Week 11 Picks: Early Odds Can Lead to Big Returns

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Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, November 14, 2017 2:13 PM GMT

Tuesday, Nov. 14, 2017 2:13 PM GMT

The early NFL odds are out for Week 11 and the sharps are already picking off weak lines, to which the online sportsbooks are adjusting. Let's see which games have moved and where the best numbers are on both sides.

Redskins at Saints

The Saints are a fairly solid 7-½ point home favorites over the Redskins. However, a few books have given bettors incentive to back Washington by giving the Skins a 9- or 9½-point head start. It does not come without a price, however, as Bookmaker and JustBet are charging a -123 vig and 5Dimes is dealing +9½ with a -130 premium for all those dog lovers to pay. If you are inclined to back the home chalk then I suggest you click on over to Pinnacle, BetOnline, or Bovada and get the boys from the Bayou at -7½. But, remember, that hook can be the difference between pushing and losing so you may want to buy it down to seven – just in case.

Chiefs at Giants

The NFL odds on the visiting Chiefs opened at -13 over their hosts, the New York Giants. But that number was apparently far too steep for the sharps as the money poured in on Big Blue and the line has plummeted to -10 in most of the major online sportsbooks. That is quite a drop for a team that should be well-rested and well-prepared after its bye week.

But what could the wise guys have possibly seen in the Giants' 31-21 loss to the 49ers in last week's Toilet Bowl to make New York an attractive dog? Perhaps it has something to do with the fact that the Giants are 5-2 straight up and 6-1 ATS vs. the Chiefs since 1992. Does a stat that spans over two decades have anything to do with Sunday's contest? Maybe or maybe not, but the steam appears to be firmly on the home dog in this one. If you like the value on the road chalk then shop on over to any number of books like JustBet, YouWager and BetDSI to get the Chiefs -10. But if you feel like the steam has it right, then grab New York +11 at Bovada or +11½ (-135) at 5Dimes.

Patriots vs. Raiders

Despite the fact that Oakland is listed to the right (or the bottom in other periodicals) does not mean that this game is being played in Oakland. The Raiders are the home team in name only as this is a neutral-site venue in Mexico City. The line opened with New England installed as 5-point favorites, but the Patriots' dominating performance in Denver on Sunday night has bettors plunking down more than a few bucks on Bill Belichick's crew. Pinnacle, 5Dimes and Bovada are all bullish on New England, so if you want as much bang as you can get for your gambling buck then grab Oakland at plus a touchdown. However, if you're willing to swallow hard and take a less than desirable number for those backing the Pats in their NFL picks, then shops like Bookmaker, BetOnline, and Heritage are all dealing the Patriots at -6½ . 

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