With all the drama surrounding Kirk Cousins contract talks this offseason, the Redskins still have a win total of 7.5. In an ever-improving and still very tough division, can the Washington football team be counted on to be a .500 or better team?
Wins You Can Count On: The first thing the Redskins run into other than an overall tough draw against the AFC and NFC West divisions is a lack of gimmee wins. Even if you count Week 1 against the Eagles in that category (which I don’t) the only other rock solid wins for this team is in Week 6 against the 49ers at home.
Games That Could Go Either Way: Here starts the fun. I count about nine games that could go in the win or loss column for the Redskins. That counts home games against the Giants, Cardinals, Broncos and Vikings, along with road games against the Giants, Chargers, Saints, Eagles and Chiefs and Rams. Let’s just assume they go 5-4 in those nine games. That still makes them at best a seven-win team.
Real Trouble Spots: Week 4 in Kansas City is not going to be kind to this team and neither is Week 9 in Seattle or Week 13 in Dallas. Along with a trip to New York in Week 17, you can count all four of those in the loss column.
Bottom Line: The Redskins were above .500 in 2016 thanks to a tie, but they still finished third in the NFC East and they might finish last this season with an improving Eagles team. If the off-field drama and overall bad ownership leaks onto the field, it’s an under bet for me.