Week 10 NFL Picks: Early Power Rankings to Rob Your Bookie Blind

Kevin Stott

Monday, November 9, 2015 1:19 PM GMT

Let’s see who ended up where after all the gridiron dirt cleared on Sunday. We'll examine the latest Super Bowl 50 odds to make some early Week 10 NFL picks for our loyal Sportsbook Review readers.

Introduction
A couple of WRs had monster Sundays (Antonio Brown, Sammy Watkins) and way, way too many key players were injured in Week 9 play, where Favorites and Underdogs spilt 6-6 ATS and the Over went 8-4 on the week heading into Monday Night Football. Who was hurt? Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger (Mild Foot Sprain), Patriots RB Dion Lewis (Knee) and OT Sebastian Vollmer (Concussion), Packers RB Eddie Lacy (Groin), Vikings QB Teddy Bridgewater (Concussion), Bills RB LeSean McCoy (Shoulder), Raiders RB Latavius Murray (Concussion), Cowboys LB Sean Lee (Concussion), and Jets C Nick Mangold (Neck) were all injured on Sunday, and for some reason, this 2015/16 Regular and Preseason have seemed to be the worst ever when it comes to Injuries, with QBs like Blaine Gabbert (49ers), Matt Cassel (Cowboys) and Geno Smith (Jets) being thrust into action in what often seems like a survivor pool. Every week, fewer teams have a chance to make the Super Bowl not only because of their respective SU records, but because of mass Injury accumulation, productivity, and depth loss. When teams like the Steelers see QB Roethlisberger suffering his second injury of the season just a week after star RB Le’Veon Bell goes out, or when the Green Bay Packers see RB Eddie Lacy leave with an Injury on Sunday after a third-straight weak performance in a season where the Packers Offense has been without WR Jordy Nelson from Day One, then it seems there are even less teams—maybe five or six—with legitimate chances of getting to and winning Super Bowl 50 in Glendale, Arizona in early February right about now. So before the Week 9 finale between Jay Cutler and the Chicago Bears and Philip River and the Chargers at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego begins this evening (ESPN, 8:25 p.m. EDT/5:25 p.m. PST; Odds: Chargers -4½, 49½, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)—Keenan Allen, Matt Forte and Eddie Royal will all reportedly miss the game—and I somehow get injured writing this, fresh from the oven with the sweet-smelling crescent rolls, here are this week’s fresh NFL Week 10 Power Rankings for your consumption.

 

NFL Rankings (November 8, 2015)
1—New England Patriots
(8-0 SU, 5-1-2 ATS; +229 win Super Bowl, Paddy Power)
Why? The defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots and legendary Head Coach Bill Belichick (160-115-9 ATS) stayed unbeaten on Sunday, making easy business of the Washington Redskins, 27-10 as star QB Tom Brady (26/39, 299 yards, 2 TDs, Interception) led the defending Super Bowl champions to an easy Home win in Foxborough as RB LeGarrette Blount (29 rushes, 129 yards, TD, 4.4 ypc) and WR Brandon LaFell (5 receptions, 102 yards, 20.4 ypc) had really nice games, and Julian Edelman (5 receptions, 55 yards, TD) and TE Rob Gronkowski (4 receptions, 47 yards) had their usual workmanlike efforts in this Week 9 inter-conference meeting. Next up for the Patriots in Week 10 is another inter-conference affair, this one on Sunday against Eli Manning at the New York Giants (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS) at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey (CBS, NFL RedZone, 4:25 p.m. EST/1:25 p.m. PST). The last time these two met was in 2011 in the Super Bowl—the G-Men upset the Patriots, again—while the last meeting in Jersey was in 2007 where New England and Brady won 38-35 but failed to cover as huge 13½-point favorites. The Giants are an impressive 6-1 ATS the L7 in this series and 3-0 ATS the L3 here at Home at MetLife Stadium. But with the Patriots on such a roll, unbeaten and hardly tested on Sunday, expect the Patriots to find a way to get a double-digit win here and stay spotless. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook SuperBook has this lined at (New England minus) 7 in its NFL Games of the Year. Last Week: #1

Free NFL Pick: Patriots -7 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)

 

