Week 12 SNF Capper Court: Purple People Eaters To Devour Some Cheese

nfl week 12 packers vikings

SBR Staff

Tuesday, November 20, 2018 11:39 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 20, 2018 11:39 PM UTC

`Welcome to the "Capper Court," where five of SBR's NFL handicappers will provide their opinions on Thursday night and Sunday night NFL games. The majority rules! It's a Packers-Vikings showdown on SNF for Week 12.

Green Bay (4-5-1 SU, 4-5-1 ATS) at Minnesota (5-4-1 SU, 5-4-1 ATS)Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)Free Majority Pick: Vikings -4 Opening LineBest Line Offered: BetOnline

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Matthew Jordan:

The Packers are so night-and-day different away from Lambeau Field as they dropped to 0-5 this season on the road (1-3-1 ATS) with last Thursday’s 27-24 loss in Seattle. Aaron Rodgers threw for 332 yards and two scores, which looks nice, but he had a few lousy throws – including on third-and-2 from his own 33 with just over four minutes on the Packers’ drive immediately following Seattle taking the lead. Rodgers essentially threw a pass to Marquez Valdes-Scantling into the ground, and Green Bay never got the ball back. Rodgers also was sacked five times and was just 2-for-6 passing on third down with four sacks. Now you hear talk that Mike McCarthy is a goner if the Packers don’t rally for a playoff spot. That’s incredibly unlikely with a loss here. Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in its past seven after a loss.

Second straight Sunday night game for Minnesota, which was largely dominated in Week 11 in a 25-20 loss in Chicago that gave the Bears a 1.5-game lead atop the NFC North over Minnesota. Kirk Cousins didn’t look good in dropping to 4-12 in his prime-time career, as he was 30 of 46 for 262 yards and two picks – one returned for a touchdown. Most of his positive numbers came in the second half when the Bears had a big lead. Cousins got squat from his running game, which totaled 22 yards on 14 carries. The Vikings have been great after a loss in the Mike Zimmer era, covering 26 of their past 35. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the past five in this series. I promise it won’t end in a 29-all tie like it did Week 2 in Lambeau. Vikings win by a TD.

Swinging Johnson:

This Sunday night tilt is a rematch from Week 2 when the Vikings traveled to Green Bay to essentially engage in the athletic equivalent of kissing one’s sister. The teams tied 29-29, fans of both went home with a smile/scowl on their faces and it didn’t do much to improve the fortunes of either squad. But now we are set for another go ‘round between these two NFC North rivals and a loss for Green Bay will put the nail in the proverbial coffin while Minnesota would be hanging by a thread if they drop this Week 12 contest.

Both teams are coming off Week 11 losses, with the Packers losing to the Seahawks while the Vikings got dumped by the Bears. It seems to me that we have a matchup of teams that are fairly similar in terms of points scored and points allowed with the Packers having a slight edge in the former while the Vikings are better in the latter. But this vaunted Vikings defense is not the stuff of legends by any means and the Packers defensive unit has played better recently, allowing an average of 18 points per game over their last three. The bottom line is that the Minnesota offense doesn’t scare me and their defense doesn’t impress me enough to lay the points. Green Bay is in survival mode and Aaron Rodgers should be on point and sharp as a razor, despite Jimmy Graham’s status with a broken thumb, when the teams meet on Sunday night. Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss and have had 10 days to prepare for this one. The oddsmakers are giving the road pups too many points and we’ll happily grab them!

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Congrats to long starving #Bears fans — quakity grasp of NFC North with 6 games to go.

And #Packers fans can take a step off the ledge. They’re only one game out of the wildcard behind #Vikings who they play next week.

— Rich Eisen (@richeisen) November 19, 2018
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Doug Upstone:

Minnesota is off a hugely disappointing loss to Chicago, and their chances of being repeat NFC North champions took a big hit. As has been stated before, it's become more clear each week in big games why Washington did not feel it could commit to Kirk Cousins. Other than the Rams contest, Cousins has not played well in Minnesota's most meaningful games this season. The Vikings will face division rival Green Bay, who have been just as big a disappointment. The tail end of the Ted Thompson (GM) era was not as productive in getting the right players to keep the Packers a Super Bowl contender.

That price is being paid now and wasting Aaron Rodgers' talents in his mid-30s. In this rematch from the earlier tie game, one cannot overlook Green Bay has yet to win on the road in five tries (1-3-1 ATS) and chances are they will make a mistake or two that will decide the outcome on offense or defense. Rodgers said before his team was going to play four of five on the road against quality competition, we would find out how good the Packers were and he was absolutely correct.

Kevin Stott:

Green Bay (2-4 ATS L6 series) hasn’t won on the Road since beating the Browns in Week 14 in 2017? Rinse. Repeat. This Sunday Night Football battle from the Land of 10,000 Lakes (soon ice) and the Juicy Lucy — a cheeseburger with the cheese in the middle my friend — sees the Purple People Beaters (3-1 ATS L4 vs GB in MIN) and Packers (12-9 ATS on SNF) colliding and hoping someone wins after a 29-29 tie in Week 2 over in Brown County.

Mr. Rodgers (38-20 ATS vs NFC North) and Green Bay (0-4 Road, 1-3 ATS in 20-18) have patched together another season where they are still hanging on but really need to win a Road game with Da Bears surprising both teams looking up (and providing Motivation) for them. Limiting production from Diggs and Thielen will be huge for the Packers to prevail here, but the biggest handicapping thing here seems to be the psychological reality of knowing you haven’t won on the Road for so long — making you (GB) think you can’t win on the Road? Belief is always big in Sports, but the Cheeseheads haven’t won enough on the Road to actually believe they can these days. Purple.

Rainman:

Will bettors ever stop with their undying loyalty to Aaron Rodgers? He’s elite, but he can’t do everything, which is why Green Bay is only an average offense, ranking 13th in points per game. The Packers will have significant trouble scoring against Minnesota. They did manage 29 points against the Vikings in a tie, but that was in the second game of the season. Minnesota’s defense has been a lot better since then. Overall, it ranks seventh in opposing passer rating. In its last three games, it’s allowing an average 78.5 passer rating, which would place them ahead of the top-ranked Bears. Although Minnesota lost to New Orleans three games ago, it hits home to see that Drew Brees mustered only 120 passing yards against the Vikings in what was easily his worst game of the season.

Offensively, Minnesota finally has a healthy backfield. Dalvin Cook is back and he’ll thrive against a Packers defense that ranks 20th in opposing YPC. Quarterback Kirk Cousins also looks to replicate his Week 2 success, in which he threw for over 400 yards and four touchdowns against the Packers. Minnesota is 5-2 L7 ATS against Green Bay.

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