Week 9 is here at last and there are several player prop picks worth buying a ticket for. All of these odds come from Bet365 sportsbook.
Season Props Record: 39-31
If you were to have taken just the first five of my NFL Prop selections in last week’s NFL First and 10 article, you would have gone 5-0 and probably went out and had a fine time the rest of your Sunday. However, I lost the last five in a row as listed on last week’s article, for a 5-5 record. However, it’s a new week, and we are still hitting on 55.7% of our NFL Picks. Check out these 10 prop selections for Week 9.
Kirk Cousins OVER 38.5 Pass Attempts (-120)
Kirk Cousins has been slinging the ball all over the field over the last few weeks and Week 9 shouldn’t be any different for the Vikings’ pass offense. With the Lions coming to town, chances are Cousins will continue attacking through the air, despite Dalvin Cook being back. Cook is only expected to be available for limited snaps, which means Cousins will likely be asked to do the heavy lifting with his arm. Even though the Lions have been somewhat stingy through the air, with a banged up run game, the Vikings should test the Lions through the air.
Joe Flacco OVER 39.5 Pass Attempts (-125)
Joe Flacco is hosting the Steelers on Sunday in a big divisional game. In the recent past, Flacco has racked up a ton of pass attempts against the Steelers, and Week 9 should have more of that at home. Flacco had 42 pass attempts in his Week 4 games in Pittsburgh, and he is averaging nearly 43 pass attempts per game in his last four games against the Steelers. Plus, the Steelers are allowing an average of 40 pass attempts per game and 43 per game over their last five games.
Jared Goff OVER 320.5 Passing Yards (-125)
Jared Goff and the Rams get a tough test in Week 9 as they head to New Orleans for a matchup with the Saints. While the Saints’ offense may be the tougher unit to game plan for, their defense should yield a ton of passing yards. So far this season the Saints have given up an average of 315 pass yards per game. If the Saints are able to control the time of possession, the Rams will have no choice but to lessen their rushing attack with Todd Gurley. If they are playing from behind, Goff should have no trouble getting 321 or more passing yards against this defense.
Kerryon Johnson UNDER 53.2 Rushing Yards (-139)
Kerryon Johnson was a bit of a disappointment last week in our prop picks. The Lions’ running back was supposed to take another leap last week, but instead he rushed just eight times for 22 yards. He added 69 yards through the air, but with a Week 9 matchup against the Vikings, he may find it hard to run on a tough defense. Minnesota just allowed 100 rushing yards in a game for the first time last week, but before Week 8 they had not allowed more than 60 rush yards in their last three games. Look for Johnson to struggle with a road game in the cold Minnesota tundra.
James Conner UNDER 74.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
James Conner has proved a lot this season, both to the Steelers and Le’Veon Bell. Conner proved that he is worthy of the reigns in the Steelers’ offense, and he proved to Bell that the Steelers’ hold out may actually be pretty expendable. However, this week might be the time to sell Conner. His matchup against the fierce Ravens defense could end up being a tough one to rack up yards. The Ravens’ defense has allowed only 70 rush yards per game this season, and with the game being on the road, I could see Conner getting slowed down considerably this week.
Christian McCaffrey OVER 107.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards (-120)
Christian McCaffrey has posted several down weeks in a row after a hot start to the season, but he has made up for it by scoring twice last week. This week against the soft Bucs defense, McCaffrey is one of the best bounce back candidates of any prop play out right now. The Bucs have allowed running backs to post an average of 131 rushing and receiving yards per game this season, so McCaffrey Magic should make a return in Week 9.
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Jarvis Landry OVER 75.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Don’t look now, but the Browns have a shot at putting up a ton of points this week, and dare I say, maybe get a win? Some sharps are picking the Browns as their upset special of the week, and a big reason could be the soft Chiefs defense. The Chiefs’ secondary has allowed wide receivers to post over 180 yards per game this season, and over their last four games, receivers have averaged nearly 205 yards per game. With Landry seeing double-digit targets with regularity, I expect him to rack up yards against this Chiefs secondary.
John Brown OVER 67.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
We are already banking on Flacco throwing the ball a lot this week, so why don’t we bet on one of his receivers to have a big game too? John Brown may be a boom or bust receiver, but one long touchdown might make this a huge value. Considering how bad the Steelers have been against the pass, Brown could get loose for a long one.
D.J. Moore OVER 45.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
D.J. Moore is quickly becoming a new favorite target for Cam Newton. Last week Moore set season highs in catches targets and yards, and if that is a new trend being established, I’m taking the over with Moore this week. Considering the Bucs are giving up nearly 200 yards per game to receivers, it might take only one big pass play to Moore to cash the over in this one.
Adam Thielen OVER 7.5 Receptions (-151)
Adam Thielen has become one of the best receivers in the league, and considering we are expecting a ton of volume in the Vikings’ pass attack this season, betting on Thielen to have a big game seems valuable as well. He has already racked up 74 catches on 96 targets, and with how we expect this game to be played, look for Thielen to have at least 8 catches against the Lions. Detroit has allowed 48 catches for 184 yards to receivers over their last four games.