Week 11 and here is our latest NFL power rankings designed to help those making NFL picks versus the sportsbooks. With our score-differential based formula, we continue to have success against the betting odds.
We encourage you to use this table of power rankings on your own against the NFL odds and you can use the standard three points for the home team.
Denver has reclaimed the top spot in these rankings with their blowout of Oakland last week. This bumped idle Indianapolis to second with New England third, which sets up an awesome matchup Sunday night. Arizona moves up to the fourth slot and we will have to see how proceed without Carson Palmer and Philadelphia is back in the Top 5 for the first time since Week 3. Please feel free to comment as well.
|Power Ratings||Start||Current||Power Ratings||Start||Current|
|NFC East||AFC East|
|NFC North||AFC North|
|NFC South||AFC South|
|NFC West||AFC West|
|San Francisco||98||96||Kansas City||95||100|
|St. Louis||93||90||San Diego||96||96|
Thursday – Miami - 5 over Buffalo
The actual line was bouncing around with the Dolphins favored between four and six points and the large majority of NFL football handicappers were on Miami.
Cleveland -4 over Houston
The Texans have offensive abilities plus J.J. Watt, but we were a little surprised to see Houston at just +3 starting Ryan Mallet at quarterback on the road.
Chicago - 1 over Minnesota
What a mess the Bears are right now on both sides of the ball. Cutler and the Chicago offense is like Pillsbury making turnovers and the defense is the first in the NFL since the 1920’s to concede 50+ points in back to back games. We prefer our number to the sportsbooks having Da Bears at -3.
Green Bay – 2 over Philadelphia
Hard to disagree with Green Bay at -6 at home with an Aaron Rodgers vs. Mark Sanchez matchup, nonetheless, the Eagles defense can bring pressure and let’s see how the new Packers defense works versus a more cohesive offense.
Kansas City -2 over Seattle
The Seahawks opened at -1, but were quickly turned around to +2, which is exactly how we see this game. Just keep in mind Seattle is 9-1 ATS as underdogs.
Atlanta -3 over Carolina
We were caught off-guard after this NFC South showdown went from a Pick to Carolina by -2 earlier in the week, given their 1-6-1 SU record since Week 3. Since Wednesday, the Falcons have flown from +2 to -1 and we can see using Atlanta with sports picks this Sunday.
New Orleans -5 over Cincinnati
The oddsmakers sent out the Saints at -5 or -5.5 depending on the book and the public pushed them up to -7. Plenty to like about New Orleans at home, but Cincinnati would appear capable of covering that figure.
Washington -7 over Tampa Bay
We are in complete accord with the books that Washington is a touchdown better than Tampa Bay.
Denver -11 over St. Louis
The Broncos went from -8 to -9.5 almost immediately upon release of the betting odds. On Thursday, it was announced backup quarterback and Game 1 starter Shaun Hill would be inserted back in the lineup and wagering public thought so much of Hill the line never budged. We still believe Denver wins by double digits.
San Francisco – 4 over N.Y. Giants
We and the sportsbooks are one the same wave length for this contest. One interesting tidbit, the last nine NFL teams to travel three times zones (New York last week) are 1-8 ATS.
San Diego -13 over Oakland
Our number is 2.5-points higher than the oddsmakers, which is reflection of Oakland being winless and having five double digit defeats.
Arizona -7 over Detroit
Our power ranking in this contest is dramatically higher than the actual spread which does not take into consideration Palmer being out. No matter, our number would be still higher because Arizona is 5-1 SU in game determined by 10 or more points and Detroit’s last three wins have been by six total points accounting for greater disparity.
SNF – Indianapolis – 3 over New England
The Colts have been switching back and forth between -2.5 and -3 and frankly we cannot wait for this game to be played.
MNF - Pittsburgh – 5 over Tennessee
The Steelers were in a very natural letdown position and got nailed by the Jets. We and the oddsmakers both have Pittsburgh as five-point road favorite against a stumbling Titans offense.