Week 12 New Orleans Saints vs. Houston Texans Free NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Friday, November 27, 2015 7:26 PM GMT

The Saints are hoping a coaching change will cure one of the league's worst defenses. They head to Houston, where the Texans are 5-5 and their defense has gotten their groove back.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open: -3 +100 at Pinnacle
The NFL odds for this contest opened at -3 for the Texans and that is where the line has stayed. Houston has won three in a row on the back of a defense that has allowed 29 points over that time, and while we all know what DE J.J. Watt can do, the rest of the unit is catching up. This will be a good test for the Saints, who can score, but they had to fire defensive coordinator Rex Ryan, whose defense was last in the league in points allowed. That puts a lot of pressure on QB Drew Brees and the offense to generate points. However, there is a feeling that coach Sean Payton won't be back next season, and possibly, Brees. These distractions might be killing the Saints from the inside, no matter what they say. That isn't good news going on the road to face a Houston team that has turned things around and are going to be in the Saints' face from the opening whistle.

Saints vs. Texans Spread

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Saints vs. Texans Totals

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Saints vs. Texans Money Line

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Injuries
Injuries aren't helping the Saints on defense as CB Keenan Lewis (leg) didn't practice on Wednesday, and neither did CB Damian Swann (concussion). The Saints need all hands on deck if they're going to make a push for the playoffs.

The Texans are going to get QB Brian Hoyer back from a concussion, so he'll be under center on Sunday. CB Johnathan Joseph left the win over the New York Jets with a leg injury, so keep an eye on him later in the week. 

 

Trends
The Saints are 4-5-1 ATS in 2015, going 2-3 ATS on the road, while Houston is 5-5 ATS and 3-2 ATS at home. The total dropped to 47.5 from 48, and both teams have gone over six times. The Saints also have a push on their record.

New Orleans is 2-1 SU and ATS against the Texans since 2003. The two have met once in Houston with the Texans claiming a 23-10 victory in which they covered the spread as well. That game took place back in November 2007.

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