Week 11 NFL Moneyline Best Picks | Football Predictions

Week 11 NFL Moneyline Best Picks | Football Predictions
Baker Mayfield #6 of the Cleveland Browns on November 15, 2020 in Cleveland, Ohio. Jason Miller/Getty Images/AFP

Find out where the winners and losers are in week 11 as we rundown the week’s slate and serve up choice SU NFL picks to spot.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Cleveland Browns

Sunday, November 22, 2020 – 1:00 PM ET at FirstEnergy Stadium

The Philadelphia Eagles limp into week 11 with a 3-5-1 SU record that leaves many NFL pundits, fans and neutrals alike scratching their heads. If a team is what its record says it is, quite simply the Eagles are pretty awful. And yet, they lead the NFC East standings, despite having three paltry wins to show for their total contribution in 2020 thus far. Wins over divisional rivals – NY Giants and Dallas – and a win over a hobbled San Francisco team.

Undoubtedly, the NFC East as a whole strikes an unconvincing pose in NFL betting markets and the charting Eagles are the epitome of the division’s inadequacy. Most recently, the Eagles stumbled out of a bye and fell into a pitiful 27-17 hole at MetLife Stadium, a game against the NY Giants that was cornered well and truly in their camp on the NFL odds board (Eagles closed at -218 ML and as the -5 road chalk).

Disappointing isn’t sufficient to cover the debacle that was last Sunday for Doug Pederson and Co., as every facet of the team gave him fits on the side-line. Inexplicable though, is Carson Wentz’s remarkable regression this season that looks to be down to mental rather than any physical ailment: 12 TD to 12 INT ratio and a 73.1 passer-rating has the Eagle’s franchise quarterback ranking in the bottom-five quarterbacks this season.

Where the Eagles go from here, only time will tell. However, the pressure is on as the race in the NFC East heats up down the stretch, adding a premium to the challenge that awaits just around the corner: the week 11 date against a Cleveland Browns outfit that’s feeling smug right now and that is silencing critics, many of which are outspoken Baker Mayfield sceptics.

Going into the 2020 season, expectations for Cleveland were conservative, after last year’s hype and buzz surrounding the Browns proved to be wildly premature. Ten weeks into the season and the Browns emerge with a 6-3-0 SU mark, which puts them firmly in the hunt for a playoff spot with just six weeks left on the season.

One can debate the legitimacy of Cleveland’s credentials. When most of their wins have come against subpar opposition, teams that are below .500, it’s hard to buy what they’re selling. In fact, five wins have come against teams with a combined 8-27-1 mark (Cincinnati (twice), Dallas, Washington and Houston). There’s also the fact that Mayfield’s play isn’t responsible for these victories, rather a strong run game spearheaded by Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt can claim much of the praise. But that’s unnecessary nit-picking.

Inasmuch as the lack of quality wins does take the shine off Cleveland’s measure against better teams in the league, where this matchup is concerned, the woeful Eagles arguably are right up their street. Not surprisingly, the Browns are favoured to win this game. And frankly, they do appear to be the best bet for NFL picks too.

NFL Pick: Browns -170 with Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

Browns -170
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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Washington Football Team

Sunday, November 22, 2020 - 1:00 PM ET at FedEx Field

The Washington Football Team narrowly succumbed to a 30-27 loss to the Detroit Lions on Sunday, thanks to a last-gasp field goal that denied Ron Rivera’s side a crack at overtime. Nevertheless, Alex Smith was a sight for sore eyes in his first start in two years, since suffering a gruesome leg injury that very nearly ended his career and resulted in an amputation.

It’s fair to say, Washington was slow out of the gates. For the first three quarters of the game, their account was underwhelming. It took time, but Smith and the offense eventually lit up the scoreboard, putting up 17 points to level the game in the fourth quarter before the Lions snatched the 3-point victory.

Washington’s offense has been inconsistent this season, but that is partly down to the quarterback carousel that has seen Dwayne Haskins Jr., Kyle Allen and Alex Smith all take turns at starting. Now that Smith is the starter for the remainder of the season, there’s room for optimism. Smith enjoyed back-to-back 300-plus yard games, including 390 passing yards against Detroit. Where Washington’s strength lies is in defense: they’re ranked an unassuming seventh in total defense, and…wait for it.. drumroll… ranked No.1 in passing defense with just 194.7 yards allowed per game. As well, they’re 14th in points allowed with just 24.2 points conceded on average.

Rookie quarterback Joe Burrows is enjoying a standout individual season, but the Bengals aren’t reaping the rewards with a 2-6-1 SU mark to show for their 2020 campaign. Most recently, the Bengals received a shellacking by the Steelers – a 36-10 loss that saw the Bengals fail to get even a whiff at the +6.5 closing point spread across various sports betting sites.

Of course, there was no shame in losing to the undefeated Steelers. The Bengals were simply outclassed, outmuscled and outplayed by a better team and superior divisional rival. This won’t be the case when the Bengals and Washington Football team collide, as evinced by the NFL odds for their week 11 game, which are tighter than an accountant’s purse.

Much is being made of the matchup between the No.1 and No.2 picks of the 2020 NFL draft: Joe Burrows vs. Chase Young. But that’s simply a backstory to an otherwise average matchup between two teams that based on their records aren’t very good. Thus, to look at the betting, the best bet for the win is a right tossup for NFL picks. One thing that might swing the balance in favor of Washington, over and above home advantage, is the fact that they have stability and veteran leadership on offense, now that Smith is the pivot, and they have a far better defense. Moreover, with Washington effectively in the NFC East hunt, they have added motivation for the win.

