM GMT

Baltimore got a morale-boosting win against Browns to move to 4-7. Miami also sits at 4-7 after getting routed by the N.Y Jets, & a loss will surely eliminate one team from the playoff race.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open: -4.5 +100 at Pinnacle
The Dolphins started out as 4.5-point favorites at home and the NFL odds have dipped a little to -4, but it could move even closer to -3 or -3.5. The Ravens have won three of their last four and they've played better than their record suggests as all seven of their losses have been by eight points or less. A few bounces here and there and this could be a completely different story, but it is what it is and the Ravens, to their credit, aren't complaining. The Dolphins have lost four of their last five and their defense is 27th in the league in points allowed. Luckily for them, the Ravens are missing the injured Joe Flacco. But Miami allowed Ryan Fitzpatrick to throw four touchdowns on them, so it's not like they're a good defense regardless of who they face. Matt Schaub wasn't terrible against the Browns, but Baltimore is still going to work out Ryan Mallett this week.

 

Ravens vs. Dolphins Spread

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Ravens vs. Dolphins Totals

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Ravens vs. Dolphins Money Line

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Injuries
For the Ravens, T Eugene Monroe (shoulder) and TE Maxx Williams (concussion) weren't in practice on Wednesday. However, G Kelechi Osemele (knee) came back to practice after missing a couple games and if the Ravens are going to make an improbable run to the postseason, they need all the help they can get.

DT C.J. Mosley was put on the injured list because of his calf, and then the Dolphins waived him. WR Rishard Matthews has fractured ribs and will likely be out for a couple weeks, at least. C Mike Pouncey is day-to-day because of his foot for the Dolphins, which is encouraging.

 

Trends
Baltimore is 2-7-2 ATS during the regular season, including 2-3-1 ATS on the road, while the Dolphins are 4-7 ATS and have covered just once in their four home games. The total is 43.5 for this game and both teams have gone over six times.

The Ravens are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Dolphins, winning and covering in each of the last five meetings. In Miami, the Ravens are 5-4 SU and 6-3 ATS in nine trips since 1989.

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