No Alex Smith, No Chance For Redskins At Cowboys On Turkey Day

alex smith redskins

Matthew Jordan

Monday, November 19, 2018 2:57 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 19, 2018 2:57 PM UTC

Per usual on Thanksgiving, the Dallas Cowboys host the second game of the day and welcome the NFC East rival Washington Redskins to AT&T Stadium. Bet confident with SBRpicks.com.

Matt’s 2018 Individual Game Record: 7-6 (ATS & O/U)

Washington (6-4 SU, 7-3 ATS) at Dallas (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS)Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET (Fox)Free NFL Pick: Under & Cowboys ATS (buy down to -6.5)Best Line Offered: GTBets

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3452820, "sportsbooksIds":[1602,19,238,1275,274], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3452820, "sportsbooksIds":[1602,19,238,1275,274], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

First place in the NFC East is on the line in this Turkey Day matchup between the Redskins and Cowboys. Washington is just the third team since 1970 outside of Dallas and Detroit to play on the holiday for a third straight year. Last year, the Skins hosted the Giants in the prime-time game and Washington won ugly 20-10 in the rain and slop. In 2016, Washington lost at Dallas 31-26 despite a huge day from Kirk Cousins. The Redskins have never won back-to-back Thursday games. It’s Washington’s 11th Thanksgiving Day game overall and ninth vs. the Cowboys, who of course host the holiday’s middle game every year.

The Redskins and Cowboys played in Maryland in Week 6 and Washington won 20-17. Ryan Kerrigan’s strip sack of Dak Prescott was recovered for a touchdown by Preston Smith with just under five minutes remaining for a 20-10 lead. Prescott scored on a 1-yard run with 1:37 to go to make it 20-17.

Dallas would get the ball back and drove to the Redskins 30. Brett Maher was set for the potential tying kick, but the Cowboys were called for a rather unusual snap infraction as long snapper L.P. Ladoceur moved the football illegally. That made Maher’s try a 52-yarder instead of 47 yarder and he clanked it off the left upright as time expired.

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"https://www.youtube.com/embed/YvrBX87uzEA", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]

Smith’s Theismann Moment

Alex Smith’s first season as the Washington starting quarterback is over. Exactly 33 years to the day that former Redskins quarterback Joe Theismann had his leg snapped in a Monday night game against the New York Giants, the same thing happened to Smith on a third quarter sack in Sunday’s 23-21 home loss to the Houston Texans. In case you haven’t seen it, there’s the video above, but I warn you that it’s graphic and stomach-turning.

Smith broke his tibia and fibula. Theismann never played again after his broken leg but he was 35. Smith is 34 but should be fine for next season. Probably no team in the league has had worse injury luck this year than Washington. Among guys that sat Sunday were left tackle Trent Williams, pass-catching RB Chris Thompson and WR Jamison Crowder.

Veteran journeyman Colt McCoy will get the start Thursday as he’s the only other quarterback on the roster – the Skins will have to sign a backup this week. McCoy was 6-for-12 for 54 yards and a TD while rushing for 35 yards in relief of Smith vs. Houston. McCoy hasn’t started a regular-season game since Week 15 of the 2014 season with Washington.

The Cowboys’ season looked cooked after losing at home to Tennessee in Week 9, but Dallas has since pulled off road upsets in Philadelphia and Atlanta. It was 22-19 vs. the Falcons on Sunday as Maher hit the winning 42-yard field goal as time expired (he missed a PAT earlier). The Cowboys had blown a 10-point fourth-quarter lead.

Ezekiel Elliott rushed for 122 yards and a score while catching seven passes for 79 yards. It was Elliott’s fifth 100-yard game of the year and Dallas is 4-1 in them. He was held to 33 yards on 15 carries in the first meeting with Washington. Sunday was also Elliott's fourth career game with at least 200 scrimmage yards, which is already tied with Emmitt Smith and DeMarco Murray for the most in Cowboys history. Hard to believe that Emmitt didn’t have more.

  • Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC East.
  • Under is 9-0 in Cowboys last 9 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 road games.

I’m not the type to prefer picking a total over a side unless I just love a total, and I do here for a Thursday NFL pick. The Dallas defense is very good, and I can’t imagine Colt McCoy will do much against it. Likely will be a very conservative game plan. Cowboys win something like 23-14, so I guess I would give the points too ... but would recommend buying it down under a TD just in case.

Prediction: Cowboys 23, Redskins 14

comment here