Washington Redskins vs. New York Jets Week 6 NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Sunday, October 18, 2015 11:31 AM GMT

Sunday, Oct. 18, 2015 11:31 AM GMT

Washington is a tough 2-3 after losing in overtime to Atlanta, and the Jets are 3-1 after their bye week, which followed a 27-14 win over Miami.  This is going to be a hard-hitting & physical game.

Opening Odds & Line Movement

Open: -5.5 -105 at Pinnacle
The Jets opened up as 5.5-point favorites at home and the NFL odds have gone up to -6, but this might be closer than you think as the Redskins have been a handful for everyone they've played. What you should also be looking at is the total, which opened at 41.5 and is now at 40.5 as these are two top-10 defenses in terms of yards allowed, and top-12 in points allowed. Takeaway differential might be the key in this game as the Jets are +6 in that category, while the Redskins are -3. Kirk Cousins has thrown six picks this season, and just five touchdown passes and the Jets will be foaming at the mouth to get after him.

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Injuries
For Washington, WR DeSean Jackson is getting closer to returning from a hamstring injury, but he probably won't be back this week. T Trent Williams has a neck strain and is questionable, while CBs Chris Culliver (knee) and DeAngelo Hall (toe) are probably out. TE Jordan Reed is being examined for a concussion as well.

The Jets are doing well in terms of health as CB Marcus Williams was the only player not at practice on Wednesday because of his hamstring. Having the week off after playing at Wembley Stadium surely helped their cause in this department.

 

Trends
The Redskins have covered the spread in just six of their last 18 games, while the Jets have covered in six of their last seven. Washington is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games, and the Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last five at home. As for the total, Washington has gone under in four of their last five, while the Jets have gone under in nine of their last 12.

These two have met just twice since 1999 and both meetings were in New Jersey. The Redskins won both games and covered once, and the totals both went over.

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