Week 1 NFL Picks: Back Rodgers & Packers to Cover ATS vs. Bears

Joe Catalano

Thursday, August 13, 2015 11:20 PM GMT

Prospects look somewhat bleak for the Chicago Bears as they continue to stick with Jay Cutler. It's Brandon Marshall out and rookie Kevin White in to go along with Alshon Jeffery. There doesn't appear to be much of a change in the Bears roster and they have to face the best quarterback in the NFL in Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. Will this be a blowout in favor of Green Bay?

Home Sweet Home
The one saving grace for the Chicago Bears is that this game will be played in front of their friendly fans at Solider Field; No Cheese Heads allowed. The problem for the Bears isn't their key options as they have a ton of offensive options with Martellus Bennett at tight end and all-purpose back, Matt Forte (1038 yards, 6 TD rushing) and 102 receptions, 808 yards, 4 TD receiving. Forte is the key player in this Bears offense and on the rare occasion where the defense has a good read on him, it's trouble for the Bears. Expect Forte to be hyped up as this is Week 1.

 

The Problem for Chicago
I don't want to go too deep into the past, but when a quarterback takes himself out of a conference championship game, he has no heart whether he's injured or not and there were rumblings that Cutler could've played.

Jay Cutler is an overpaid quarterback that makes too many mistakes. Last season he threw 18 interceptions and committed 17 fumbles. No team will win with a quarterback like that and now Cutler loses his main receiver in Brandon Marshall. Cutler could make a game of this as the game is in Chicago, but look for the Packers to take control when the game really counts.

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So Close!
Expect the Green Bay Packers to come out like a ball of fire as they gave away the NFC Championship Game to the Seattle Seahawks last season and can still taste it. The Packers had this game won and had a real shot at beating New England in the Super Bowl. This can't sit well with the NFL's best quarterback in Aaron Rodgers, who is the ultimate competitor. Rodgers is a high I.Q. player and destined to win a 2nd Super Bowl. 

Rodgers also has 2 -1000 yard receivers in Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb who are both capable of breaking long touchdown runs on a simple passing route. Add in their bruising 1000 yard back in Eddy Lacy and the Packers should dominate the Bears. Lacy gets the tough yards and if the Bears look to slow down the tempo of the game, Rodgers doesn't mind handing the ball off to Lacy as he's a tough player to take down.

Sportsbooks have Green Bay as a heavy 6-point betting favorite on the road, but I have no faith in Jay Cutler.

NFL Pick: Green Bay Packers -6 at 5Dimes