2—Cincinnati Bengals (8-0 SU, 7-0-1 ATS; 9/1 to win Super Bowl, PaddyPower
Why? The Cincinnati Bengals and QB Andy Dalton (21/27, 234 yards, 3 TDs) defeated the Cleveland Browns on Thursday Night Football in an AFC North game at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati as the usual offensive suspects—RB Giovani Bernard (13 rushes, 72 yards), RB Jeremy Hill (15 rushes, 52 yards), WR Marvin Jones (5 receptions, 78 yards, 15.6 ypc) and WR AJ Green (4 receptions, 53 yards, 13.3 ypc)—all had solid games while TE Tyler Eifert (5 receptions, 10.6 ypc, 3 TDs) had a great game for the host Bengals and 13-year Head Coach Marvin Lewis (101-95-10 ATS) in Week 9. Coming up in Week 10 for Cincinnati and potential NFL MVP candidate Dalton (42-34-1 ATS at Home) is a date with the hapless Houston Texans (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS) on Monday Night Football at Paul Brown Stadium against the Cleveland Browns on Thursday Night Football in which JJ Watt and the Texans will come in with 13 Days Rest off their Open Date. The Bengals will come in having a nice 10 Days Rest after playing the Browns on TNF and when these two last met last season at NRG Stadium in Houston, the Texans won and covered as 3-point underdogs (22-13) and these two also met in the AFC playoffs in 2012 where Houson eliminated Cincinnati, 19-13 as 3½-point underdogs in H-Town. The last time these two met here in the Queen City, the Texans (0-7 ATS L7 on Mondays all-time) upset the Bengals, 20-19 covering as 3-point underdogs. The Texans are 6-1 ATS the L7 in the series and 3-1 ATS the L4 in Cincinnati and Houston is 0-3 ATS as a Road Underdog on Monday nights since 1980 while the Bengals are 3-2 ATS as Home Favorite on Mondays. The Westgate Las Vegas NFL Games of the Year installed the host Bengals as 7-point favorites here. Last Week: #2

 

3—Carolina Panthers (7-0 SU, 6-1 ATS; 8/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power)
Why? The Carolina Panthers have now beaten the Seattle Seahawks (at CenturyLink Field), the Philadelphia Eagles (in Charlotte), the Indianapolis Colts (in Indianapolis) and the Green Bay Packers (at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte Sunday), back-to-back-to-back-to-back, so this unbeaten season, sweet Regular Season winning streak (11 games) and best start ever has the Panthers and the entire Tar Heel State buzzing. And rightfully so as these Cats can definitely play. With tall, athletic, and motivated QB Cam Newton (15/30, 297, TD; 9 rushes, 57 yards, TD), TE Greg Olsen (4 receptions, 66 yards, TD) and RB Jonathan Stewart (20 rushes, 66 yards, 3.3 ypc), the Offense has a wonderful and mature base and balanced which often goes unnoticed by most fans and foes alike. Next up in Week 10 for Carolina is a date with Rookie QB Marcus Mariota and the Titans (2-6 SU, 4-4 ATS) in Nashville on Sunday (FOX, NFL RedZone, 1 p.m. EST/10 a.m. PST; NFL odds: Panthers -4, 42, Pinnacle). When these two teams last met, the Titans won outright as 3-point underdogs in Charlotte, 30-3 in 2011 while in the last meeting here in Opryland, Tennessee also won and covered, getting a 30-7 victory as 5½-point chalks. The Titans are 3-1 ATS the L4 in this series but with QB problems, fading hapless Tennessee—which is one of the worst teams in the NFL. On (last) Tuesday, the Titans fired Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt and promoted Mike Mularkey to interim Head Coach, and it was probably the right thing to do for Tennessee who were 1-6 this year and went 3-20 SU and 4-18-1 ATS under Whisenhunt and are now a perfect 1-0 SU and 1-0 ATS under Mularkey after Sunday’s 34-28 OT win over Drew Brees and the Saints in New Orleans. Last Week: #4

Free NFL Pick: Panthers -4 (at Pinnacle)

 