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Alex Smith #11 of the Washington Football Team throws a pass. Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images/AFP

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Sunday, November 22, 2020 - 1:00 PM ET at TIAA Bank Field

The Pittsburgh Steelers are lording it over their counterparts in the AFC and NFL-wide, soaring behind a perfect 9-0-0 SU mark going into week 11’s lap of games. Most recently, they delivered a clinic at Heinz Field, beating their lowly neighbours Cincinnati Bengals 36-10. And the fact that Big Ben missed much of practice because of “high risk” exposure to covid-19 last week proved to be a moot point.

Next up for the Steelers is another relatively straightforward matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who strike a rather unimpressive pose behind a 1-8-0 SU mark. Heck, according to multiple top-rated sportsbooks, where the Steelers are laying double-digits, this game is obviously being billed as a total whitewash affair in favor of Mike Tomlin’s side.

Granted rookie Jake Luton has given the Jaguars some much needed pizzaz on offense. However, despite his admirable efforts, the Jaguars can’t seem to stem the bleed. Most recently, the Jaguars picked up their eighth straight loss with a 24-20 loss to the Packers at Lambeau Field, which was a more competitive affair than many NFL experts and oddsmakers had it.

Streaks inevitably come to an end it’s the law of averages. Intriguingly, this matchup serves up two of the longest juxtaposing streaks in the league: in one corner sit the Steelers with a nine-game winning streak, and in the other corner sit the Jaguars with an eight-game losing streak. Something certainly has to give in this matchup, indeed.

There’s something to be said about trap games, games that go completely and utterly against the grain. The Jaguars fit the bill, As one such team that is the least likely to derail the invincible Steelers. And yet, it’s hard to imagine it actually happening, never mind the off the Richter Scale shockwaves that would tip NFL betting markets off its axis, if it were to happen. For those brave bettors, betting on the upset here for NFL picks might be tempting. For the rest, the Steelers are the better bet surely.

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Wide receiver Chase Claypool #11 of the Pittsburgh Steelers on November 1, 2020 in Baltimore, Maryland. Patrick Smith/Getty Images/AFP

New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans

Sunday, November 22, 2020 - 1:00 PM ET at NRG Stadium

The New England Patriots braved monsoon-like weather to upset the Baltimore Ravens at Gillette Stadium on Sunday Night, a game that saw the NFL odds heavily stacked against Bill Belichick and Co. on their stomping ground. It goes to show, one can never count the Patriots out, even when things aren’t going their way.

In beating the Ravens, the Patriots clinched their second straight win after going to some pains to edge the NY Jets 30-27 in the previous week. As a result of their back-to-back win streak, the Patriots improve to 4-5-0 SU on the season and inject some sliver of hope into their 2020 campaign. It’s a long road back, but watch the Patriots attempt a second-half push for an AFC playoff spot.

The Texans, meanwhile, can’t seem to buy a win no matter how hard they try. Nothing is going their way, not even the elements that seemingly conspired against them last Sunday. On a windy, blustery day in Cleveland, and after a slight weather delay, the Texans whimpered through four quarters and settled on a lacklustre 10-7 loss to the Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium.

In losing to Cleveland, the Texans picked up their seventh loss on the season and third loss in the last five games. (The Texans are 2-3 SU in the last five weeks, albeit the only team they’ve been capable of beating during that stretch is Jacksonville).

On paper, neither team is particularly convincing going into week 11, which means making any predictions for this game are going to be a bit of a gamble. However, it’s fair to say, the Texans have the look of a team that has tapped out of the season already. That fact alone makes the Texans the riskier play of the pair of AFC stragglers.

After initially opening the Texans as the home favourites, NFL betting markets corrected. Now they are serving up the Patriots as the small road faves straight up and against the spread. Take the Patriots for week 11 NFL picks to clinch a third-straight win and make things interesting in the AFC East.

NFL Pick: Patriots -130 with Heritage Sports

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Damiere Byrd #10 of the New England Patriots. Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images/AFP

All The Rest of Week 11 Games - Quick-fire Free SU NFL Picks

Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks

Thursday, November 19, 2020 - 8:20 PM ET at CenturyLink Field

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints

Sunday, November 22, 2020 - 1:00 PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Superdome

NFL Pick: Falcons +190 with YouWager (visit our YouWager Review)

Detroit Lions vs. Carolina Panthers

Sunday, November 22, 2020 - 1:00 PM ET at Bank of America Stadium

Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens

Sunday, November 22, 2020 - 1:00 PM ET at M&T Bank Stadium

Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos

Sunday, November 22, 2020 - 4:05 PM ET at Empower Field at Mile High

NFL Pick: Dolphins -170 with BetOnline

New York Jets vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Sunday, November 22, 2020 - 4:05 PM ET at SoFi Stadium

NFL Pick: Chargers -415 with BetOnline

Green Bay Packers vs. Indianapolis Colts

Sunday, November 22, 2020 - 4:25 PM ET at Lucas Oil Stadium

NFL Pick: Packers +120 with Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

Dallas Stars vs. Minnesota Vikings

Sunday, November 22, 2020 - 4:25 PM ET at U.S. Bank Stadium

NFL Pick: Vikings -350 with GTBets (visit our GTBets Review)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Sunday, November 22, 2020 - 8:20 PM ET at Allegiant Stadium

NFL Pick: Chiefs -275 with Intertops

Los Angeles Rams vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Monday, November 23, 2020 - 8:15 PM ET at Raymond James Stadium

NFL Pick: Buccaneers -180 with YouWager