NFL Picks: Hunting Down Early Week 10 Betting Value

Nikki Adams

Monday, November 3, 2014 2:36 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 3, 2014 2:36 PM UTC

Several Week 10 matchups practically leap off the page with the promise of value NFL picks against the spread, on the totals and in straight-up betting. Check out which games we've highlighted.

Best ATS Pick: Packers -7 Over Bears
Of the 13-game card scheduled for week 10 of NFL 2014 action, the one game that leaps off the page as a must-spot on your NFL picks against the spread is the clash featuring the AFC North rivalry between Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers, both coming off a bye and rolling into week 10 NFL betting casually placed on a seven-point spread.

Bears (3-5, 3-2 away) have lost four of their last five games, which includes a two-game losing streak – a 27-14 defeat at home to Miami followed by a 51-23 disembowelling at Foxboro. Bears’ season is in serious jeopardy, sat bottom of the AFC North standings at a .375 winning percentage. As they’ve been outscored 37 to 78 in the last two weeks, for a 41-point differential, the seven-point spread does seem rather disingenuous. That’s an average 20.5-point margin over two games.

Green Bay Packers boast 100% return against the spread this season at home with a 2-0-1 ATS mark and an average 20-point margin of victory, which also includes an average plus 12.5-points covered on the spread. Their last two home affairs saw them outscore the opposition 80 to 27, for a whopping 53-point differential or 26.5-point average margin. Lambeau has seen the Packers put up 111 points in three games and concede just 51-points over three games for a 3-0 SU record at home. If that’s not enough, the Packers beat the Bears earlier this season 38-17 at Soldier Field. All things being considered, backing the Packers on the seven-point spread for this game seems to be a steal NFL pick.

Free NFL Picks: Packers -7.0


Best Total Pick: Browns vs. Bengals To Go Over 43.5
Early NFL betting markets have rolled out what appears to be a rather low total for the divisional clash between the Cleveland Browns and Cincinnati Bengals. It’s a tightly contested AFC North this season with all teams above .500 this season. Very little separates this field of contenders this season in many aspects and none more so that this notable pair. Both are riding a two-game winning streak ahead of this clash and both are 4-4-0 in over-under betting this season.

Browns have outscored the opposition 185 to 169 over eight games, yielding an average of 23.13-points scored and 21.13-points conceded. Similarly, Bengals have outscored opposition 194 to 187 through seven games, for an average of 27.7-points scored and 26.7-points conceded. What’s more, Bengals’ last two games have gone over 50-points, including the divisional clash with Baltimore in week 8 NFL betting. Consider all those facts together, the total of 43.5-points does seem way too low don’t you think. Indeed, we expect it will go higher before the week is upon us, so grab it while you still can.

Free NFL Picks: Over 43.5


Best SU Pick: Broncos  To Win SU Over Raiders On The Road
Denver Broncos are coming off a 43-21 loss to the New England Patriots in week 9 NFL betting, all while matched as the firm road favourites across the board. All in all, it was a rather poor showing by the men in orange (well, they were dressed in their white kit if we’re being accurate). You could say they were wholly off form and colour (no pun intended). Then again, credit goes to Tom Brady and Company for making a point. Bet you this is the last time ever we’ll see the Patriots as the home underdogs – twice they were dubbed so and bookies paid dearly, the Patriots are 2-0-0 ATS as home pups with a 24-point average margin of victory and 26.8-point average margin of cover. Anyway, we digress. The Broncos take their bruised egos on the road in week 10 NFL betting for a date with the hapless Oakland Raiders still searching for their first win of the season. If there were a lopsided affair on the NFL betting menu, this would be such. After the debacle in New England, a win over the Raiders is small consolation. However, it’s still a means to an end: postseason. As certain the sun is to rise in the morning, a straight up win by the Broncos is a sure thing on your NFL picks. Well, the closest thing to a sure bet in SU week 10 NFL odds markets.

NFL Picks: Broncos SU at BWin

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