Week 10 Power Rankings to Improve NFL Picks

Doug Upstone

Friday, November 7, 2014 6:39 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 7, 2014 6:39 PM UTC

Let’s head into Week 10 and here is our latest NFL power rankings designed to help those making sports picks versus the betting odds with our score-differential based formula, which has been well received. 

Sportsbook Review developed a formula that that takes our number against the eventual outcome and adjusts the power rankings accordingly from week to week, in similar fashion to what many of the NFL football handicappers do that appear on videos or write articles for us do on their own.

We encourage you to use this table of power ratings on your own against the NFL odds and you can use the standard three points for the home team.

We had a switch at the top with Indianapolis displacing Denver, who fell into a second place tie with New England whom they just lost to.

Rounding out the Top 5 is Kansas City and this year’s biggest shocker, Arizona. Please feel free to comment as well. 


Power Ratings Start Current   Power Ratings Start Current
NFC East       AFC East    
Dallas 93 96   Buffalo 91 94
NY Giants 94 92   Miami 93 98
Philadelphia 97 99   New England 97 102
Washington 92 91   NY Jets 92 88
NFC North       AFC North    
Chicago 95 90   Baltimore 97 99
Detroit 94 96   Cincinnati 96 98
Green Bay 97 98   Cleveland 91 93
Minnesota 91 90   Pittsburgh 95 95
NFC South       AFC South    
Atlanta 94 90   Houston 92 93
Carolina 94 87   Indianapolis 95 103
New Orleans 99 98   Jacksonville 90 84
Tampa Bay 91 87   Tennessee 92 85
NFC West       AFC West    
Arizona 95 100   Denver 99 102
San Francisco 98 95   Kansas City 95 100
Seattle 100 98   Oakland 92 88
St. Louis 93 91   San Diego 96 96


Thursday – Cincinnati - 7 over Cleveland
Cincinnati appears to have turned a corner is playing well again and number and the sportsbooks are within in a point of each other. This battle of Ohio will be telling about both clubs.


Dallas -12 over Jacksonville
The oddsmakers took a conservative approach with the uncertainty of Tony Romo being able to play and made Dallas at -7. Our guess is that is without Romo and if he plays the Cowboys go to -10 and if word leaks he’s healthier than expected an even a higher figure could happen.


Miami - 1 over Detroit
Detroit was made a standard three-point home favorite but Miami is playing better and is a terrific road underdog. Also, the last seven teams to win SU in London are 0-7 ATS in next outing. (Includes the Dolphins this year)


Kansas City – 2 over Buffalo
We and the books are in perfect harmony in seeing the better team win on the road.


New Orleans -6 over San Francisco
The Saints opened at -3.5, but those making NFL picks have steadily been pounding this NFC matchup of underachieving .500 teams and New Orleans is now very close to our number at -5.5.


Baltimore -18 over Tennessee
Our figure is quite a bit higher than the actual odds of -10 for the Ravens, but Tennessee lacks the passing offense to exploit Baltimore’s weakened secondary. The actual outcome could be somewhere in the middle.


Pittsburgh -4 over N.Y. Jets
At this time we and the oddsmakers are on the same page on this AFC affair, which in principle appears low given the state of Gang Green, but this is the Steelers first road game in a month and could well be tested.


Atlanta -1 over Tampa Bay
Two lousy NFC South squads and the opening number had the Buccaneers at -1 and that was flipped around to the Falcons favored and they are up to -2.5. We to have the Birds but the only real difference in these teams is quarterback Matt Ryan.


Denver -12 over Oakland
Instead of Angry Birds it will be angry Broncos and don’t be shocked by game time if Denver moves from -10.5 to around -12 versus hapless Oakland.


Arizona -12 over St. Louis
We have the Cardinals as the best team in the NFC and they have the finest record in the NFL. The Rams do not show well in our power rankings because they have been blown out twice and all three victories have been by three points or less.


Seattle -9 over N.Y. Giants
On many levels Seattle is not the same team as a year ago, playing with less joy as the king of the mountain. Nonetheless, sportsbooks along with us agree they should dispatch the Giants with ease.


SNF – Green Bay – 11 over Chicago
Why we have the Packers as much bigger favorites is the three large victories they had earlier in the season which pumped up their power rankings.


MNF - Philadelphia – 15 over Carolina
Part of the reason for the massive disparity (Eagles -6.5) is the Mark Sanchez for Nick Foles, ours is based on a full Philly squad. Also, Carolina has suffered four defeats by 18 or more points since Week 3 which really sent them downward. 

comment here