Week 11 NFL Picks: Denver Broncos vs. Chicago Bears Odds Preview

David Lawrence

Saturday, November 21, 2015 5:23 PM GMT

Denver has made the switch from Peyton Manning to Brock Osweiler, even injury is the official story. The Broncos head to Chicago to take on the Bears, who are suddenly 4-5 after two straight wins.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open: -2 -105 at Pinnacle
This NFL odds might be the most fascinating of Week 11 as it opened up at -2 for the Broncos on the road, then they bumped to -2.5. The line then moved down to -2, -1, +1 and +1.5 as the Broncos are now the underdogs. This probaby coincides with the news that Manning is hurt and Osweiler is starting, but the Broncos had to do something. Manning broke Brett Favre's career mark for passing yards, but he was pulled after throwing his fourth pick in a home loss to Kansas City and his 17 interceptions leads the league. Meanwhile, the Bears put up 37 points on the road against a very good St. Louis defense and Jay Cutler is 12th in the league in QBR. The Bears are also at home and their defense is ranked eighth in the NFL. It could be a long day for Osweiler, but then again, he might shock everyone.

Broncos vs. Bears Spread

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Broncos vs. Bears Totals

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Broncos vs. Bears Money Line

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Injuries
Manning has a foot injury that has ruled him out this week, but the reality is that he is 39 years old and his performance against the Chiefs ranks as one of the worst of his career. Elsewhere, WR Emmanuel Sanders isn't practicing this week because of finger and shoulder injuries, but he should play on Sunday and Osweiler needs all the weapons he can get.

The Bears have lost DE Ego Ferguson for the rest of the season to a drug suspension, but they might be getting RB Matt Forte back from a MCL sprain. Chicago will probably be cautious with Forte as Jeremy Langford has been playing well in his absence, but having him at least on the sidelines will be a boost. WR Alshon Jeffery was limited in practice on Wednesday with a groin injury, but he'll probably play on Sunday. 

 

Trends
The Broncos are 5-3-1 ATS this season, but they're 3-1-1 ATS on the road. The Bears are 5-4 ATS, but they've covered just one of their four home games. The total has dropped from 43 to 41, and the Bears have gone under five times, while the Broncos have gone under four times with a pair of pushes.

The Broncos are 4-6 SU and 1-5-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Bears, who are 4-1 ATS and 2-1 ATS at home against Denver.

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