4—Denver Broncos (7-1 SU, 5-3-0 ATS; 9/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power)
Why? Denver falls to the No. 4 spot after losing to Andrew Luck and the Colts in Indianapolis in Week 9, 27-24 ad QB Peyton Manning (21/26, 281 yards, 2 TDs, 2 Interceptions) was somewhat held in check by his old teammates as was RB CJ Anderson (7 Rushes, 34 yards) and most of the Denver Offense although TE Owen Daniels (6 receptions, 102 yards, TD) did have a nice outing. In the game, the Broncos 1st Quarter went Under for an 8th straight time (Indianapolis 7-0; Total 7½ -115), an NFL pick that has been recommended in these SBR spaces for the last 4 or 5 weeks. Next up in Week 10 for the 39-year-old Manning (74-69-2 ATS at Home) is an AFC West showdown with Alex Smith and the Kansas City Chiefs at Sports Authority Field in Denver on Sunday afternoon (CBS, 4:25 p.m. EST/1:25 p.m. PST; Broncos -7, SIA). The visiting Chiefs will be coming in off 13 Days Rest off its Bye week but the dominance Denver has shown at Home over the last decade in the high Rocky Mountain altitude, the way LB Von Miller and the Broncos Defense has been playing, and the fact the hosts are coming of their first Loss makes this a very tough scheduling spot for Kansas City. Last season, Denver won 29-16 failing to cover as 1-point underdogs against the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium while in this game in Denver, the Broncos won 24-17 but failed to cover ATS as monster 24-17 chalks. This could be low-scoring and the Under (42½, SIA) may be worth consideration although betting Unders in Week 9 was hazardous to most bettors’ health. Last Week: #3

 

5—Arizona Cardinals (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS; 14/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power)
Why? QB Carson Palmer and the Cardinals (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) face their rivals, the defending NFC champion Seattle Seahawks (4-4 SU, 2-5-1 ATS) at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale in primetime on Sunday night (NBC, 8:30 p.m. EST/5:30 p.m. PST): Seahawks -3, 45, Pinnacle) in a game in which both teams will be coming in off their Bye weeks (13 Days Rest). But the Seahawks and QB Russell Wilson (9-13-1 ATS on Road) will definitely be needing this game much more than Arizona. When these two sultans of tackle met last season, the Seahawks won 19-3 and covered as 7½-point favorites in Seattle while in this meeting here in the beautiful Sonoran Desert, Seattle rolled to a 35-6 Win as 9-point favorites over the Cardinals and QB Carson Palmer (33-42-2 ATS at Home) as they closed hard to win the division. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in the L5 overall in this series and Seattle is also 4-1 ATS the L5 here in suburban Phoenix. The Seahawks are 4-4 ATS on the Road under the Sunday night lights, while the Cardinals and WR Larry Fitzgerald are a dismal 4-14 ATS here at Home on Sunday nights in primetime. The Westgate Las Vegas NFL Games of the Year had the Seahawks as 6-point favorites in this can’t miss affair. Last Week: #6

 

6—Green Bay Packers (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS; 5/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 5
7—Seattle Seahawks (4-4 SU, 2-5-1 ATS; 14/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 7
8—New York Jets (5-3 SU, 4-3-1 ATS; 80/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 9
9—Minnesota Vikings (6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS; 25/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 12
10—Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4 SU, 4-3-2 ATS; 33/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 11
11—Oakland Raiders (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS; 80/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 8
12—Indianapolis Colts (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS; 22/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 15
13—St. Louis Rams (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS; 50/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 13
14—Philadelphia Eagles (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS; 25/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 14
15—Atlanta Falcons (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS; 33/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 10
16—Buffalo Bills (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS; 100/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 17
17—New York Giants (5-4 SU, 5-3-1 ATS; 40/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 18
18—Dallas Cowboys (2-6 SU, 3-5 ATS; 80/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 16
19—San Diego Chargers (2-6 SU, 4-4 ATS; 275/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 18
20—Kansas City Chiefs (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS; 66/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 20
21—New Orleans Saints (4-5 SU, 4-4-1 ATS; 80/1 win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 19
22—Baltimore Ravens (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS; 150/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 22
23—Miami Dolphins (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS; 100/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 25
24—Houston Texans (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS; 100/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 28
25—Washington Redskins (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS; 275/1 win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 22
26—San Francisco 49ers (2-6 SU, 3-5 ATS; 500/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 29
27—Chicago Bears (2-6 SU, 3-4 ATS; 500/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 28
28—Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS; 500/1 win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 27
29—Cleveland Browns (2-7 SU, 3-5-1 ATS; 500/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 24
30—Tennessee Titans (2-6 SU, 4-4 ATS; 500/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 31
31—Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6 SU, 4-4 ATS; 500/1 win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 30
32—Detroit Lions (1-7 SU, 1-7 ATS; 500/1 to win Super Bowl, Paddy Power) Last Week: 32

NFL WEEK 10 POWER RANKINGS PICKS: Packers -11½ over Lions; Panthers -4 over Titans (Pinnacle); Patriots -7 over Giants (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)

SUPER BOWL 50 FUTURES BOOK PERCEIVED VALUE PICK: Cincinnati Bengals 9/1 (PaddyPower)

SUPER BOWL 50 FUTURES BOOK GAME PICK: AFC +1 over NFC (at Bovada)