Week 11 Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Predictions

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, November 15, 2016 8:53 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 15, 2016 8:53 PM UTC

Kansas City Chiefs look to win a sixth straight game when they take on Tampa Bay Buccaneers in week 11. Here’s a mini-betting preview replete with NFL picks for all major markets: SU, ATS and Total.


   Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs
 Point Spread Value

The Chiefs are 7-2-0 SU and current holders of top spot in the AFC West, overtaking the Raiders who were on a bye in week 10. In prime position so, the Chiefs get a date with a Bucs team that is coming off a win over the hapless Chicago Bears. By all accounts, it’s a winnable game for the Chiefs. Question is whether books are laying too many points with the Chiefs, who are just 4-4-1 ATS with a 4.1 winning margin on average and +1.7 differential versus the spread.

At first glance, it does seem so. They are only 1-2-1 ATS at home in spite of a stellar 9.5 winning margin and +3.9 differential versus the spread, and they’ve not been very trustworthy with spreads over the key number 3. On the flipside, the Bucs are 3-1 SU and ATS on the road, which is a decent travelling record by any standard and includes wins over Atlanta, Carolina and San Francisco. That said, it’s Arrowhead. One of the loudest stadiums in the NFL and the Chiefs defense is no slouch. Jameis Winston could be in for a rough day, not unlike week 2 when the Bucs lost 40-7 to the Cards.

 Free NFL Pick: Chiefs -7.5 (+103)Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle 

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The Survivor

Kansas City Chiefs are the least sexy team in the NFL. They don’t light up the scoreboard as a rule or wow viewers with nifty plays. Rather they take a dogged approach to every game, grafting for the win with their trademark grit and gumption. Ultimately, they get the job done even if it’s not pretty. At the end of the day, getting the W and not how it’s done is all that matters. This should be another win for your NFL picks.

Free NFL Pick: Chiefs -310Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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Game Total

On the strength of the defense, the Chiefs are the best UNDER performers in the league with a 2-7-0 O/U record on the season. Aside from the shootout in week 1 with the Chargers, the Chiefs have run off three straight UNDERS at Arrowhead and holding opposing teams to an average of 12.7 points scored. Jameis Winston would have to play lights out to rip apart this defense, something we just don’t see happening at all.


Free NFL Pick: Under 45 (-110)Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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